The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 79Northern Illinois | W 40–34 | +0.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 45Nebraska | L 17–52 | -21.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs UC Davis FCS | W 45–22 | 0.0 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 91Eastern Michigan | L 24–27 | -5.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 57Colorado StateCONF | W 38–17 | +24.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 52Air ForceCONF | W 35–26 | +9.2 | — | |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 109NevadaCONF | W 42–34 | +1.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 29Boise StateCONF | W 30–28 | +6.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 90Utah StateCONF | W 52–28 | +16.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 110UNLVCONF | L 66–69 | -10.0 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 31San Diego StateCONF | W 34–33 | +4.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 80New MexicoCONF | L 35–56 | -21.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 31San Diego State | L 24–27 | +0.9 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 35BYUNEUTRAL | L 21–24 | +2.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.0% | 57th | 42.4% | 50th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.1% | 62nd | 42.5% | 50th |
| Passing success rate | 42.5% | 51st | 42.3% | 70th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.3% | 62nd | 17.9% | 112th |
| Explosive pass rate | 16.1% | 7th | 13.8% | 118th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.08 | 60th | 3.11 | 81st |
| Opportunity rate | 40.1% | 56th | 39.7% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 17.9% | 58th | 17.7% | 71st |
| Sack rate | 6.8% | 90th | 6.2% | 53rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.0% | 44th | 44.1% | 92nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.6% | 11th | 66.7% | 87th |
| Havoc rate | 11.7% | 52nd | 12.3% | 66th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 41.1 | 15th | 34.2 | 86th |
| Yards / game | 433.7 | 48th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.87 | 46th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 229.1 | 67th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.46 | 17th | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.4% | 95th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 204.6 | 38th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.56 | 57th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.6% | 34th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.93 | 56th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.1 | 22nd | — | — |
50 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Josh Allen | QB | ||||
| 1 | Milo Hall | RB | ||||
| 5 | Brian Hill | RB | ||||
| 21 | Shaun Wick | RB | ||||
| 22 | Nico Evans | RB | ||||
| 15 | Jaylon Watson | FB | ||||
| 36 | Drew Van Maanen | FB | ||||
| 48 | Jordan Ellis | FB | ||||
| 3 | Joseph Parker | WR | ||||
| 4 | Tanner Gentry | WR | ||||
| 14 | C.J. Johnson | WR | ||||
| 25 | Austin Conway | WR | ||||
| 80 | James Price | WR | ||||
| 81 | Gabe Martinez | WR | ||||
| 83 | Jake Maulhardt | WR | ||||
| 33 | Josh Harshman | TE | ||||
| 85 | Tyree Mayfield | TE | ||||
| 88 | Jacob Hollister | TE | ||||
| 42 | Kevin Prosser | DE | ||||
| 53 | Josiah Hall | DE | ||||
| 91 | Carl Granderson | DE | ||||
| 87 | Conner Cain | DT | ||||
| 93 | Youhanna Ghaifan | DT | ||||
| 57 | Chase Appleby | NT | ||||
| 96 | Sidney Malauulu | NT | ||||
| 11 | Eric Nzeocha | LB | ||||
| 30 | Logan Wilson | LB | ||||
| 31 | Chavez Pownell Jr. | LB | ||||
| 42 | Christian Leota | LB | ||||
| 45 | Lucas Wacha | LB | ||||
| 2 | Robert Priester | CB | ||||
| 13 | Ethan Patrick | CB | ||||
| 19 | Anthony Makransky | CB | ||||
| 21 | Antonio Hull | CB | ||||
| 6 | Marcus Epps | S | ||||
| 7 | D.J. May | S | ||||
| 23 | Tim Kamana | S | ||||
| 28 | Andrew Wingard | S | ||||
| 40 | Cooper Rothe | PK | ||||
| 41 | Ethan Wood | PK | ||||
| 69 | Ryan Simmons | LS | ||||
| 94 | Brendan Turelli | LS | ||||
| 3 | Alijah Halliburton | DEF | ||||
| 5 | Rico Gafford | DEF | ||||
| 8 | Jalen Ortiz | DEF | ||||
| 18 | Nick Szpor | |||||
| 46 | Cassh Maluia | DEF | ||||
| 58 | Taniela Lolohea | DEF | ||||
| 68 | Dalton Fields | G | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →