Mountain West · 2021 · Final

Boise State Broncos 2021

7-55-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#14
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+8.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.5
41st in FBS
Defense
+6.2
13th in FBS
Schedule
+1.5
27th toughest
Preseason
+3.5
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+8.7 now, +3.5 preseason · up 13 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#14

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2@55UCFL 31–360.0—ESPN
2Sep 10vs96UTEPW 54–13+22.9—FS1
3Sep 18vs7Oklahoma StateL 20–21+7.8—FS1
4Sep 25@56Utah StateCONFW 27–3+28.8—CBS
5Oct 2vs46NevadaCONFL 31–41-7.8—FS1
6Oct 9@26BYUW 26–17+18.4—ABC
7Oct 16vs27Air ForceCONFL 17–24-2.3—FS1
8—Bye
9Oct 30@100Colorado StateCONFW 28–19+5.6—CBSSN
10Nov 6@43Fresno StateCONFW 40–14+31.8—CBSSN
11Nov 12vs82WyomingCONFW 23–13+5.2—FS1
12Nov 20vs121New MexicoCONFW 37–0+13.0—FS1
13Nov 26@47San Diego StateCONFL 16–27-4.3—CBS
BowlsDec 31vsTBD FCSNEUTRALBoise State −27.9 · o/u 46.0—95%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.0%70th39.3%20th
Rushing success rate42.4%92nd40.1%21st
Passing success rate45.4%37th38.3%23rd
Explosive run rate11.1%116th14.6%68th
Explosive pass rate10.8%68th12.5%107th
Line yards / carry2.92104th2.9540th
Opportunity rate35.1%107th34.9%24th
Stuff rate18.5%98th19.1%27th
Sack rate5.3%44th7.6%31st
3rd-down conversion44.6%33rd39.1%55th
Red-zone TD rate58.5%76th42.9%6th
Havoc rate9.2%80th9.5%47th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.261st19.012th
Yards / game382.878th365.549th
Yards / play5.1296th5.2862nd
Pass yards / game260.637th193.537th
Yards / pass att.7.6362nd7.6993rd
Completion %62.0%58th57.6%25th
Rush yards / game122.2105th158.679th
Yards / carry3.19123rd3.9860th
3rd-down conv. %44.2%26th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.2551st——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2566th2.4253rd
Penalty yards / game49.652nd——

Players

58 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

58 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →