
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs UAlbany FCS | W 21–17 | -19.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 105East Carolina | W 31–13 | +14.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 47Virginia Tech | W 24–17 | +7.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 94Old DominionCONF | W 41–35 | -1.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 32NC State | L 41–48 | +0.7 | — | CW |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 85Georgia StateCONF | L 24–41 | -18.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 22James MadisonCONF | L 9–20 | -5.8 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 64Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 6–34 | -23.0 | — | NFL Net |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 54Appalachian StateCONF | L 9–31 | -16.9 | — | NFL Net |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 90Georgia SouthernCONF | W 38–33 | -1.8 | — | NFL Net |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 46South AlabamaCONF | L 0–28 | -19.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 88Arkansas StateCONF | W 35–21 | +7.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 42UTSANEUTRAL | L 17–35 | -14.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.1% | 107th | 38.5% | 23rd |
| Rushing success rate | 38.9% | 117th | 37.5% | 15th |
| Passing success rate | 39.3% | 84th | 39.5% | 43rd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 94th | 15.9% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.5% | 89th | 9.0% | 33rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.77 | 127th | 2.89 | 23rd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 93rd | 36.0% | 38th |
| Stuff rate | 20.2% | 119th | 18.4% | 41st |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 105th | 6.9% | 41st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.4% | 120th | 34.3% | 22nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.2% | 122nd | 51.1% | 15th |
| Havoc rate | 11.1% | 125th | 10.1% | 23rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.8 | 105th | 28.7 | 90th |
| Yards / game | 358.5 | 87th | 376.8 | 62nd |
| Yards / play | 5.10 | 93rd | 5.30 | 59th |
| Pass yards / game | 226.2 | 62nd | 205.0 | 59th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.92 | 86th | 6.79 | 38th |
| Completion % | 63.1% | 49th | 58.9% | 41st |
| Rush yards / game | 132.3 | 95th | 155.8 | 80th |
| Yards / carry | 3.81 | 101st | 4.34 | 83rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.9% | 121st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.23 | 131st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.77 | 108th | 2.69 | 22nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.2 | 101st | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →