
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 45–24 | -2.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 39North Carolina | L 34–40 | +0.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 105East Carolina | W 43–28 | +6.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 71Wyoming | L 19–22 | -1.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 127UL MonroeCONF | W 41–40 | -9.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 64Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 24–27 | -5.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 94Old DominionCONF | L 21–28 | -9.4 | — | NFL Net |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 114Southern MissCONF | W 48–38 | -1.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 99MarshallCONF | W 31–9 | +14.2 | — | NFL Net |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 85Georgia StateCONF | W 42–14 | +24.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 22James MadisonCONF | W 26–23 | +13.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 90Georgia SouthernCONF | W 55–27 | +18.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 2 | @ 19Troy | L 23–49 | -13.4 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 56Miami (OH)NEUTRAL | W 13–9 | +6.0 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.5% | 28th | 43.1% | 74th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.0% | 64th | 46.4% | 96th |
| Passing success rate | 49.0% | 11th | 39.8% | 50th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.7% | 64th | 18.7% | 128th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.4% | 44th | 8.9% | 32nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.28 | 48th | 3.53 | 126th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.3% | 76th | 43.4% | 122nd |
| Stuff rate | 14.9% | 49th | 13.9% | 103rd |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 13th | 6.3% | 55th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.7% | 31st | 40.4% | 68th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.3% | 83rd | 57.8% | 43rd |
| Havoc rate | 5.4% | 10th | 8.1% | 76th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.4 | 25th | 26.6 | 68th |
| Yards / game | 445.9 | 22nd | 378.9 | 65th |
| Yards / play | 6.08 | 34th | 5.54 | 73rd |
| Pass yards / game | 273.6 | 28th | 183.0 | 28th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.11 | 38th | 6.67 | 31st |
| Completion % | 63.6% | 44th | 61.1% | 78th |
| Rush yards / game | 172.3 | 51st | 177.9 | 113th |
| Yards / carry | 4.52 | 49th | 4.97 | 117th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.8% | 45th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.57 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 33rd | 2.50 | 35th |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.5 | 18th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →