
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 55UCF | L 31–36 | 0.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 96UTEP | W 54–13 | +22.9 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 7Oklahoma State | L 20–21 | +7.8 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 56Utah StateCONF | W 27–3 | +28.8 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 46NevadaCONF | L 31–41 | -7.8 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 26BYU | W 26–17 | +18.4 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 27Air ForceCONF | L 17–24 | -2.3 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 100Colorado StateCONF | W 28–19 | +5.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 43Fresno StateCONF | W 40–14 | +31.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 82WyomingCONF | W 23–13 | +5.2 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 121New MexicoCONF | W 37–0 | +13.0 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 47San Diego StateCONF | L 16–27 | -4.3 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs TBD FCSNEUTRAL | Boise State −27.9 · o/u 46.0 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.0% | 70th | 39.3% | 20th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.4% | 92nd | 40.1% | 21st |
| Passing success rate | 45.4% | 37th | 38.3% | 23rd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.1% | 116th | 14.6% | 68th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.8% | 68th | 12.5% | 107th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.92 | 104th | 2.95 | 40th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.1% | 107th | 34.9% | 24th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 98th | 19.1% | 27th |
| Sack rate | 5.3% | 44th | 7.6% | 31st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.6% | 33rd | 39.1% | 55th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.5% | 76th | 42.9% | 6th |
| Havoc rate | 9.2% | 80th | 9.5% | 47th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.2 | 61st | 19.0 | 12th |
| Yards / game | 382.8 | 78th | 365.5 | 49th |
| Yards / play | 5.12 | 96th | 5.28 | 62nd |
| Pass yards / game | 260.6 | 37th | 193.5 | 37th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.63 | 62nd | 7.69 | 93rd |
| Completion % | 62.0% | 58th | 57.6% | 25th |
| Rush yards / game | 122.2 | 105th | 158.6 | 79th |
| Yards / carry | 3.19 | 123rd | 3.98 | 60th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.2% | 26th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 51st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 66th | 2.42 | 53rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.6 | 52nd | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Taylen Green | QB | ||||
| 16 | Jack Sears | QB | ||||
| 19 | Hank Bachmeier | QB | ||||
| 4 | Cyrus Habibi-Likio | RB | ||||
| 21 | Andrew Van Buren | RB | ||||
| 24 | George Holani | RB | ||||
| 25 | Taequan Tyler | RB | ||||
| 37 | Danny Smith | RB | ||||
| 33 | Tyler Crowe | FB | ||||
| 1 | Octavius Evans | WR | ||||
| 2 | Khalil Shakir | WR | ||||
| 5 | Stefan Cobbs | WR | ||||
| 6 | CT Thomas | WR | ||||
| 7 | Latrell Caples | WR | ||||
| 8 | Maclaine Griffin | WR | ||||
| 9 | Shea Whiting | WR | ||||
| 17 | Davis Koetter | WR | ||||
| 18 | Billy Bowens | WR | ||||
| 81 | Austin Bolt | WR | ||||
| 3 | Riley Smith | TE | ||||
| 28 | Casey Kline | TE | ||||
| 86 | Tyler Eiguren | TE | ||||
| 87 | Kurt Rafdal | TE | ||||
| 88 | Tyneil Hopper | TE | ||||
| 76 | Darta Lee | OL | ||||
| 19 | Aisa Kelemete | DE | ||||
| 30 | Isaiah Bagnah | DE | ||||
| 38 | Demitri Washington | DE | ||||
| 49 | Dylan Herberg | DE | ||||
| 55 | Shane Irwin | DE | ||||
| 92 | Michael Callahan | DT | ||||
| 94 | Jackson Cravens | DT | ||||
| 95 | Divine Obichere | DT | ||||
| 99 | Scott Matlock | DT | ||||
| 98 | Herbert Gums | NT | ||||
| 3 | Brandon Hawkins | LB | ||||
| 7 | Ezekiel Noa | LB | ||||
| 8 | Phoenix Jackson | LB | ||||
| 52 | DJ Schramm | LB | ||||
| 21 | Zion Washington | DB | ||||
| 6 | Jaylen Clark | CB | ||||
| 8 | Markel Reed | CB | ||||
| 22 | Tyric LeBeauf | CB | ||||
| 24 | Damon Cole | CB | ||||
| 26 | Caleb Biggers | CB | ||||
| 0 | JL Skinner | S | ||||
| 4 | Rodney Robinson | S | ||||
| 14 | Kaonohi Kaniho | S | ||||
| 21 | Tyreque Jones | S | ||||
| 23 | Seyi Oladipo | S | ||||
| 28 | Kekaula Kaniho | S | ||||
| 34 | Alexander Teubner | S | ||||
| 48 | Jordan Erickson | S | ||||
| 35 | Jonah Dalmas | PK | ||||
| 46 | Joel Velazquez | PK | ||||
| 44 | Riley Whimpey | DEF | ||||
| 91 | Ahmed Hassanein | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →