
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 47Virginia Tech | L 17–36 | -13.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 73LouisianaCONF | W 38–31 | +3.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 82Wake Forest | L 24–27 | -8.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs Texas A&M-Commerce FCS | W 10–9 | -22.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 99MarshallCONF | L 35–41 | -8.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 114Southern MissCONF | W 17–13 | -2.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 54Appalachian StateCONF | W 28–21 | +7.0 | — | NFL Net |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 22James MadisonCONF | L 27–30 | +7.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 64Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 24–28 | -6.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 28Liberty | L 10–38 | -16.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 90Georgia SouthernCONF | W 20–17 | +1.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 85Georgia StateCONF | W 25–24 | -5.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 66Western KentuckyNEUTRAL | L 35–38 | -3.6 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.9% | 109th | 44.7% | 99th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.5% | 92nd | 42.9% | 59th |
| Passing success rate | 36.2% | 108th | 46.7% | 127th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.6% | 16th | 9.7% | 6th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.4% | 44th | 10.0% | 57th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 79th | 2.98 | 37th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.4% | 54th | 36.1% | 39th |
| Stuff rate | 19.1% | 107th | 18.1% | 44th |
| Sack rate | 14.4% | 133rd | 3.4% | 127th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.7% | 62nd | 42.8% | 93rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.5% | 108th | 57.7% | 42nd |
| Havoc rate | 13.0% | 132nd | 6.5% | 104th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.9 | 90th | 27.1 | 73rd |
| Yards / game | 348.3 | 95th | 392.5 | 84th |
| Yards / play | 5.05 | 99th | 5.12 | 45th |
| Pass yards / game | 194.8 | 101st | 239.1 | 113th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.01 | 82nd | 7.27 | 70th |
| Completion % | 56.5% | 103rd | 65.6% | 124th |
| Rush yards / game | 153.5 | 74th | 142.0 | 47th |
| Yards / carry | 4.21 | 77th | 3.49 | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.9% | 84th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 64th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 4.77 | 133rd | 1.46 | 123rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.1 | 114th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →