Pac-12 · 2026

Boise State Broncos

Head coach Spencer Danielson · Albertsons Stadium
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#56
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.9
36th in FBS
Defense
-0.9
77th in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.3
55th toughest
Projected
6.8-4.2
bowl-eligible 81%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.0 now, +1.8 preseason · down 7 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#56

Final record odds

6.8-4.2 expected · most likely 7-4 (25%)
3-85%4-713%5-621%6-525%7-421%8-311%9-210-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@20OregonL 27–34+3.8—CBS
2Sep 12vs64MemphisW 38–20+15.7—USA Net
3Sep 19vsSouth Dakota FCSW 38–24-13.2—CBSSN
4Sep 26@54Western MichiganWestern Michigan −3.4 · o/u 50.1—41%ESPN2
5Oct 3vs121Utah StateCONFBoise State −13.4 · o/u 48.4—81%CBSSN
6Oct 10@58Fresno StateCONFFresno State −2.8 · o/u 43.1—43%CW
7—Bye
8Oct 24@81Washington StateCONFBoise State −1.3 · o/u 46.3—53%USA Net
9Oct 31vs77Texas StateCONFBoise State −6.4 · o/u 61.9—66%CW
10Nov 7@99Colorado StateCONFBoise State −2.9 · o/u 61.4—58%USA Net
11Nov 14vs105Oregon StateCONFBoise State −9.8 · o/u 57.4—74%USA Net
12Nov 21vs76San Diego StateCONFBoise State −6.5 · o/u 50.5—67%USA Net

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.27840th+0.07676th
Success rate49.3%33rd34.7%30th
Explosiveness1.162102nd1.893138th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.3%35th35.8%33rd
Rushing success rate53.6%10th29.4%15th
Passing success rate43.5%75th40.2%72nd
Explosive run rate15.2%61st13.2%86th
Explosive pass rate9.1%93rd17.4%135th
Line yards / carry3.7314th2.3113th
Opportunity rate50.4%9th32.4%38th
Stuff rate12.0%29th29.4%5th
Sack rate4.3%66th5.2%71st
3rd-down conversion42.9%64th25.0%11th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%59th40.0%26th
Havoc rate9.2%22nd18.2%24th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.357th26.095th
Yards / game461.735th431.7123rd
Yards / play6.2158th7.62136th
Pass yards / game203.395th335.0136th
Yards / pass att.6.9098th10.92137th
Completion %61.4%91st62.0%83rd
Rush yards / game258.315th96.732nd
Yards / carry5.9022nd3.9785th
3rd-down conv. %43.9%58th25.0%15th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.6726th1.3359th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3354th1.6774th
Penalty yards / game50.347th64.738th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Spencer Danielson

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
4Maddux MadsenQBSR5' 10"207Lehi, UT
10Cash HerreraQBFR6' 2"202La Jolla, CA
14Max CutforthQBJR6' 2"208Nampa, ID
16Jackson TaylorQBFR6' 1"196Thousand Oaks, CA
0Dylan RileyRBJR5' 10"192Moreno Valley, CA
15Zeke MartinezRBFR6' 0"215Meridian, ID
22Juelz GoffRBSO5' 9"195York, PA
23Keilan ChaviesRBFR5' 9"183Hutto, TX
26Sire GainesRBSO6' 0"217Perris, CA
27Harry Stewart IIIRBSO5' 10"220Frisco, TX
30Mariyon SloanRBFR5' 10"190Shafter, CA
3Cam BatesWRJR5' 10"180Mansfield, TX
13Darren MorrisWRSR6' 1"183Baton Rouge, LA
17AJ JonesWRFR6' 1"180Murrieta, CA
19Rasean JonesWRFR6' 2"199Baker City, OR
24AJ MaesWRJR6' 3"197Palos Verdes, CA
25Quinton BrownWRSO5' 8"165Argyle, TX
29Lincoln DunnWRFR5' 11"175Melissa, TX
34Jeremyah LaneWRJR5' 6"140Louisville, GA
80Romeo CarterWRFR6' 3"190San Diego, CA
81Kamryn JonesWRFR6' 2"210Moreno Valley, CA
82Ben FordWRSR5' 10"187Eagle, ID
84Gavin PackerWRFR5' 10"180Vancouver, WA
85Terrious FavorsWRFR5' 9"163Atlanta, GA
89AJ LoganWRFR5' 9"190Spring Valley, CA
45Troy GrizzleTESO6' 3"246Meridian, ID
46Carter KuchenbuchTEFR6' 5"238Okanogan, WA
47Kaden AndersonTESO6' 3"232Chandler, AZ
48Ryan BrekkeTEFR6' 2"216Meridian, ID
49Beckham HoflandTEFR6' 3"230Los Alamitos, CA
86Austin TerryTESR6' 3"245Tumwater, WA
87Keawe BrowneTEFR6' 5"222Corona, CA
52Stewart TaufaOLFR6' 1"302St. George, UT
55Sua FaleagafuaOLFR6' 5"259Spring Valley, CA
59Jameson PerryOLFR6' 5"290Meridian, ID
62Roger CarreonOLSR6' 5"310Jal, NM
63Connor LagrowOLFR6' 6"293Tualatin, OR
64Carson RasmussenOLJR6' 5"300Meridian, ID
65Hakeim SmallsOLFR6' 3"286Everett, WA
67Jason SteeleOLJR6' 4"300Temecula, CA
69Zander EstyOLJR6' 4"300Auburn, CA
70Kyle CoxOLJR6' 6"300Eatonville, WA
71Ashton KershnerOLJR6' 4"327Martin, TN
72Daniil StarykhOLFR6' 3"296Berlin, Germany
73Parker PerkinsOLSO6' 2"300Middleton, ID
74Alma TaleniOLSO6' 7"297Coomera, Australia
75Daylon MetoyerOLSR6' 4"321Hesperia, CA
76Greg BienvenueOLSO6' 4"303Mesa, AZ
77Kole CroninOLFR6' 5"263Reno, NV
78Tyler EthridgeOLSR6' 3"308Midlothian, TX
54Adonte MedleyDLSO6' 1"300Palmdale, CA
56Rowan RuppDLFR6' 0"252Meridian, ID
58Deuce AlailefaleulaDLFR6' 0"303Anchorage, AK
90Andrew Rheubottom Jr.DLSR6' 0"277Baltimore, MD
92David LatuDLSR6' 4"325Rose Park, UT
93Ryder SwansonDLFR6' 3"290Oregon City, OR
94Paz St. JohnDLFR6' 2"268Peoria, AZ
96Lopez SanusiDLSO6' 3"307Dublin, Ireland
97Mikaio EdwardDLJR6' 1"285Kent, WA
98Bethel ImasuenDLFR6' 4"290Reading, England
99Michael MadrieDLJR6' 4"290Argyle, TX
1Boen PhelpsLBJR6' 1"215Spokane, WA
13Sterling Lane IILBSR6' 3"238St. Louis, MO
17Logan BrantleyLBJR6' 0"229Denver, CO
18Sam BrooksLBSR6' 1"200Duval County, FL
30Adam AustonLBFR6' 1"228Lawton, OK
41Rocky DunnLBFR6' 1"218Melissa, TX
42Zyhaire LewisLBJR6' 0"215Fontana, CA
43Jake RippLBSR6' 3"240Los Gatos, CA
44Syncere Brackett-LambeyLBSO6' 2"233Compton, CA
45Markell BowensLBFR6' 5"240Pocatello, ID
51Roman CaywoodLBSO6' 3"240Draper, UT
53Ty TannerLBSO6' 1"225Meridian, ID
57Gustaf Henriks RasLBFR6' 4"228Stockholm, Sweden
91Bol BolLBSO6' 4"240Brooks, Canada
95Max StegeLBSR6' 4"269Cologne, Germany
4Travis AndersonDBSO5' 11"190Mission Viejo, CA
7Jaden MickeyDBSR6' 0"182Eastvale, CA
8Sherrod SmithDBJR6' 1"185East Palo Alto, CA
9Derek Ganter Jr.DBJR6' 0"212Pasadena, CA
10Madden SoliaiDBFR5' 9"179Laie, HI
14Demetrius Freeney Jr.DBSR6' 0"187San Leandro, CA
16Franklyn Johnson Jr.DBJR5' 10"172Little Elm, TX
20Kyle HallDBJR6' 2"205Sacramento, CA
23Davin HillDBFR5' 10"179Arlington, TX
24Tahj CrutchfieldDBFR5' 11"180Eastvale, CA
28Cam JamersonDBFR6' 0"188Pearland, TX
29Arthur de BoachieDBSO6' 0"192Amsterdam, Netherlands
31Cole MillerDBJR6' 0"186Boise, ID
32Taebron Bennie-PowellDBSO6' 1"177Cincinnati, OH
33Josiah AlanisDBFR6' 1"186Vancouver, WA
34Dom CalhounDBFR5' 11"185Pittsburg, CA
36Jacob Arbuckle IIDBFR5' 10"165Hemet, CA
39Timothy MitchellDBSO5' 10"182Portland, OR
35Colton BoomerPKSR5' 10"175Lake Mary, FL
48Canaan MoorePKFR5' 11"170Vancouver, WA
37Oscar DoylePSR6' 3"214Brisbane, Australia
38Bradan ScottPFR6' 3"185Solana Beach, CA
60Tyler HimebauchLSFR6' 2"205Monument, CO
61Caden KellowLSSR5' 11"223Brentwood, TN

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →