Sun Belt · 2026

South Alabama Jaguars

Head coach Major Applewhite · Hancock Whitney Stadium
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#93
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-3.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
49th in FBS
Defense
-5.0
122nd in FBS
Schedule so far
-9.7
115th toughest
Projected
6.8-5.2
bowl-eligible 77%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-3.1 now, -4.1 preseason · up 15 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#93

Final record odds

6.8-5.2 expected · most likely 7-5 (22%)
3-97%4-814%5-720%6-622%7-518%8-411%9-310-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsSE Louisiana FCSW 39–14-2.9—ESPN+
2Sep 12@71TulaneL 24–28-1.1—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs103OhioW 41–36-2.7—ESPN+
4Sep 26@62KentuckyKentucky −7.2 · o/u 57.8—32%SEC Network
5Oct 3vs136UL MonroeCONFSouth Alabama −13.8 · o/u 59.0—82%ESPN+
6Oct 8@112Arkansas StateCONFArkansas State −0.1 · o/u 56.5—50%
7—Bye
8Oct 20@101MarshallCONFMarshall −1.9 · o/u 57.7—45%ESPN2
9Oct 31vs78Louisiana TechCONFSouth Alabama −1.7 · o/u 59.0—55%
10Nov 7@97LouisianaCONFLouisiana −2.4 · o/u 57.1—44%
11Nov 14vs98TroyCONFSouth Alabama −3.5 · o/u 54.9—59%
12Nov 21@123Southern MissCONFSouth Alabama −2.4 · o/u 57.0—56%
13Nov 27vs82App StateCONFSouth Alabama −2.1 · o/u 55.4—56%ESPN+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.22953rd+0.258125th
Success rate42.9%79th42.4%93rd
Explosiveness1.30851st1.643137th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.8%78th42.4%94th
Rushing success rate42.6%94th39.7%65th
Passing success rate45.7%58th44.7%106th
Explosive run rate12.5%89th19.0%129th
Explosive pass rate11.4%65th12.5%109th
Line yards / carry3.2456th2.9777th
Opportunity rate36.8%96th39.7%106th
Stuff rate12.5%34th20.6%49th
Sack rate2.5%34th5.3%67th
3rd-down conversion52.2%23rd46.4%114th
Red-zone TD rate57.1%93rd88.9%127th
Havoc rate11.1%47th18.0%25th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.755th26.095th
Yards / game443.747th347.376th
Yards / play5.7684th6.86131st
Pass yards / game214.086th210.776th
Yards / pass att.8.1064th8.66127th
Completion %67.1%52nd64.4%102nd
Rush yards / game229.724th136.781st
Yards / carry4.6059th5.54132nd
3rd-down conv. %52.1%18th43.3%108th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.001st1.3359th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0033rd1.6774th
Penalty yards / game61.390th51.387th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Major Applewhite

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
4Bishop DavenportQBSR6' 2"210Spring, TX
7Jared HollinsQBJR6' 4"210Semmes, AL
15Taylor Jacobs Jr.QBFR5' 11"195Tallahassee, FL
16Aaden ShamburgerQBFR6' 2"180Mobile, AL
18Jerry HorneQBSO6' 0"200Denham Springs, LA
0PJ MartinRBSR5' 10"205New Orleans, LA
3Keenan PhillipsRBJR5' 10"185Bainbridge, GA
17Anthony JefferyRBSO5' 8"190Thomson, GA
20Lavonte ColeRBFR5' 11"195Thomasville, GA
21Trae'von DunbarRBJR5' 10"205Graniteville, SC
24Julyon JordanRBSO5' 9"180Guntersville, AL
26Donovan CrowRBFR5' 11"215Phenix City, AL
1Anthony EagerWRSR6' 1"185Mobile, AL
2Jeremiah Jones-ThomasWRSO5' 11"180Crawfordville, FL
8Noah TosterWRSR6' 4"200Apex, NC
10Khatori MarionWRFR5' 11"180Mobile, AL
11Trae StevensonWRSO5' 11"190Madison, MS
12Brendan JenkinsWRSR6' 0"195Hoschton, GA
19Jerrian GrahamWRJR6' 1"200Prichard, AL
27Tylen CampbellWRSR5' 10"185Jackson, AL
81Miguel CamboiaWRSR5' 9"175Mobile, AL
85Brian BarnesWRJR6' 1"215Pascagoula, MS
89Brandon NolanWRFR5' 10"170Elberta, AK
9Rod GibbsTESR6' 4"250Atlanta, GA
14Maddox LynchTESO6' 5"240Vicksburg, MS
34Cam McFarlinTEJR6' 4"240Hoover, AL
82Julius MathisTEFR6' 4"230Lexington, MS
83Everett HunterTESR6' 4"250Manteca, CA
84Nate ForystekTESR6' 5"260Green Bay, WI
87Jordan MorrisTESR6' 4"230Apache Junction, AZ
88Owen CarlsonTESO6' 2"230Chelsea, AL
51Diego CamboiaOLSR6' 5"265Mobile, AL
56Naol AndargeOLJR6' 5"300Fairfax, VA
57Shalik HubbardOLSR6' 4"330Patterson, NJ
58Cam'Ron ThompsonOLFR6' 3"330Savannah, GA
61Julius KiddOLSR6' 2"260Mobile, AL
62Kyle GreakOLFR6' 2"293Orange Beach, AL
64Jamal SilerOLJR6' 4"310Elba, AL
67Artem Korchagin Jr.OLFR6' 4"300Moscow, Russia
68Reese Osei-WusuOLSR6' 4"310Cypress, TX
69Kenton JeridoOLSR6' 3"340Tuscaloosa, AL
70Elliott ChaneyOLFR6' 5"290Oxford, MS
71Jaylen BookerOLJR6' 5"305Jacksonville, FL
72Ethan HubbardOLSR6' 6"295Hoover, AL
73Jamal ScottOLFR5' 11"230Saint Francisville, LA
74Aydan NewellOLFR6' 3"315Brandon, MS
77Kearius BivensOLSO6' 5"295Chatom, AL
79Eric MahanOLFR6' 3"402Spanish Fort, AL
18Mase LewisDLSR6' 3"275Breaux Bridge, LA
39Rodney HunterDLJR6' 2"305Memphis, TN
41Tyler CarterDLJR6' 4"290Vicksburg, MS
49Tre BrownDLSR6' 3"295Natchitoches, LA
56Stephen JohnsonDLSR6' 3"310Fayetteville, GA
80Brayden HurstDLFR6' 3"310Ponchatoula, LA
90E'Mauri SmileyDLSO6' 1"265Opelika, AL
94Andrew HinesDLSO6' 3"285Kissimmee, FL
6Kaydon DegraffenreidLBSR6' 0"225Jacksonville, FL
10William Felton IVLBJR6' 1"225Pelham, AL
11Parker ShattuckLBJR6' 1"220LaGrange, GA
16Seidrion LangstonLBSR6' 1"220Lanett, AL
17Christian RossLBSR6' 2"235Teaneck, NJ
20Tirrell JohnsonLBSR6' 2"230Wynne, AR
22Caleb DozierLBJR6' 2"220Dothan, AL
25Tre'Mon HenryLBSR6' 1"235Columbus, GA
26Xavious Anderson Jr.LBFR6' 0"225Hogansville, GA
27Zechariah HallLBFR6' 1"230Sylvester, GA
30Perry HandLBFR5' 11"200Mobile, AL
33Tyray DarensburgLBFR5' 11"225Chalmette, LA
42Dylan ChiedoLBSR6' 0"230Jacksonville, FL
43Jacob PorcoLBJR6' 1"210Birmingham, AL
44Donnie ArnoldLBSO5' 11"235Deatsville, AL
45Demetress MosleyLBFR6' 2"195Pensacola, FL
46Terry Kirksey Jr.LBSR6' 2"245Theodore, AL
53Latrelle LettLBSO5' 8"235Mobile, AL
12Jaylen MosonCBSR5' 11"175Kennesaw, GA
19TJ CollierCBFR6' 0"180Mobile, AL
23Cube GurleyCBJR6' 1"195New Orleans, LA
24Damyrion DarbyCBJR5' 11"180Bassfield, MS
34Bradley ThomasCBSR5' 11"175Montgomery, AL
37Evan JonesCBFR6' 0"175Arab, AL
1D.J. MooreSSR6' 0"200Loganville, GA
2Jayvon HendersonSSR5' 10"190Auburn, GA
4Kohl BradleySSO6' 0"190Lucedale, MS
13Kam RobinsonSSR5' 11"185Winona, MS
14Cole BlaylockSSR6' 0"190Mobile, AL
21Deon CallinsSFR5' 10"190Birmingham, AL
28Tomareo Johnson Jr.SFR6' 2"200Pascagoula, MS
29Kaleb JacksonSSR5' 8"180Bessemer, AL
31Dashaun CaffeeSJR5' 7"165Prattville, AL
32Camen UpshawSFR6' 0"200Perry, FL
35Matthew LaseterSSO6' 0"180Flowood, MS
36Teryn GreenSFR6' 0"215Vicksburg, MS
38Braiden CheshireSFR5' 10"175Pace, FL
35Davis LittlePKJR6' 0"175Suwanee, GA
37Dylan FreeburyPKSO5' 10"180Rancho Palos Verdes, CA
38Peyton ArgentPKJR6' 0"195Hoover, AL
98Christopher AikmanPKFR5' 11"150Schertz, TX
40Aleksi PulkkinenPSR6' 4"215Helsinki, Finland
44Baxter TurnerLSSR5' 11"200Tibbie, AL
47Grant RountreeLSJR6' 1"215Nashville, TN

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →