
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Nicholls FCS | W 48–7 | +6.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 107Central Michigan | W 38–24 | +9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 26UCLA | L 31–32 | +7.5 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 121Louisiana Tech | W 38–14 | +11.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 70LouisianaCONF | W 20–17 | +5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 117UL MonroeCONF | W 41–34 | -4.7 | — | NFL Net |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 42TroyCONF | L 6–10 | -2.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 118Arkansas StateCONF | W 31–3 | +18.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 85Georgia SouthernCONF | W 38–31 | +5.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 114Texas StateCONF | W 38–21 | +5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 88Southern MissCONF | W 27–20 | +5.2 | — | NFL Net |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 105Old DominionCONF | W 27–20 | -2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 47Western KentuckyNEUTRAL | L 23–44 | -17.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 74th | 38.1% | 20th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.1% | 109th | 40.4% | 25th |
| Passing success rate | 44.2% | 42nd | 36.5% | 12th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.5% | 109th | 13.4% | 51st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.5% | 81st | 9.4% | 46th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 69th | 3.06 | 56th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.9% | 118th | 37.6% | 52nd |
| Stuff rate | 13.0% | 14th | 16.2% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 47th | 5.2% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.3% | 41st | 31.7% | 9th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.6% | 75th | 41.7% | 4th |
| Havoc rate | 5.7% | 13th | 7.0% | 102nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.2 | 49th | 21.3 | 26th |
| Yards / game | 424.4 | 37th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.64 | 56th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 267.7 | 32nd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.79 | 49th | — | — |
| Completion % | 65.1% | 24th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 156.7 | 63rd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.03 | 75th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.8% | 36th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 39th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 55th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 71.5 | 128th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →