The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 103Middle Tennessee | W 56–7 | +24.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 5Texas | L 24–34 | +4.3 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 96South Florida | W 17–3 | +11.3 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 15Ole MissCONF | W 24–10 | +22.2 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 77Mississippi StateCONF | W 40–17 | +23.6 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 24Texas A&MCONF | W 26–20 | +15.8 | — | CBS |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 68ArkansasCONF | W 24–21 | -0.3 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 16TennesseeCONF | W 34–20 | +21.2 | — | CBS |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 13LSUCONF | W 42–28 | +24.3 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 41KentuckyCONF | W 49–21 | +31.9 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs Chattanooga FCS | W 66–10 | +12.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 53AuburnCONF | W 27–24 | +8.1 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 2GeorgiaNEUTRAL | W 27–24 | +22.4 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 1MichiganNEUTRAL | L 20–27 | +15.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.6% | 37th | 36.8% | 13th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.6% | 31st | 39.2% | 28th |
| Passing success rate | 43.0% | 54th | 34.7% | 9th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.3% | 17th | 13.2% | 42nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 17.2% | 4th | 10.9% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.37 | 32nd | 3.13 | 65th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.4% | 28th | 33.1% | 12th |
| Stuff rate | 13.7% | 31st | 14.3% | 97th |
| Sack rate | 13.2% | 132nd | 7.9% | 15th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.6% | 33rd | 34.1% | 20th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.1% | 35th | 55.3% | 32nd |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 124th | 9.5% | 36th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.9 | 24th | 19.0 | 16th |
| Yards / game | 393.1 | 59th | 316.0 | 18th |
| Yards / play | 5.89 | 46th | 4.80 | 21st |
| Pass yards / game | 220.4 | 70th | 172.4 | 20th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.49 | 5th | 6.48 | 18th |
| Completion % | 64.0% | 37th | 59.3% | 47th |
| Rush yards / game | 172.6 | 48th | 124.9 | 33rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.31 | 68th | 3.72 | 34th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.0% | 22nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.79 | 10th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.50 | 125th | 2.79 | 16th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.8 | 50th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →