The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 94Old Dominion | W 36–17 | +11.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 79Purdue | L 17–24 | -12.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 57Rutgers | L 16–35 | -15.2 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 99Marshall | L 17–24 | -9.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 84PittsburghCONF | W 38–21 | +10.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 10Florida StateCONF | L 17–39 | -5.8 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 82Wake ForestCONF | W 30–13 | +11.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 81SyracuseCONF | W 38–10 | +19.6 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 23LouisvilleCONF | L 3–34 | -16.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 91Boston CollegeCONF | W 48–22 | +22.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 32NC StateCONF | L 28–35 | -4.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 101VirginiaCONF | W 55–17 | +25.8 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 45TulaneNEUTRAL | W 41–20 | +24.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.3% | 50th | 37.6% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.2% | 26th | 39.4% | 30th |
| Passing success rate | 39.8% | 81st | 35.5% | 13th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.7% | 21st | 13.9% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 67th | 7.9% | 13th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.33 | 41st | 2.90 | 24th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 25th | 36.5% | 46th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 69th | 19.6% | 26th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 72nd | 10.2% | 2nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.4% | 101st | 34.2% | 21st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.8% | 93rd | 63.3% | 81st |
| Havoc rate | 7.6% | 55th | 12.2% | 5th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.5 | 57th | 23.9 | 52nd |
| Yards / game | 391.4 | 60th | 316.8 | 20th |
| Yards / play | 5.79 | 50th | 4.91 | 25th |
| Pass yards / game | 201.6 | 97th | 150.0 | 5th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.34 | 67th | 6.43 | 17th |
| Completion % | 57.4% | 100th | 61.0% | 72nd |
| Rush yards / game | 189.8 | 23rd | 148.0 | 58th |
| Yards / carry | 4.95 | 24th | 4.19 | 69th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.9% | 108th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 34th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 52nd | 3.00 | 11th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.9 | 97th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →