The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 5Washington | L 13–48 | -8.3 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Howard FCS | W 52–14 | +5.9 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 80New Mexico | W 37–28 | +3.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 41IowaCONF | L 7–14 | -4.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 0–58 | -15.0 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 4MichiganCONF | L 0–78 | -27.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 102IllinoisCONF | L 7–24 | -27.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 40MinnesotaCONF | L 32–34 | +5.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 65IndianaCONF | L 27–33 | -9.1 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 66Michigan StateCONF | L 0–49 | -30.9 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 11Penn StateCONF | L 0–39 | -19.8 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 77MarylandCONF | L 13–31 | -18.0 | — | ESPNEWS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.6% | 118th | 44.2% | 77th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.3% | 95th | 47.0% | 92nd |
| Passing success rate | 32.3% | 125th | 40.1% | 51st |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 73rd | 17.2% | 100th |
| Explosive pass rate | 5.9% | 128th | 12.5% | 105th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 101st | 3.08 | 72nd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.1% | 72nd | 42.1% | 101st |
| Stuff rate | 19.7% | 88th | 20.0% | 47th |
| Sack rate | 8.3% | 108th | 6.7% | 43rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.5% | 124th | 37.1% | 29th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 42.1% | 127th | 53.5% | 22nd |
| Havoc rate | 13.9% | 99th | 14.1% | 25th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.5 | 113th | 28.3 | 53rd |
| Yards / game | 283.2 | 128th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 3.97 | 128th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 138.3 | 122nd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.00 | 128th | — | — |
| Completion % | 47.9% | 124th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 144.9 | 102nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.56 | 110th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.8% | 123rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.83 | 109th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.0 | 20th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chris Laviano | QB | ||||
| 12 | Zach Allen | QB | ||||
| 14 | Tylin Oden | QB | ||||
| 17 | Giovanni Rescigno | QB | ||||
| 4 | Trey Sneed | RB | ||||
| 7 | Robert Martin | RB | ||||
| 8 | Josh Hicks | RB | ||||
| 32 | Justin Goodwin | RB | ||||
| 1 | Janarion Grant | WR | ||||
| 3 | Jawuan Harris | WR | ||||
| 13 | Carlton Agudosi | WR | ||||
| 38 | Dacoven Bailey | WR | ||||
| 81 | Gordon Bentley | WR | ||||
| 84 | John Tsimis | WR | ||||
| 87 | Vance Matthews | WR | ||||
| 88 | Andre Patton | WR | ||||
| 12 | Myles Nash | TE | ||||
| 42 | Nick Arcidiacono | TE | ||||
| 81 | Matt Flanagan | TE | ||||
| 5 | Ron'Dell Carter | DL | ||||
| 22 | Quanzell Lambert | DL | ||||
| 53 | Julian Pinnix-Odrick | DL | ||||
| 59 | Darnell Davis | DL | ||||
| 91 | Darius Hamilton | DL | ||||
| 92 | Eric Wiafe | DL | ||||
| 95 | Jon Bateky | DL | ||||
| 99 | Kevin Wilkins | DL | ||||
| 58 | Kemoko Turay | DE | ||||
| 98 | Jimmy Hogan | DE | ||||
| 51 | Sebastian Joseph-Day | DT | ||||
| 9 | Najee Clayton | LB | ||||
| 15 | Trevor Morris | LB | ||||
| 21 | Ross Douglas | LB | ||||
| 26 | Deonte Roberts | LB | ||||
| 30 | Andre Hunt | LB | ||||
| 33 | Greg Jones | LB | ||||
| 35 | Eric Margolis | LB | ||||
| 40 | Kevin Marquez | LB | ||||
| 44 | Tyreek Maddox-Williams | LB | ||||
| 47 | Isaiah Johnson | LB | ||||
| 49 | Brandon Russell | LB | ||||
| 10 | Blessuan Austin | DB | ||||
| 11 | Isaiah Wharton | DB | ||||
| 18 | Damon Hayes | DB | ||||
| 20 | Marcus Parker | DB | ||||
| 25 | Jarius Adams | DB | ||||
| 29 | Lawrence Stevens | DB | ||||
| 31 | Anthony Cioffi | DB | ||||
| 39 | Sandy Anya | DB | ||||
| 10 | Bless Austin | CB | ||||
| 9 | Saquan Hampton | S | ||||
| 17 | K.J. Gray | S | ||||
| 23 | Kiy Hester | S | ||||
| 98 | David Bonagura | PK | ||||
| 94 | Michael Cintron | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →