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Pac-12 · 2026

Utah State Aggies

Head coach Bronco Mendenhall · Maverik Stadium
3-52-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#86
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-5.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-7.6
115th in FBS
Defense
+2.0
54th in FBS
Schedule so far
-2.5
67th toughest
Projected
5.2-6.8
bowl-eligible 35%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-5.5 now, -4.7 preseason · down 5 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#86

Final record odds

5.2-6.8 expected · most likely 5-7 (43%)
3-921%4-843%5-729%6-66%7-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Grady Brosterhous
QB · SR · 111th in FBS
1120yds
7 TD · 6 INT
Rushing
Javen Jacobs
RB · SR · 80th in FBS
491yds
98 car · 3 TD
Receiving
Eli Wood
WR · 80th in FBS
479yds
37 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Asher Cunningham
LB · JR · 54th in FBS
64tkl
7.5 TFL
Sacks
Asher Cunningham
LB · JR · 229th in FBS
2.5sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Brevin Hamblin
S · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsIdaho State FCSL 17–29 ›-32.7—CBSSN
2Sep 12@43WashingtonL 14–16 ›+9.0—BTN
3Sep 19@8UtahL 0–33 ›-0.7—FOX
4Sep 26vs107TroyW 21–10 ›-3.8—CBSSN
5Oct 3@36Boise StateCONFL 18–37 ›-6.3—CBSSN
6Oct 9vs96Washington StateCONFW 17–16 ›-10.3—CW
7—Bye
8Oct 24@60Texas StateCONFL 17–20 ›+3.6—CBSSN
9Oct 31vs116Colorado StateCONFW 31–14 ›-0.4—USA Net
10Nov 7vs75Fresno StateCONFFresno State −0.2 · o/u 41.7—49%USA Net
11Nov 14@98San Diego StateCONFUtah State −0.3 · o/u 45.7—51%USA Net
12Nov 21@62Oregon StateCONFOregon State −11.6 · o/u 47.4—22%CBSSN
13Nov 28vsTBD FCSUtah State −28.0 · o/u 43.9—95%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.017120th+0.03840th
Success rate37.9%123rd39.9%52nd
Explosiveness1.31438th1.15125th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.0%125th40.5%58th
Rushing success rate37.5%123rd41.5%65th
Passing success rate36.5%116th39.7%59th
Explosive run rate13.8%68th11.2%41st
Explosive pass rate7.8%116th4.0%1st
Line yards / carry3.0094th2.7936th
Opportunity rate37.5%90th37.5%74th
Stuff rate21.1%118th19.6%44th
Sack rate7.9%118th4.5%99th
3rd-down conversion39.2%88th41.6%92nd
Red-zone TD rate47.6%120th50.0%29th
Havoc rate16.3%125th11.9%110th
Box score · season totals
Points / game16.9134th21.950th
Yards / game326.1121st333.946th
Yards / play4.93121st4.7731st
Pass yards / game196.0103rd208.363rd
Yards / pass att.6.50112th5.8710th
Completion %56.0%124th63.4%94th
Rush yards / game130.1105th125.641st
Yards / carry3.90101st3.8556th
3rd-down conv. %38.7%82nd41.5%108th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.62113th1.1278th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.88120th1.8882nd
Penalty yards / game66.4105th56.468th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.8
31st of 138
YAC per catch
4.3
125th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
72nd of 138
Shotgun
90%
117th of 138
No-huddle
86%
30th of 138
QB pressured
14%
57th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
104th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.3
123rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws227 throws charted

56% comp9.8 avg. depth4.3 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds11–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (4%), 9 caught (100%), 56 yds, 6.2 per throw9100% · 56yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (9%), 13 caught (62%), 88 yds, 4.2 per throw2162% · 88yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (11%), 21 caught (88%), 205 yds, 8.5 per throw2488% · 205yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 78 yds, 7.1 per throw1145% · 78yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 96 yds, 10.7 per throw956% · 96yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 3 caught (33%), 83 yds, 9.2 per throw933% · 83yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 33 yds, 6.6 per throw520% · 33yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 12 yds, 4.0 per throw3100% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw540% · 0yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 11 yds, 5.5 per throw2100% · 11yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 5 caught (50%), 82 yds, 8.2 per throw1050% · 82yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: noneMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 100 yds, 33.3 per throw367% · 100yMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 10 throws (4%), 8 caught (80%), 37 yds, 3.7 per throw1080% · 37yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (11%), 14 caught (56%), 79 yds, 3.2 per throw2556% · 79yRight, 5–9 air yards: 38 throws (17%), 22 caught (58%), 217 yds, 5.7 per throw3858% · 217yRight, 10–14 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 11 caught (48%), 178 yds, 7.7 per throw2348% · 178yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 93 yds, 13.3 per throw757% · 93yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 48 yds, 6.0 per throw825% · 48yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on278 throws charted

63% comp8.7 avg. depth4.3 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds7–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (6%), 15 caught (88%), 51 yds, 3.0 per throw1788% · 51yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 11 caught (65%), 58 yds, 3.4 per throw1765% · 58yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (8%), 19 caught (83%), 169 yds, 7.3 per throw2383% · 169yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 63 yds, 7.0 per throw956% · 63yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 3 caught (75%), 68 yds, 17.0 per throw475% · 68yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw80% · 0yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 6 yds, 2.0 per throw3100% · 6yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 10 caught (100%), 92 yds, 9.2 per throw10100% · 92yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 61 yds, 6.1 per throw1070% · 61yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 98 yds, 14.0 per throw757% · 98yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 19 yds, 6.3 per throw333% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (9%), 22 caught (85%), 108 yds, 4.2 per throw2685% · 108yRight, 0–4 air yards: 40 throws (14%), 31 caught (78%), 176 yds, 4.4 per throw4078% · 176yRight, 5–9 air yards: 40 throws (14%), 22 caught (55%), 201 yds, 5.0 per throw4055% · 201yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 8 caught (62%), 102 yds, 7.8 per throw1362% · 102yRight, 15–19 air yards: 15 throws (5%), 9 caught (60%), 157 yds, 10.5 per throw1560% · 157yRight, 20–29 air yards: 15 throws (5%), 5 caught (33%), 174 yds, 11.6 per throw1533% · 174yRight, 30+ air yards: 11 throws (4%), 1 caught (9%), 37 yds, 3.4 per throw119% · 37y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction237 carries

Left
21%
7.7 YPC · 59% succ.
Middle
61%
3.8 YPC · 32% succ.
Right
18%
5.7 YPC · 51% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced237 carries

Left
24%
4.5 YPC · 44% succ.
Middle
54%
4.8 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
22%
5.1 YPC · 36% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Bronco Mendenhall

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2McCae HillsteadQBJR5' 10"190Lehi, UT
3Jacob ConoverQBSR6' 1"195Chandler, AZ
9Grady BrosterhousQBSR6' 3"210Charlotte, NC
16Bryson BarnesQBSR6' 2"210Milford, UT
17Crew CacciacarneQBFR6' 0"200Pleasant View, UT
Brady GoodmanQBFR6' 4"220Mesa, AZ
Kaleb MarylandQBFR5' 11"185Houston, TX
8Javen JacobsRBSR5' 10"210Chandler, AZ
20Tre KofeRBSO5' 9"220Idaho Falls, ID
25Ravian LarryRBFR5' 11"205Idabel, OK
1Anthony GarciaWRSR6' 2"200Sacramento, CA
4Nikko BoncoreWRFR5' 11"190Peoria, AZ
5Rex HaynesWRJR6' 5"215San Diego, CA
7Kahanu DavisWRSR5' 10"180Kalaheo, HI
13Talan ArnettWRFR5' 10"190Mesa, AZ
14Charlie HolbrookWRFR6' 2"200Salt Lake City, UT
16LJ Johnson Jr.WRSO5' 10"180Madisonville, TX
17Cade BakerWRSO6' 2"185Highland, UT
Trent CallWRSO6' 2"200Lehi, UT
Mavrik ChlarsonWRFR6' 1"205Tooele, UT
Cade McCallWRFR6' 0"190Katy, TX
18Kache KaioTEJR6' 3"250Laie, HI
84Preston McDanielTEFR6' 4"225Idaho Falls, ID
87Broc LaneTESR6' 4"240Chandler, AZ
88Jude NelsonTEFR6' 4"230Long Beach, CA
Kyle LivelyTEFR6' 3"220Riverton, UT
Tyler MasdeaTESR6' 0"285Carnegie, PA
45Kauasi HansenOLFR6' 4"305Herriman, UT
51Easton HammondOLFR6' 3"290Millville, UT
52Jimmy ListonOLSR6' 4"300Hinsdale, IL
54Jackson NelsonOLSO6' 7"290Salem Hills, UT
56Jake EichornOLSR6' 5"310Beaver, UT
57Trey AndersenOLSR6' 6"285Eagle Mountain, UT
57Chantz ChargualafOLFR6' 1"295Ewa Beach, HI
59Cole KeeleOLJR6' 3"285Morgan, UT
61K'leyone IosuaOLJR6' 3"320Corvallis, OR
63Jarvis GriffithsOLSO6' 2"270American Fork, UT
65Tavo Motu'apuakaOLSR6' 4"340Honolulu, HI
69Kadin LynchOLSR6' 3"305Asheville, NC
72George MaileOLSR6' 4"310West Valley City, UT
73Elia MigaoOLSR6' 3"295Temecula, CA
Sam BrousseauOLFR6' 8"280Salt Lake City, UT
Clay JacobsonOLFR6' 3"275Buckeye, AZ
Kaholi KrauOLFR6' 5"315Wailuku, HI
Lucas NeidigOLFR6' 6"290South Jordan, UT
Evan NesmithOLSR6' 3"290Rochester, NY
Kasen LongDESO6' 6"270Lubbock, TX
9Tyree MorrisDTSR6' 5"305Mechanicsburg, PA
10Gabriel Iniguez Jr.DTSR6' 1"290Pittsburg, CA
10Paxton NaegleDTFR6' 4"275Draper, UT
44Bo MaileDTSR6' 3"270South Jordan, UT
47Naki FahinaDTSR5' 11"295Hawthorne, CA
90Ronnie MageoDTSR6' 5"310Daphne, AL
94Kone Aumua-UiagaleleiDTJR6' 2"310Auburn, WA
Tiki BellDTFR6' 3"320Hamilton, Canada
Tanner JolleyDTJR6' 2"260Fruita, CO
0Enoka MigaoLBSR6' 4"265Temecula, CA
6Luke DurfeyLBSO5' 11"230Salt Lake City, UT
11Asher CunninghamLBJR6' 2"240Asheville, NC
13Diego GrateronLBJR5' 9"220South Jordan, UT
16Mataira BrownLBJR6' 2"230Pleasant Grove, UT
18James JennetteLBSR6' 5"225Durham, NC
20John MillerLBSR6' 1"225Tualatin, OR
25Chris JoeLBSO6' 4"235Brentwood, CA
27Blake BarnesLBSO6' 1"200Milford, UT
29Brycen EdwardsLBSR6' 1"220Fredericksburg, VA
31Dakota HowellLBSO5' 11"225Crozet, VA
32Adonis JacksonLBSR6' 3"265Las Vegas, NV
99Beau McGivenLBFR6' 0"185St. George, UT
Judd BowenLBFR6' 2"240South Jordan, UT
BJ DiakiteLBSR6' 4"240Birmingham, AL
Brody FloresLBFR6' 2"210Aurora, CO
Jeremiah HolmesLBSR6' 2"240Durham, NC
Ryker LotuleleiLBFR6' 1"235Salt Lake City, UT
Maximus MaileLBFR5' 11"215Meridian, ID
John McClellanLBFR6' 2"220Rohnert Park, CA
5Markie GrantCBSO5' 11"170Houston, TX
7Bobby ArnoldCBSR5' 9"185Newark, DE
15D'Angelo MayesCBJR6' 1"190Syracuse, UT
30Jack HadfieldCBFR5' 10"175Lehi, UT
Antonio BluiettCBSR6' 1"205Buffalo, MN
Crew DeMartiniCBFR6' 0"190Provo, UT
Dontae DysonCBFR6' 0"185Layton, UT
Jordan HarrisCBFR5' 10"170Cypress, TX
O'Shea Jackson-WebbCBFR5' 11"175Clovis, CA
3Charger DotySSO5' 11"210South Jordan, UT
4Brevin HamblinSSR6' 5"205Syracuse, UT
8David KabongoSSO5' 11"190Fort Worth, TX
12Chika EbunohaSSR5' 11"190Tucson, AZ
21Chapman LewisSJR6' 1"175Fort Worth, TX
26D'Andre BarnesSJR6' 1"200Aurora, CO
Jonathan BairdSJR6' 1"220Spokane, WA
Ike LarsenSSR5' 11"195Smithfield, UT
Breaker MendenhallSSO6' 2"200Crozet, VA
19Kian AfrookhtehPKSR5' 7"195Laguna Niguel, CA
21Tyler HaleyPKSO5' 10"180Santee, CA
Grayson LyttonPKSO5' 10"170Collierville, TN
Will EvansPJR6' 3"190Perth, Australia
53Owen EdwardsLSSO5' 11"205Washougal, WA
55Hyrum HatchLSSR6' 0"215Buffalo, WY

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2018 (+10.4, #14) · worst: 2020 (-12.2, #120)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#79
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-52-2#86-5.5-7.6+2.0
20256-74-4#79-2.3+2.1-4.5
20244-83-4#112-8.2+2.5-10.7
20236-74-4#106-6.5+3.8-10.3
20226-75-3#111-8.6-3.5-5.2
202111-36-2#56+2.5+2.9-0.4
20201-51-5#120-12.2-7.4-4.8
20197-66-2#69-1.1+1.5-2.6
201811-27-1#14+10.4+8.5+1.8
20176-74-4#76-1.5-1.7+0.1
20163-91-7#90-5.0-4.0-1.1
20156-75-3#69+0.2+0.4-0.2
201410-46-2#47+3.5-3.0+6.4

Utah State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →