
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 9Oklahoma | L 0–73 | -24.5 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 31Memphis | L 3–37 | -24.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Stony Brook FCS | W 31–7 | +0.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 114Southern MissCONF | W 44–37 | -4.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 128Massachusetts | W 52–28 | +13.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 19TroyCONF | L 3–37 | -16.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 64Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 17–27 | -12.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 127UL MonroeCONF | W 34–24 | -0.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 73LouisianaCONF | W 37–17 | +16.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 46South AlabamaCONF | L 14–21 | -1.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 72Texas StateCONF | W 77–31 | +27.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 99MarshallCONF | L 21–35 | -16.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 98Northern IllinoisNEUTRAL | L 19–21 | -7.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.8% | 79th | 42.4% | 66th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.5% | 71st | 44.3% | 71st |
| Passing success rate | 40.1% | 76th | 40.6% | 58th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.9% | 80th | 15.8% | 89th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.5% | 19th | 11.2% | 92nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.25 | 54th | 3.06 | 48th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.1% | 29th | 38.9% | 81st |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 67th | 16.8% | 63rd |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 72nd | 4.6% | 108th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.1% | 88th | 41.3% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.0% | 106th | 56.5% | 37th |
| Havoc rate | 9.4% | 103rd | 8.3% | 63rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.1 | 69th | 30.5 | 104th |
| Yards / game | 373.6 | 74th | 443.6 | 127th |
| Yards / play | 5.65 | 61st | 6.01 | 112th |
| Pass yards / game | 226.0 | 63rd | 248.7 | 122nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.94 | 42nd | 7.82 | 103rd |
| Completion % | 56.2% | 108th | 68.7% | 131st |
| Rush yards / game | 147.6 | 79th | 184.2 | 116th |
| Yards / carry | 4.18 | 80th | 4.74 | 107th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.5% | 103rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.38 | 93rd | 1.85 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.9 | 112th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaylen Raynor | QB | ||||
| 5 | J.T. Shrout | QB | ||||
| 15 | Jaxon Dailey | QB | ||||
| 2 | Ja'Quez Cross | RB | ||||
| 4 | Brian Snead | RB | ||||
| 20 | Mike Sharpe II | RB | ||||
| 21 | Zak Wallace | RB | ||||
| 22 | Cedric Hawkins | RB | ||||
| 6 | Wyatt Begeal | WR | ||||
| 7 | Corey Rucker | WR | ||||
| 9 | Courtney Jackson | WR | ||||
| 10 | Tennel Bryant | WR | ||||
| 11 | Adam Jones | WR | ||||
| 14 | Jeff Foreman | WR | ||||
| 16 | Chauncy Cobb | WR | ||||
| 23 | Takare Lipscomb | WR | ||||
| 28 | Reagan Ealy | WR | ||||
| 84 | Reed Linder | WR | ||||
| 85 | DeAndra Burns Jr. | WR | ||||
| 12 | Manny Stevenson Jr. | TE | ||||
| 13 | Miller McCrumby | TE | ||||
| 18 | Kevin Diaz | TE | ||||
| 73 | Jacob Bayer | C | ||||
| 4 | Terion Sugick | DL | ||||
| 32 | Ethan Hassler | DL | ||||
| 34 | Timothy Gulley | DL | ||||
| 55 | Micah Bland | DL | ||||
| 90 | Tim Hardiman | DL | ||||
| 96 | Kadan Lewis | DL | ||||
| 17 | Blayne Toll | DE | ||||
| 18 | Dennard Flowers | DE | ||||
| 92 | Thurman Geathers | DE | ||||
| 45 | Nate Martey | DT | ||||
| 91 | Ashtin Rustemeyer | DT | ||||
| 13 | Gavin Potter | LB | ||||
| 21 | Melique Straker | LB | ||||
| 22 | Sam Graham | LB | ||||
| 23 | Dane Motley | LB | ||||
| 24 | Javante Mackey | LB | ||||
| 27 | Jamil Williams | LB | ||||
| 33 | Cam Jeffery | LB | ||||
| 36 | Charles Willekes | LB | ||||
| 6 | Dontay Joyner | DB | ||||
| 12 | Websley Etienne | DB | ||||
| 0 | Justin Hodges | CB | ||||
| 1 | Samy Johnson | CB | ||||
| 2 | Leon Jones | CB | ||||
| 37 | AJ Beale | CB | ||||
| 4 | Taylon Doss | S | ||||
| 8 | Eddie Smith | S | ||||
| 9 | Trevian Thomas | S | ||||
| 14 | James Reed III | S | ||||
| 15 | Brandon Greil | S | ||||
| 29 | Justin Parks | S | ||||
| 33 | Dominic Zvada | PK | ||||
| 34 | Clune Van Andel | PK | ||||
| 92 | William Przystup | P | ||||
| 25 | Keyron Crawford | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →