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Sun Belt · 2026

Troy Trojans

Head coach Gerad Parker · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
4-42-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#107
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-11.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-7.0
112th in FBS
Defense
-4.1
97th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.2
112th toughest
Projected
5.6-6.4
bowl-eligible 52%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-11.0 now, -13.3 preseason · down 3 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#107

Final record odds

5.6-6.4 expected · most likely 5-7 (34%)
14%4-834%5-734%6-615%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Goose Crowder
QB · SR · 108th in FBS
1162yds
9 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Gavin Griffin
RB · JR · 112th in FBS
436yds
98 car · 3 TD
Receiving
TK Keyes
WR · JR · 281st in FBS
282yds
13 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Justin Powe
S · SR · 152nd in FBS
54tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
Donnie Smith
DB · SR · 7th in FBS
7sacks
7 hurries
Interceptions
Justin Powe
S · SR · 16th in FBS
3INT
3 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs129Sam HoustonW 24–21 ›-19.6—ESPN+
2Sep 12vsAlabama State FCSW 34–17 ›-10.9—ESPN+
3Sep 19@18MissouriL 17–27 ›+8.7—SECN+
4Sep 26@86Utah StateL 10–21 ›-12.8—CBSSN
5—Bye
6Oct 6vs121Southern MissCONFW 55–34 ›+1.7—ESPN2
7Oct 17@89LouisianaCONFL 6–33 ›-27.2—ESPN+
8Oct 24vs136UL MonroeCONFL 14–21 ›-34.5—ESPN+
9Oct 29@59James MadisonCONFW 24–21 ›+9.8—ESPN2
10Nov 7vs73Louisiana TechCONFLouisiana Tech −6.6 · o/u 48.1—33%ESPN+
11Nov 14@106South AlabamaCONFSouth Alabama −3.9 · o/u 60.2—40%ESPN+
12Nov 21vs91Georgia SouthernCONFGeorgia Southern −1.0 · o/u 46.7—47%
13Nov 28@105Arkansas StateCONFArkansas State −4.1 · o/u 54.0—39%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.024117th+0.02738th
Success rate38.7%117th39.7%51st
Explosiveness1.20393rd1.24270th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.9%116th39.8%48th
Rushing success rate42.8%78th40.2%48th
Passing success rate33.8%131st39.4%57th
Explosive run rate15.0%41st12.4%56th
Explosive pass rate6.3%134th6.7%13th
Line yards / carry3.2051st2.9048th
Opportunity rate41.2%38th35.3%45th
Stuff rate15.7%46th17.8%70th
Sack rate5.9%84th4.4%103rd
3rd-down conversion33.3%124th34.9%29th
Red-zone TD rate63.6%64th53.8%43rd
Havoc rate15.7%120th14.0%67th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.0102nd24.467th
Yards / game370.677th344.055th
Yards / play5.13108th5.2466th
Pass yards / game176.8121st210.670th
Yards / pass att.6.20127th6.9155th
Completion %54.6%130th61.1%61st
Rush yards / game193.927th133.456th
Yards / carry4.7047th4.0171st
3rd-down conv. %32.5%124th35.5%44th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.2565th1.6222nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2594th1.8882nd
Penalty yards / game68.3111th51.995th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.1
53rd of 138
YAC per catch
6.0
37th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
18%
25th of 138
Shotgun
97%
59th of 138
No-huddle
95%
8th of 138
QB pressured
15%
42nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
73rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.3
124th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws221 throws charted

55% comp9.1 avg. depth6.0 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds11–5 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 10 caught (83%), 79 yds, 6.6 per throw1283% · 79yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 10 caught (77%), 67 yds, 5.2 per throw1377% · 67yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 8 caught (67%), 86 yds, 7.2 per throw1267% · 86yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 123 yds, 13.7 per throw956% · 123yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 17 yds, 8.5 per throw250% · 17yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 3 caught (27%), 97 yds, 8.8 per throw1127% · 97yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 54 yds, 7.7 per throw771% · 54yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 67 yds, 5.6 per throw1258% · 67yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 5 caught (38%), 148 yds, 11.4 per throw1338% · 148yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 46 yds, 15.3 per throw333% · 46yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 28 yds, 14.0 per throw250% · 28yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 37 yds, 9.3 per throw425% · 37yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (10%), 19 caught (90%), 101 yds, 4.8 per throw2190% · 101yRight, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (12%), 18 caught (67%), 83 yds, 3.1 per throw2767% · 83yRight, 5–9 air yards: 31 throws (14%), 17 caught (55%), 136 yds, 4.4 per throw3155% · 136yRight, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 5 caught (36%), 64 yds, 4.6 per throw1436% · 64yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 52 yds, 8.7 per throw650% · 52yRight, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 2 caught (15%), 79 yds, 6.1 per throw1315% · 79yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 32 yds, 10.7 per throw333% · 32y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on235 throws charted

60% comp9.0 avg. depth4.3 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds15–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (8%), 14 caught (78%), 47 yds, 2.6 per throw1878% · 47yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 6 caught (38%), 25 yds, 1.6 per throw1638% · 25yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 71 yds, 5.9 per throw1258% · 71yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 114 yds, 10.4 per throw1173% · 114yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 58 yds, 14.5 per throw475% · 58yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 52 yds, 8.7 per throw633% · 52yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 1 caught (11%), 38 yds, 4.2 per throw911% · 38yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 17 yds, 2.8 per throw683% · 17yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 8 caught (62%), 49 yds, 3.8 per throw1362% · 49yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 13 caught (76%), 116 yds, 6.8 per throw1776% · 116yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 152 yds, 10.1 per throw1573% · 152yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 76 yds, 15.2 per throw580% · 76yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 68 yds, 17.0 per throw450% · 68yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (8%), 17 caught (89%), 66 yds, 3.5 per throw1989% · 66yRight, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 15 caught (65%), 79 yds, 3.4 per throw2365% · 79yRight, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 15 caught (63%), 189 yds, 7.9 per throw2463% · 189yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 77 yds, 7.0 per throw1145% · 77yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 49 yds, 6.1 per throw838% · 49yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 130 yds, 26.0 per throw560% · 130yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 95 yds, 15.8 per throw650% · 95y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction307 carries

Left
13%
5.2 YPC · 45% succ.
Middle
74%
5.4 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
13%
6.0 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced246 carries

Left
20%
6.6 YPC · 46% succ.
Middle
59%
4.3 YPC · 36% succ.
Right
20%
3.9 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Gerad Parker

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Jack JamesQBSO6' 0"208Paducah, KY
9Goose CrowderQBSR6' 2"214Gardendale, AL
10Tucker KilcreaseQBSR6' 0"208Brantley, AL
11Rodge WaldropQBJR6' 5"216Thomasville, GA
0Gavin GriffinRBJR5' 10"198Canton, MS
1Jordan LovettRBSR5' 10"186Statesboro, GA
3Jaheim MerriweatherRBJR6' 2"210Jackson, TN
21AC WaltersRBSO5' 10"199Montgomery, AL
22Bryce BurgessRBJR5' 7"163Houston, TX
25Dennis PalmerRBJR5' 10"197Jensen Beach, FL
26DeWhitt Betterson Jr.RBSR6' 0"214Ocala, FL
2Jywon BoydWRJR6' 0"178Troy, AL
4Noreel WhiteWRJR6' 1"195Moss Point, MS
5Mojo DortchWRSR6' 0"167Lucedale, MS
7Kristian TateWRSR6' 2"171Seat Pleasant, MD
8TK KeyesWRJR6' 2"207Taylorsville, MS
12Hayden JacksonWRSR5' 11"162Douglasville, GA
13Ky McNultyWRJR6' 3"201Bay Minette, AL
15TJ LottWRSR5' 11"163Pahokee, FL
17Jace PettyWRSR5' 11"180Frisco, TX
18Howard KinchenWRSR6' 3"190Lafayette, LA
81Jah'Marren JacksonWRSO6' 5"201Mc Kenzie, AL
82Dylan DensonWRFR5' 10"183Miami Gardens, FL
84Andrew LeslieWRSO5' 11"199Conyers, GA
14Marquis HarrisTESR6' 5"264Shreveport, LA
19Nick HamptonTEFR6' 3"225Gulf Shores, AL
80JT TangTESR6' 5"260Sydney, Australia
85Fabian RogoschTESR6' 5"243Hamburg, Germany
86Jayvin BennettTESO6' 2"232Buford, GA
51Luke PetitOLSR6' 3"299Akron, OH
54Caleb AshOLJR6' 6"301Atlanta, GA
55Jordon JonesOLSR6' 3"315Ashland, KY
56Sharvon PierreOLSO6' 3"283Waycross, GA
57Noah MercerOLSR6' 3"308Marianna, FL
58Elijah PratherOLSR6' 4"291La Vergne, TN
59Chris KingOL6' 2"295Lanett, AL
65Tyler CappiOLSR6' 3"295Priceville, AL
66Jatorian BlackmonOLSO6' 5"320LaGrange, GA
67Trinton PritchettOLFR6' 6"308Auburn, AL
71Antwone BrelandOLJR6' 6"299Hattiesburg, MS
72Patrick Screws Jr.OLSR6' 5"320Eufaula, AL
73Tyler BellOLSR6' 2"319Memphis, TN
74Tra'jon TownsendOLJR6' 6"292Los Angeles, CA
75Parks GlazeOLFR6' 6"295Fairhope, AL
77Darion RiversOLSR6' 6"323Charlotte, NC
79Corey DudleyOLFR6' 5"353Marrero, LA
25Kavion HendersonDEJR6' 2"256Leeds, AL
34Dontaye BushDEFR6' 4"245Mobile, AL
41Makel GreenDESO6' 2"242Phenix City, AL
88Will NormanDESR6' 4"297Camden, NJ
98Delvin WhitakerDESR6' 3"300Saint Francisville, LA
0Kam CurryDTSR6' 2"302Midland, TX
11Ty ClemonsDTSR6' 3"296Decatur, AL
40RJ ShambergerDTSO6' 4"301Monroeville, AL
52Kendall RoseberryDTFR6' 3"287Conyers, GA
69Jermaine ParamoreDTJR6' 2"290Saraland, AL
93RaKeem DavisDTJR6' 3"313Port Gibson, MS
95Miquon MerriweatherDTSR6' 2"306Columbus, GA
99Jaxon Villegez-WilliamsDTFR6' 2"293Mobile, AL
2Bryce SteeleLBSR6' 1"227Raleigh, NC
3Doug NelsonLBJR6' 3"213Hazlehurst, MS
4TJ ThompsonLBSR6' 0"219Bolton, MS
13DayDay NelsonLBSR6' 3"203Phoenix, AZ
18Jordan PerryLBSR6' 2"219Jefferson, GA
20Keyshawn CampbellLBSR6' 0"213Vero Beach, FL
23JT AlvisLBSO6' 1"215Helena, AL
24Jeremiah RouxLBFR6' 3"217Jonesboro, GA
35KD ReynoldsLBFR6' 3"181Montgomery, AL
42Jaden MosleyLBSR6' 2"230Mobile, AL
44Luke HodgeLBSR6' 2"220Oneonta, AL
46Gavyn BakerLBJR6' 1"222Moody, AL
5Lonnie SmithDBJR6' 2"240Jackson, MS
22Donnie SmithDBSR6' 4"234Greenville, MS
45Jordan FerrellDBSR6' 4"221Lawrenceville, GA
53Ashton DiggsDBSO6' 3"220Loganville, GA
1Jabari StraitCBSR6' 2"175Birmingham, AL
7Jordan TurnerCBSR6' 2"186Goose Creek, SC
12Shemar WelchCBJR6' 1"162Mobile, AL
14Jonathan PennixCBSR6' 0"178Concord, VA
17Marlin OdomCBJR6' 2"179Lucedale, MS
21Tai TerrellCBJR6' 1"181Saint Rose, LA
28Jaxon PennCBFR5' 10"191Florence, AL
32Jermaine MccreeCBFR5' 11"166Mobile, AL
6Justin PoweSSR6' 0"210Mobile, AL
8Marcus Goree Jr.SJR6' 1"185Chattanooga, TN
9Jamarion KeyesSJR6' 1"205Laurel, MS
10Knai CookSJR6' 0"203Duncan, SC
16Antonious SteeleSSO6' 1"192Centreville, AL
19Jon BocchinoSSO6' 0"201Niceville, FL
27OJ Vaughan Jr.SJR5' 9"189Brooklyn, NY
29Joe LottSJR6' 3"192Mobile, AL
30Keivay FosterSFR6' 4"191Muscle Shoals, AL
36Hank JamesSFR6' 0"182Paducah, KY
16Jalen BallardPKSR6' 2"194Brandon, MS
20Jaden TynesPKSO6' 3"178Kansas City, MO
33Ethan HeadPKJR6' 1"186Glen Ellyn, IL
28Evan CrenshawPSR6' 4"184Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
49Austin LewisPSO5' 11"184Helena, AL
68Kinnick ManleyLSSR6' 2"201Firestone, CO
87Colton WallsLSSR6' 3"237Millbrook, AL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+8.8, #19) · worst: 2014 (-13.2, #121)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#90
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-42-2#107-11.0-7.0-4.1
20258-66-2#90-4.0-3.7-0.3
20244-83-5#95-4.7-2.2-2.5
202311-37-1#19+8.8+0.9+7.8
202212-27-1#42+4.0-2.4+6.4
20215-73-5#101-5.8-5.1-0.8
20205-63-4#69-0.2-1.9+1.7
20195-73-5#91-3.6+3.1-6.6
201810-37-1#50+2.7-1.2+3.9
201711-27-1#43+4.3+0.7+3.6
201610-36-2#51+3.2+0.9+2.3
20154-83-5#97-5.9-4.0-1.9
20143-93-5#121-13.2-6.9-6.3

Troy's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →