
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 96Louisiana | W 45–10 | +23.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 26Washington State | W 31–28 | +7.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 78Oregon State | W 38–24 | +14.0 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 90Utah StateCONF | W 21–10 | +3.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 80New MexicoCONF | W 49–21 | +25.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 57Colorado StateCONF | W 28–23 | +3.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 35BYU | W 28–27 | +4.4 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 68WyomingCONF | L 28–30 | -0.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 111San Jose StateCONF | W 45–31 | +1.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 108Hawai'iCONF | W 52–16 | +21.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 110UNLVCONF | W 42–25 | +5.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 52Air ForceCONF | L 20–27 | -1.8 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 48BaylorNEUTRAL | L 12–31 | -15.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.7% | 12th | 41.4% | 41st |
| Rushing success rate | 48.4% | 23rd | 43.7% | 60th |
| Passing success rate | 49.1% | 9th | 39.1% | 43rd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.1% | 111th | 11.8% | 14th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.9% | 12th | 9.2% | 28th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.08 | 62nd | 3.08 | 69th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.7% | 51st | 40.3% | 78th |
| Stuff rate | 16.0% | 26th | 15.7% | 108th |
| Sack rate | 2.9% | 8th | 5.8% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.0% | 11th | 39.6% | 50th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.1% | 35th | 53.6% | 23rd |
| Havoc rate | 9.9% | 22nd | 11.4% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.8 | 45th | 32.9 | 79th |
| Yards / game | 472.8 | 21st | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.69 | 9th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 298.3 | 15th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.55 | 7th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.3% | 25th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 174.5 | 62nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.60 | 56th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 47.6% | 12th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 27th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 37.8 | 9th | — | — |
51 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thomas Stuart | QB | ||||
| 4 | Brett Rypien | QB | ||||
| 10 | Cory Young | RB | ||||
| 13 | Jeremy McNichols | RB | ||||
| 22 | Alexander Mattison | RB | ||||
| 26 | Devan Demas | RB | ||||
| 30 | Ryan Wolpin | RB | ||||
| 1 | Cedrick Wilson Jr. | WR | ||||
| 6 | Chaz Anderson | WR | ||||
| 8 | Sean Modster | WR | ||||
| 17 | Austin Cottrell | WR | ||||
| 28 | A.J. Richardson | WR | ||||
| 70 | Steven Baggett | WR | ||||
| 81 | Akilian Butler | WR | ||||
| 82 | Thomas Sperbeck | WR | ||||
| 89 | Brock Barr | WR | ||||
| 5 | Garrett Collingham | TE | ||||
| 86 | Chase Blakley | TE | ||||
| 87 | Alec Dhaenens | TE | ||||
| 88 | Jake Roh | TE | ||||
| 93 | Jake Knight | TE | ||||
| 53 | Sam Whitney | DE | ||||
| 91 | Durrant Miles | DE | ||||
| 94 | Sam McCaskill | DE | ||||
| 55 | David Moa | DT | ||||
| 96 | Elliot Hoyte | DT | ||||
| 98 | Sonatane Lui | NT | ||||
| 7 | Joe Martarano | LB | ||||
| 8 | Jabril Frazier | LB | ||||
| 20 | Tanner Vallejo | LB | ||||
| 24 | Kameron Miles | LB | ||||
| 33 | Gabe Perez | LB | ||||
| 38 | Leighton Vander Esch | LB | ||||
| 41 | Will Heffner | LB | ||||
| 43 | Joe Provenzano | LB | ||||
| 44 | Darren Lee | LB | ||||
| 51 | Ben Weaver | LB | ||||
| 58 | Tyson Maeva | LB | ||||
| 2 | Jonathan Moxey | CB | ||||
| 14 | Tyler Horton | CB | ||||
| 25 | Raymond Ford | CB | ||||
| 3 | Chanceller James | S | ||||
| 5 | Evan Tyler | S | ||||
| 10 | Kekoa Nawahine | S | ||||
| 29 | Dylan Sumner-Gardner | S | ||||
| 37 | Cameron Hartsfield | S | ||||
| 49 | Ty Rausa | PK | ||||
| 19 | Sean Wale | P | ||||
| 27 | Reid Harrison-Ducros | DEF | ||||
| 36 | Blake Whitlock | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →