
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 64Washington State | W 26–23 | +6.8 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs North Dakota FCS | W 48–24 | +2.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 27Air ForceCONF | W 49–45 | +13.3 | — | FS2 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 14Boise StateCONF | L 3–27 | -17.6 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 26BYU | L 20–34 | -9.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 16 | @ 111UNLVCONF | W 28–24 | -3.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 100Colorado StateCONF | W 26–24 | -6.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 94Hawai'iCONF | W 51–31 | +13.1 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 124New Mexico State | W 35–13 | +10.1 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 13 | @ 105San José StateCONF | W 48–17 | +22.1 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 82WyomingCONF | L 17–44 | -29.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 121New MexicoCONF | W 35–10 | +13.4 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Dec 4 | @ 47San Diego State | W 46–13 | +33.8 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 57Oregon StateNEUTRAL | W 24–13 | +13.5 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.7% | 98th | 42.8% | 57th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.6% | 125th | 42.3% | 38th |
| Passing success rate | 44.6% | 51st | 43.2% | 75th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 59th | 15.8% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.3% | 39th | 8.8% | 22nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.79 | 119th | 2.78 | 14th |
| Opportunity rate | 32.4% | 124th | 38.5% | 67th |
| Stuff rate | 20.3% | 116th | 21.8% | 10th |
| Sack rate | 5.7% | 54th | 7.0% | 39th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.6% | 26th | 34.7% | 19th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.2% | 84th | 46.7% | 16th |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 77th | 11.6% | 17th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.6 | 36th | 24.4 | 47th |
| Yards / game | 446.2 | 22nd | 391.0 | 78th |
| Yards / play | 5.68 | 66th | 5.59 | 83rd |
| Pass yards / game | 303.4 | 15th | 213.9 | 68th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.43 | 27th | 7.42 | 79th |
| Completion % | 60.1% | 74th | 61.8% | 80th |
| Rush yards / game | 142.8 | 85th | 162.6 | 85th |
| Yards / carry | 3.54 | 102nd | 4.39 | 88th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.1% | 27th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.64 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.29 | 69th | 2.23 | 68th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.6 | 74th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Bonner | QB | ||||
| 5 | Cooper Legas | QB | ||||
| 6 | Andrew Peasley | QB | ||||
| 2 | John Gentry | RB | ||||
| 4 | Calvin Tyler Jr. | RB | ||||
| 29 | Pailate Makakona | RB | ||||
| 34 | Elelyon Noa | RB | ||||
| 0 | Jordan Nathan | WR | ||||
| 4 | Brock Boltmann | WR | ||||
| 8 | Derek Wright | WR | ||||
| 9 | Kyle Van Leeuwen | WR | ||||
| 10 | Justin McGriff | WR | ||||
| 11 | Savon Scarver | WR | ||||
| 13 | Deven Thompkins | WR | ||||
| 16 | Brandon Bowling | WR | ||||
| 81 | Timothy Patrick | WR | ||||
| 83 | Josh Sterzer | TE | ||||
| 85 | Parker Buchanan | TE | ||||
| 88 | Carson Terrell | TE | ||||
| 89 | Otto Tia | TE | ||||
| 74 | Donny Ventrelli | OL | ||||
| 90 | Phil Paea | DL | ||||
| 96 | Poukesi Vakauta | DL | ||||
| 0 | Patrick Joyner Jr. | DE | ||||
| 9 | Jaylin Bannerman | DE | ||||
| 42 | Nick Heninger | DE | ||||
| 46 | Addison Trupp | DE | ||||
| 93 | Darius McFarland | DE | ||||
| 55 | Seni Tuiaki | DT | ||||
| 92 | Hale Motu'apuaka | DT | ||||
| 5 | Cash Gilliam | LB | ||||
| 10 | AJ Vongphachanh | LB | ||||
| 11 | Byron Vaughns | LB | ||||
| 30 | Patrick Maddox | LB | ||||
| 33 | Kevin Meitzenheimer | LB | ||||
| 52 | Jaymason Willingham | LB | ||||
| 53 | Kina Maile | LB | ||||
| 6 | Cam Lampkin | DB | ||||
| 12 | Ajani Carter | DB | ||||
| 14 | Zahodri Jackson | DB | ||||
| 1 | Kyle Mayberry | CB | ||||
| 7 | Xavion Steele | CB | ||||
| 16 | Jamie Nance | CB | ||||
| 21 | Andre Grayson | CB | ||||
| 22 | Michael Anyanwu | CB | ||||
| 26 | Monte' McGary | CB | ||||
| 39 | Jaden Smith | CB | ||||
| 4 | Shaq Bond | S | ||||
| 23 | Dominic Tatum | S | ||||
| 25 | Jarrod Green | S | ||||
| 27 | Hunter Reynolds | S | ||||
| 59 | Connor Coles | PK | ||||
| 63 | Stephen Kotsanlee | P | ||||
| 3 | Justin Rice | DEF | ||||
| 95 | Marcus Moore | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →