
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs South Dakota FCS | W 48–21 | +2.1 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 126New Mexico State | L 31–32 | -11.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 113Rutgers | L 28–37 | -17.0 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 111San Jose StateCONF | W 48–41 | -5.6 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 29Boise StateCONF | L 21–49 | -21.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 52Air ForceCONFNEUTRAL | W 45–40 | +7.7 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 122Louisiana Monroe | W 59–17 | +14.8 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 108Hawai'iCONF | W 28–21 | +0.4 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 109NevadaCONF | W 35–26 | -2.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 90Utah StateCONF | W 24–21 | +0.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 57Colorado StateCONF | L 31–49 | -14.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 68WyomingCONF | W 56–35 | +17.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 86UT San Antonio | W 23–20 | -3.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.4% | 38th | 42.6% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.1% | 28th | 41.4% | 40th |
| Passing success rate | 36.7% | 109th | 44.0% | 89th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.6% | 21st | 16.1% | 83rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.0% | 45th | 12.8% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.31 | 18th | 2.90 | 44th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.1% | 35th | 37.9% | 45th |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 19th | 22.8% | 19th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 74th | 7.1% | 29th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.8% | 32nd | 37.8% | 31st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.6% | 11th | 71.1% | 104th |
| Havoc rate | 11.2% | 40th | 14.4% | 20th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.7 | 34th | 31.5 | 74th |
| Yards / game | 456.9 | 33rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.76 | 8th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 106.8 | 127th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.76 | 42nd | — | — |
| Completion % | 53.6% | 112th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 350.0 | 1st | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 6.61 | 1st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.9% | 20th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.92 | 6th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.7 | 77th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Austin Apodaca | QB | ||||
| 13 | Lamar Jordan | QB | ||||
| 17 | JaJuan Lawson | QB | ||||
| 3 | Richard McQuarley | RB | ||||
| 6 | Diquon Woodhouse | RB | ||||
| 7 | Teriyon Gipson | RB | ||||
| 20 | Daryl Chestnut | RB | ||||
| 25 | Tyrone Owens | RB | ||||
| 33 | Javohn Jones | RB | ||||
| 48 | Ryan Tuiasoa | RB | ||||
| 2 | Dameon Gamblin | WR | ||||
| 5 | Patrick Reed | WR | ||||
| 9 | Q' Drennan | WR | ||||
| 15 | Emmanuel Harris | WR | ||||
| 18 | Chris Davis Jr. | WR | ||||
| 19 | Matt Quarells | WR | ||||
| 87 | Anu Somoye | WR | ||||
| 8 | Cole Gautsche | TE | ||||
| 46 | Michael Walsh | TE | ||||
| 53 | Cody Baker | DL | ||||
| 90 | Ewing Simmons | DL | ||||
| 91 | Nik D'Avanzo | DL | ||||
| 92 | William Udeh | DL | ||||
| 95 | Garrett Hughes | DL | ||||
| 96 | Johnny Williams | DL | ||||
| 98 | Kene Okonkwo | DL | ||||
| 99 | Taylor Timmons | DL | ||||
| 2 | Kimmie Carson | LB | ||||
| 33 | Alex Hart | LB | ||||
| 43 | Jim Litrenta | LB | ||||
| 47 | Austin Ocasio | LB | ||||
| 49 | Dakota Cox | LB | ||||
| 54 | Donnie White | LB | ||||
| 57 | Everett Powell | LB | ||||
| 58 | Maurice Daniels | LB | ||||
| 26 | Danny Rambo | DB | ||||
| 27 | Brandon Colpitts | DB | ||||
| 3 | Nias Martin | CB | ||||
| 4 | Isaiah Brown | CB | ||||
| 7 | Blair Manly | CB | ||||
| 11 | Jadon Boatright | CB | ||||
| 26 | Marquez Mackey | CB | ||||
| 5 | Lee Crosby | S | ||||
| 12 | Ryan Santos | S | ||||
| 14 | Daniel Henry | S | ||||
| 16 | Jacob Girgle | S | ||||
| 27 | Bijon Parker | S | ||||
| 28 | Jake Rothschiller | S | ||||
| 95 | Jason Sanders | PK | ||||
| 30 | Corey Bojorquez | P | ||||
| 94 | Sam Gentry | P | ||||
| 85 | Alan Lucy | LS | ||||
| 97 | Steven Romero | LS | ||||
| 19 | Elijah Lilly | |||||
| 28 | Cameron Thomas | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →