Final TDC rank
#19
of 133 FBS teams
Rating
+8.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.9
58th in FBS
Defense
+7.8
10th in FBS
Schedule
-1.7
72nd toughest
Preseason
+3.0
rating going in
2023 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+8.8 now, +3.0 preseason · up 12 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin FCS | W 48–30 | -5.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 11Kansas State | L 13–42 | -9.5 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 22James MadisonCONF | L 14–16 | +3.2 | — | NFL Net |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 66Western Kentucky | W 27–24 | -0.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 85Georgia StateCONF | W 28–7 | +19.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 88Arkansas StateCONF | W 37–3 | +21.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 89Army | W 19–0 | +17.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 72Texas StateCONF | W 31–13 | +19.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 46South AlabamaCONF | W 28–10 | +18.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 127UL MonroeCONF | W 45–14 | +16.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 73LouisianaCONF | W 31–24 | +3.1 | — | NFL Net |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 114Southern MissCONF | W 35–17 | +11.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 54Appalachian State | W 49–23 | +24.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 26DukeNEUTRAL | L 10–17 | 0.0 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.6% | 80th | 38.5% | 23rd |
| Rushing success rate | 42.4% | 84th | 37.8% | 20th |
| Passing success rate | 40.8% | 70th | 39.0% | 39th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.8% | 62nd | 14.9% | 71st |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.7% | 36th | 8.4% | 21st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.17 | 66th | 2.83 | 20th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.6% | 62nd | 33.4% | 13th |
| Stuff rate | 17.8% | 88th | 21.1% | 15th |
| Sack rate | 4.9% | 49th | 8.0% | 12th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.0% | 60th | 33.5% | 16th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.0% | 62nd | 50.0% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 6.5% | 26th | 10.0% | 26th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.6 | 55th | 17.3 | 10th |
| Yards / game | 419.4 | 38th | 308.3 | 14th |
| Yards / play | 6.07 | 37th | 4.52 | 10th |
| Pass yards / game | 266.0 | 34th | 177.9 | 25th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.15 | 33rd | 6.49 | 19th |
| Completion % | 61.3% | 66th | 62.5% | 99th |
| Rush yards / game | 153.4 | 75th | 106.8 | 13th |
| Yards / carry | 4.42 | 56th | 3.17 | 11th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.0% | 51st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.29 | 47th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.79 | 49th | 3.36 | 4th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.8 | 50th | — | — |
Players
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
61 players
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →