Sun Belt · 2023 · Final

Arkansas State Red Wolves 2023

6-74-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#88
of 133 FBS teams
Rating
-4.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.1
84th in FBS
Defense
-1.8
83rd in FBS
Schedule
-2.9
85th toughest
Preseason
-4.4
rating going in

2023 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-4.0 now, -4.4 preseason · up 24 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#88

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2@9OklahomaL 0–73-24.5—ESPN
2Sep 9vs31MemphisL 3–37-24.8—ESPN+
3Sep 16vsStony Brook FCSW 31–7+0.8—ESPN+
4Sep 23vs114Southern MissCONFW 44–37-4.6—ESPN+
5Sep 30@128MassachusettsW 52–28+13.4—ESPN+
6Oct 7@19TroyCONFL 3–37-16.2—ESPN+
7—Bye
8Oct 21vs64Coastal CarolinaCONFL 17–27-12.7—ESPN+
9Oct 28@127UL MonroeCONFW 34–24-0.4—ESPN+
10Nov 4vs73LouisianaCONFW 37–17+16.1—ESPN+
11Nov 11@46South AlabamaCONFL 14–21-1.1—ESPN+
12Nov 18vs72Texas StateCONFW 77–31+27.7—ESPN+
13Nov 25@99MarshallCONFL 21–35-16.8—ESPN+
BowlsDec 23vs98Northern IllinoisNEUTRALL 19–21-7.3—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.8%79th42.4%66th
Rushing success rate43.5%71st44.3%71st
Passing success rate40.1%76th40.6%58th
Explosive run rate13.9%80th15.8%89th
Explosive pass rate13.5%19th11.2%92nd
Line yards / carry3.2554th3.0648th
Opportunity rate42.1%29th38.9%81st
Stuff rate16.4%67th16.8%63rd
Sack rate6.0%72nd4.6%108th
3rd-down conversion38.1%88th41.3%77th
Red-zone TD rate55.0%106th56.5%37th
Havoc rate9.4%103rd8.3%63rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.169th30.5104th
Yards / game373.674th443.6127th
Yards / play5.6561st6.01112th
Pass yards / game226.063rd248.7122nd
Yards / pass att.7.9442nd7.82103rd
Completion %56.2%108th68.7%131st
Rush yards / game147.679th184.2116th
Yards / carry4.1880th4.74107th
3rd-down conv. %35.5%103rd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0016th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3893rd1.8588th
Penalty yards / game60.9112th——

Players

59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)

59 players

Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →