The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 24Boise State | L 13–24 | -0.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Alabama State FCS | W 34–7 | +3.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 99New Mexico StateCONF | W 27–24 | -1.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 96Akron | W 22–17 | -3.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 18LSU | W 24–21 | +14.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 111South AlabamaCONF | L 8–19 | -22.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 109Georgia StateCONF | W 34–10 | +17.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 116Georgia SouthernCONF | W 38–16 | +7.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 107IdahoCONF | W 24–21 | -7.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 121Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 42–17 | +12.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 126Texas StateCONF | W 62–9 | +14.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Dec 2 | @ 60Arkansas StateCONF | W 32–25 | +10.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 90North TexasNEUTRAL | W 50–30 | +16.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.2% | 47th | 37.4% | 17th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.1% | 51st | 36.4% | 12th |
| Passing success rate | 43.5% | 40th | 38.2% | 34th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.0% | 74th | 10.8% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.8% | 99th | 9.0% | 31st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.92 | 74th | 2.46 | 10th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.6% | 61st | 34.9% | 35th |
| Stuff rate | 16.6% | 31st | 25.9% | 6th |
| Sack rate | 3.3% | 14th | 8.9% | 9th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.6% | 45th | 38.7% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.8% | 32nd | 43.2% | 2nd |
| Havoc rate | 10.4% | 21st | 17.8% | 3rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.5 | 46th | 18.5 | 6th |
| Yards / game | 418.6 | 46th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.14 | 27th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 269.6 | 33rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.62 | 49th | — | — |
| Completion % | 63.7% | 19th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 149.0 | 85th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.70 | 42nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.6% | 39th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.15 | 13th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.4 | 85th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →