Sun Belt · 2017 · Final

Arkansas State Red Wolves 2017

7-56-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#60
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+0.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
49th in FBS
Defense
-1.1
74th in FBS
Schedule
-8.6
127th toughest
Preseason
+0.2
rating going in

2017 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+0.8 now, +0.2 preseason · rank unchanged
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#60

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2@78NebraskaL 36–43-6.4—BTN
2Sep 9vs14MiamiMiami −7.1 · o/u 54.1—31%
3Sep 16vsArkansas-Pine Bluff FCSW 48–3+9.3—ESPN3
4Sep 23@74SMUL 21–44-21.5—ESPN3
5—Bye
6Oct 4@116Georgia SouthernCONFW 43–25+8.3—ESPN2
7Oct 14vs121Coastal CarolinaCONFW 51–17+10.8—ESPN3
8Oct 19vs118LouisianaCONFW 47–3+15.6—ESPNU
9Oct 28@99New Mexico StateCONFW 37–21+11.9—ESPN3
10—Bye
11Nov 11@111South AlabamaCONFL 19–24-11.6—ESPN3
12Nov 18vs126Texas StateCONFW 30–12-1.6—ESPN3
13Nov 25@110Louisiana MonroeCONFW 67–50+10.8—ESPN3
14Dec 2vs43TroyCONFL 25–32-5.2—ESPN2
BowlsDec 16vs93Middle TennesseeNEUTRALL 30–35-9.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.1%13th38.6%29th
Rushing success rate45.9%41st40.4%35th
Passing success rate49.6%6th37.0%30th
Explosive run rate14.3%70th14.8%71st
Explosive pass rate12.3%30th11.9%97th
Line yards / carry3.0841st2.5614th
Opportunity rate37.6%74th35.7%43rd
Stuff rate17.6%39th23.1%20th
Sack rate5.8%60th7.0%37th
3rd-down conversion48.1%11th34.6%20th
Red-zone TD rate59.6%85th67.9%96th
Havoc rate12.3%55th16.4%9th
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.818th31.184th
Yards / game494.810th——
Yards / play5.8944th——
Pass yards / game342.25th——
Yards / pass att.8.0230th——
Completion %61.9%33rd——
Rush yards / game152.680th——
Yards / carry3.9692nd——
3rd-down conv. %44.4%24th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.75109th——
Penalty yards / game69.0119th——

Players

60 players who recorded a stat in 2017 (from box scores)

60 players

Final ratings for 2017, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2017 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2017 power rankings →