The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 123Nevada | L 14–38 | -33.6 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 130Florida International | W 41–12 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 31Baylor | L 7–42 | -20.1 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs Houston Christian FCS | W 34–0 | +4.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 46James MadisonCONF | L 13–40 | -18.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 62Appalachian StateCONF | W 36–24 | +11.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 42TroyCONF | L 14–17 | +3.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 88Southern MissCONF | L 14–20 | -12.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 117UL MonroeCONF | L 30–31 | -8.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 58South AlabamaCONF | L 21–38 | -12.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 118Arkansas StateCONF | W 16–13 | -8.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 70LouisianaCONF | L 13–41 | -27.5 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.2% | 112th | 41.3% | 45th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.6% | 51st | 41.1% | 33rd |
| Passing success rate | 32.1% | 124th | 41.4% | 69th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.9% | 126th | 9.5% | 5th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.8% | 125th | 9.9% | 59th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.12 | 64th | 3.27 | 98th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 100th | 36.4% | 42nd |
| Stuff rate | 11.9% | 7th | 10.8% | 126th |
| Sack rate | 4.7% | 41st | 5.1% | 90th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.1% | 87th | 38.1% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 91st | 53.3% | 27th |
| Havoc rate | 5.5% | 10th | 5.4% | 127th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.1 | 111th | 26.3 | 61st |
| Yards / game | 325.2 | 114th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.57 | 119th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 221.1 | 80th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.97 | 118th | — | — |
| Completion % | 61.9% | 59th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 104.1 | 120th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.26 | 121st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.8% | 91st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 66th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 77th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.3 | 28th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2022 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Layne Hatcher | QB | ||||
| 11 | Calvin Hill | RB | ||||
| 15 | Damarius Good | RB | ||||
| 20 | Josh Berry | RB | ||||
| 22 | Lincoln Pare | RB | ||||
| 28 | Jahmyl Jeter | RB | ||||
| 34 | Emmanuel Abdallah | RB | ||||
| 0 | Rontavius Groves | WR | ||||
| 1 | Javen Banks | WR | ||||
| 2 | Ashtyn Hawkins | WR | ||||
| 5 | Demarcus Gregory | WR | ||||
| 6 | Donnovan Moorer | WR | ||||
| 9 | Drue Jackson | WR | ||||
| 13 | Charles Brown | WR | ||||
| 17 | Julian Ortega-Jones | WR | ||||
| 18 | Marcell Barbee | WR | ||||
| 19 | Dennis Robinson | WR | ||||
| 80 | Chandler Speights | WR | ||||
| 3 | Kordell Rodgers | TE | ||||
| 41 | Tyler Huff | TE | ||||
| 83 | Micah Hilts | TE | ||||
| 86 | Titus Lyons | TE | ||||
| 89 | Austin Groeschel | TE | ||||
| 54 | Levi Bell | DL | ||||
| 91 | Nelson Mbanasor | DL | ||||
| 95 | Nico Ezidore | DL | ||||
| 96 | Davon Sears | DL | ||||
| 97 | Dominique Ratcliff | DL | ||||
| 8 | Jordan Revels | DE | ||||
| 24 | Devin Martinez | DE | ||||
| 90 | Myron Warren | DT | ||||
| 10 | Issiah Nixon | LB | ||||
| 14 | Kenny Haynes | LB | ||||
| 19 | CJ Williams | LB | ||||
| 27 | London Harris | LB | ||||
| 32 | Josh Emmanuel | LB | ||||
| 37 | Brian Holloway | LB | ||||
| 55 | Sione Tupou | LB | ||||
| 0 | Jarron Morris | DB | ||||
| 2 | Kevin Anderson | DB | ||||
| 4 | Alonzo Edwards Jr. | DB | ||||
| 5 | DeJordan Mask | DB | ||||
| 6 | Travis Greenawalt | DB | ||||
| 6 | Ronnie Hamrick | DB | ||||
| 7 | Chris Mills | CB | ||||
| 15 | Rodrick Hockley | CB | ||||
| 2 | Drake Johnson | S | ||||
| 5 | Javen Ware | S | ||||
| 12 | Tory Spears | S | ||||
| 23 | Peyton Tuggle | S | ||||
| 31 | DeMarrquese Hayes | S | ||||
| 6 | Seth Keller | PK | ||||
| 36 | Mason Shipley | PK | ||||
| 99 | Seamus O'Kelly | P | ||||
| 26 | Garrison Grimes | LS | ||||
| 33 | Ben Bell | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2022, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2022 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2022 power rankings →