The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 86Rice | W 37–10 | +18.7 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 8Alabama | W 34–24 | +28.1 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 71Wyoming | W 31–10 | +17.0 | — | LHN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 102BaylorCONF | W 38–6 | +23.6 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 27KansasCONF | W 40–14 | +28.9 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 9OklahomaCONFNEUTRAL | L 30–34 | +10.1 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 87HoustonCONF | W 31–24 | +5.7 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 80BYUCONF | W 35–6 | +20.6 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 11Kansas StateCONF | W 33–30 | +14.1 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 30TCUCONF | W 29–26 | +11.1 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 34Iowa StateCONF | W 26–16 | +17.7 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 40Texas TechCONF | W 57–7 | +34.7 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 43Oklahoma StateNEUTRAL | W 49–21 | +28.8 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 12WashingtonNEUTRAL | L 31–37 | +7.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.4% | 17th | 39.5% | 34th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.3% | 42nd | 37.9% | 23rd |
| Passing success rate | 48.5% | 12th | 40.7% | 61st |
| Explosive run rate | 15.6% | 50th | 9.6% | 5th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 34th | 9.8% | 54th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.29 | 47th | 2.51 | 3rd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.8% | 44th | 31.4% | 6th |
| Stuff rate | 16.8% | 71st | 22.7% | 9th |
| Sack rate | 5.6% | 65th | 5.9% | 68th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.9% | 72nd | 26.5% | 2nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.9% | 123rd | 51.5% | 18th |
| Havoc rate | 7.2% | 43rd | 10.7% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.6 | 16th | 18.9 | 15th |
| Yards / game | 477.5 | 9th | 336.7 | 35th |
| Yards / play | 6.49 | 13th | 5.06 | 41st |
| Pass yards / game | 289.1 | 17th | 238.6 | 112th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.52 | 19th | 7.08 | 55th |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 17th | 61.0% | 74th |
| Rush yards / game | 188.4 | 25th | 82.4 | 3rd |
| Yards / carry | 5.01 | 21st | 2.90 | 5th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.4% | 68th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.29 | 47th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 63rd | 2.29 | 54th |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.2 | 73rd | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →