The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 88Arkansas State | W 73–0 | +34.6 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 18SMU | W 28–11 | +23.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 110Tulsa | W 66–17 | +27.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 93CincinnatiCONF | W 20–6 | +11.6 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 34Iowa StateCONF | W 50–20 | +28.7 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 5TexasCONFNEUTRAL | W 34–30 | +20.9 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 49UCFCONF | W 31–29 | +2.5 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 27KansasCONF | L 33–38 | +4.3 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 43Oklahoma StateCONF | L 24–27 | +2.9 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 36West VirginiaCONF | W 59–20 | +31.3 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 80BYUCONF | W 31–24 | +6.9 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 30TCUCONF | W 69–45 | +27.0 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 17ArizonaNEUTRAL | L 24–38 | -4.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.7% | 6th | 39.8% | 36th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.5% | 16th | 41.0% | 43rd |
| Passing success rate | 52.8% | 4th | 38.9% | 38th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 55th | 16.4% | 102nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.1% | 8th | 10.1% | 65th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 74th | 2.68 | 9th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.4% | 21st | 35.0% | 26th |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 95th | 26.7% | 1st |
| Sack rate | 3.8% | 25th | 4.0% | 122nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 52.0% | 5th | 34.5% | 24th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.4% | 22nd | 56.8% | 38th |
| Havoc rate | 9.2% | 97th | 12.6% | 3rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 41.7 | 3rd | 23.5 | 48th |
| Yards / game | 507.0 | 3rd | 389.7 | 81st |
| Yards / play | 6.63 | 10th | 5.28 | 57th |
| Pass yards / game | 324.9 | 6th | 238.1 | 111th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.32 | 10th | 6.88 | 44th |
| Completion % | 68.4% | 9th | 56.8% | 23rd |
| Rush yards / game | 182.2 | 35th | 138.9 | 44th |
| Yards / carry | 4.54 | 45th | 3.92 | 48th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.9% | 8th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.54 | 35th | 1.85 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.1 | 98th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →