
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Northwestern State FCS | W 38–13 | +1.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 94Old DominionCONF | L 31–38 | -9.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 107UAB | W 41–21 | +15.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 116Buffalo | W 45–38 | -5.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 74Minnesota | L 24–35 | -10.1 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 72Texas StateCONF | W 34–30 | 0.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 85Georgia StateCONF | L 17–20 | -9.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 46South AlabamaCONF | W 33–20 | +18.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 88Arkansas StateCONF | L 17–37 | -21.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 114Southern MissCONF | L 31–34 | -14.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 19TroyCONF | L 24–31 | +4.3 | — | NFL Net |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 127UL MonroeCONF | W 52–21 | +10.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 69Jacksonville StateNEUTRAL | L 31–34 | -3.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.7% | 35th | 45.6% | 111th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.3% | 42nd | 48.6% | 119th |
| Passing success rate | 44.9% | 31st | 41.7% | 77th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.6% | 24th | 12.3% | 29th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 93rd | 10.1% | 65th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.40 | 25th | 3.41 | 114th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.6% | 33rd | 38.7% | 79th |
| Stuff rate | 15.6% | 61st | 10.5% | 130th |
| Sack rate | 5.3% | 57th | 5.8% | 70th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.0% | 60th | 47.8% | 124th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.3% | 91st | 62.0% | 73rd |
| Havoc rate | 6.4% | 25th | 6.0% | 114th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.1 | 31st | 28.6 | 88th |
| Yards / game | 393.1 | 58th | 385.7 | 75th |
| Yards / play | 5.94 | 44th | 5.03 | 36th |
| Pass yards / game | 216.7 | 76th | 199.6 | 49th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.68 | 50th | 7.22 | 66th |
| Completion % | 64.8% | 29th | 61.5% | 84th |
| Rush yards / game | 176.5 | 41st | 170.7 | 103rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.89 | 26th | 3.85 | 42nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.7% | 53rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 59th | 2.54 | 31st |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.8 | 61st | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →