Pac-12 · 2026

Texas State Bobcats

Head coach GJ Kinne · UFCU Stadium
1-20-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#77
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-1.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.3
34th in FBS
Defense
-4.8
120th in FBS
Schedule so far
+5.4
2nd toughest
Projected
5.7-5.3
bowl-eligible 55%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-1.5 now, +0.8 preseason · down 19 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#75

Final record odds

5.7-5.3 expected · most likely 6-5 (25%)
2-96%3-814%4-723%5-625%6-519%7-49%8-39-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@6TexasL 7–59-17.8—ESPN
2Sep 12vs69UTSAL 26–31-7.7—CW
3Sep 19vs47North TexasW 49–35+13.9—USA Net
4Sep 26vsIncarnate Word FCSTexas State −25.8 · o/u 55.3—93%USA Net
5Oct 3@76San Diego StateCONFSan Diego State −2.9 · o/u 54.9—42%CW
6—Bye
7Oct 15vs99Colorado StateCONFTexas State −5.4 · o/u 65.8—64%CBSSN
8Oct 24vs121Utah StateCONFTexas State −9.9 · o/u 52.7—74%CBSSN
9Oct 31@56Boise StateCONFBoise State −6.4 · o/u 61.9—34%CW
10Nov 7@105Oregon StateCONFTexas State −0.4 · o/u 61.8—51%CW
11Nov 14vs58Fresno StateCONFFresno State −0.3 · o/u 47.5—49%CW
12Nov 21vs81Washington StateCONFTexas State −3.8 · o/u 50.6—60%USA Net

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.27242nd+0.282128th
Success rate50.8%23rd49.5%132nd
Explosiveness1.20292nd1.26377th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.1%26th49.5%134th
Rushing success rate50.0%30th43.4%94th
Passing success rate52.9%25th53.5%134th
Explosive run rate15.8%51st12.0%67th
Explosive pass rate14.3%39th9.5%70th
Line yards / carry3.3150th2.6234th
Opportunity rate40.4%60th37.3%80th
Stuff rate13.2%38th25.3%20th
Sack rate0.0%1st0.8%133rd
3rd-down conversion59.4%8th52.4%129th
Red-zone TD rate61.5%81st75.0%105th
Havoc rate7.1%7th13.3%86th
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.391st41.7134th
Yards / game478.329th506.3138th
Yards / play6.4148th6.60126th
Pass yards / game216.083rd370.0138th
Yards / pass att.8.0066th8.35118th
Completion %65.4%63rd72.9%135th
Rush yards / game262.314th136.380th
Yards / carry5.6026th4.2693rd
3rd-down conv. %56.1%10th53.3%133rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.00117th1.0079th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0033rd0.33136th
Penalty yards / game63.399th83.78th

Roster

100 players · Head coach GJ Kinne

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
8Brad JacksonQBSO6' 0"197San Antonio, TX
10Shaker ReisigQBFR6' 0"194Tulsa, OK
15Stone WalkerQBJR6' 3"195Houston, TX
17Gavin ParkhurstQBFR6' 3"207Fort Worth, TX
0Taji AtkinsRBSO5' 8"181Houston, TX
4Torrance Burgess Jr.RBSR5' 8"176Pearland, TX
5Jaylen JenkinsRBSR5' 8"173Dallas, TX
6Davian JacksonRBFR6' 1"196New Iberia, LA
21Cole PryorRBFR5' 9"178San Antonio, TX
24Juntavious HarrisRBFR5' 8"175Euless, TX
1Chris Dawn Jr.WRSR5' 9"175Dallas, TX
2Kylen EvansWRSO6' 2"200McKinney, TX
3Zechariah SampleWRSO5' 10"175Pickens, MS
11Beau SparksWRSR5' 11"181El Paso, TX
12La'Keyleon GravesWRFR6' 2"201Kilgore, TX
13Tucker CusanoWRFR6' 2"205Dallas, TX
14Jordan MartinWRSO6' 1"192Dallas, TX
20Dameon CroweWRFR5' 6"160Richardson, TX
25Skylar LewisWRFR6' 2"189Sulphur Springs, TX
81Blake MclaneWRFR6' 3"208McKinney, TX
83Jonah JonesWRFR6' 1"189Denton, TX
9Arvis Battle Jr.TEFR6' 4"246Red Oak, TX
16Blake SmithTESR6' 4"250Southlake, TX
18Ty StameyTEJR6' 7"250Spring, TX
84Cole SnodgrassTESO6' 5"230Conroe, TX
85Russell CrawfordTEFR6' 5"225Marshall, TX
88Jake SimpsonTEJR6' 5"246Azle, TX
50Jaylen EarlyOLSR6' 4"315Duncanville, TX
52Mikel UdengwuOLJR6' 3"5Norwalk, CA
53Cameron SchultzOLJR6' 4"291Foley, AL
54Tyler NorrisOLSO6' 4"315Dallas, TX
55Etueni RopatiOLJR6' 5"321Orange County, TX
58Aidin RhodesOLJR6' 3"281Sugar Land, TX
60Terrance Brown Jr.OLFR6' 5"361Killeen, TX
62Teagan LindseyOLFR6' 4"290Callisburg, TX
65Eric PerkinsOLFR6' 6"374Marshall, TX
66Justin DeLeonOLJR6' 3"319Kingsville, TX
68Sully BurnsOLSR6' 7"327Plano, TX
70Ameer RossOLFR6' 5"373Duncanville, TX
71William BooneOLSR6' 6"351Conyers, GA
72Kirk GildonOLFR6' 6"291Temple, TX
74Jayden LuckettOLJR6' 6"306San Diego, CA
75Rasheed JacksonOLJR6' 7"339Columbus, OH
77Bamidele BadusiOLJR6' 6"328Grand Prairie, TX
78Amari SmithOLJR6' 6"332Brookhaven, MS
79Alan GrimmeOLJR6' 5"319Vancleave, MS
5DonTerry RussellDLSR6' 5"228Jackson, MS
6Jo'Laison LandryDLJR6' 3"260Lafayette, LA
13Ta'Derius CollinsDLJR6' 4"233Shreveport, LA
14D'Ante KeysDLFR6' 3"257Bellville, TX
18Josiah GrahamDLSR6' 5"250Newport News, VA
30Jason PattersonDLSR6' 4"229Philadelphia, PA
31Cullen ThompsonDLFR6' 3"220Spring, TX
32Javarius BellDLFR6' 1"306Brownsboro, TX
33Blake IsbellDLFR6' 3"254Dallas, TX
34Jonathan DavisDLJR6' 5"320Oma, MS
35Emmanuel PeterDLSO6' 4"270Las Vegas, NV
38Mekhi BuchananDLJR6' 5"247Acworth, GA
40Simeon GarnerDLFR6' 3"288Tyler, TX
42Colt SparksDLFR6' 3"236Gladewater, TX
44Phillip BradfordDLJR6' 6"308Monroe, LA
56Tymere JacksonDLSR6' 5"245Woodbury, NJ
88Jussiah AliDLJR6' 1"305San Antonio, TX
90Chancellor OwensDLJR6' 3"296Haslet, TX
91J.P. DeeterDLJR6' 3"294Topeka, KS
93Cam ChristianDLFR6' 0"302Kilgore, TX
95Jaylen HarrisDLSR6' 2"325Chicago, IL
96Bryce CarterDLSR6' 3"309Colonial Heights, VA
99Kaleb JamesDLJR6' 4"286Mansfield, TX
10Cole NillesLBJR6' 4"238Philadelphia, PA
11TJ BurkhalterLBFR6' 2"230Houston, TX
12Javante MackeyLBJR6' 2"251Chicago, IL
15Ayden JonesLBJR6' 2"224Houston, TX
16Terrence Cooks IILBSR6' 2"231Pearland, TX
21Jordan SampleLBJR6' 2"233Missouri City, TX
23Darius DavisLBFR6' 2"216San Marcos, TX
29Treylin PayneLBSR6' 0"215San Antonio, TX
49Blaine CarverLBFR5' 10"203Victoria, TX
0Jayden LawtonDBSR6' 3"193Dallas, TX
1Amarion AtwoodDBJR6' 1"182Dallas, TX
2Trez MooreDBSR6' 1"186St. Louis, MO
3Craig Royal Jr.DBSR6' 2"185Houston, TX
7Ryan NolanDBSR5' 10"187Gainesville, FL
8Cordarian PowellDBFR6' 1"180Royse City, TX
9Jayden BradleyDBFR6' 1"209Prosper, TX
17Christopher JonesDBSO6' 2"189Houston, TX
19Michael Patterson IIIDBJR5' 10"169Houston, TX
22Will Mitchell IIDBSO5' 10"181Houston, TX
24Dexter Ricks Jr.DBSR5' 11"178Milledgeville, GA
26Chase DavisDBJR6' 3"197Little Elm, TX
27John SmithDBFR6' 3"202Baytown, TX
36Greg Gipson Jr.DBFR6' 1"180Dallas, TX
37Jayden FlournoyDBFR6' 0"180Burleson, TX
38Jacob BonillaPKSO5' 10"167Ontario, CA
41Dylan CunananPKJR5' 9"183Phoenix, AZ
43Michael JamesPKSR6' 4"204Rockwall, TX
92Tom FlintoffPFR6' 3"212Melbourne, Australia
94Joshua SelmesPSO6' 1"181Central Coast, Australia
51Darian SnellLSSO6' 3"218Houston, TX
57Lincoln PetitjeanLSFR6' 0"225Canaan, CT

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →