Big Ten · 2016 · Final

Illinois Fighting Illini 2016

3-92-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#102
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-8.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.4
111th in FBS
Defense
-1.9
79th in FBS
Schedule
+1.9
28th toughest
Preseason
-0.8
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-8.3 now, -0.8 preseason · down 25 spots since preseason
-10-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#102

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsMurray State FCSW 52–3+9.8—BTN
2Sep 10vs33North CarolinaL 23–48-20.6—BTN
3Sep 17vs13Western MichiganL 10–34-14.8—ESPNEWS
4—Bye
5Oct 1@45NebraskaCONFL 16–31-8.4—ESPN2
6Oct 8vs115PurdueCONFL 31–34-16.3—BTN
7Oct 15@113RutgersCONFW 24–7+9.0—ESPNEWS
8Oct 22@4MichiganCONFL 8–41-7.0—BTN
9Oct 29vs40MinnesotaCONFL 17–40-20.8—BTN
10Nov 5vs66Michigan StateCONFW 31–27+0.8—ESPNEWS
11Nov 12@9WisconsinCONFL 3–48-16.2—ESPN2
12Nov 19vs41IowaCONFL 0–28-23.2—BTN
13Nov 26@47NorthwesternCONFL 21–42-14.6—BTN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.6%118th45.3%93rd
Rushing success rate38.8%114th46.3%86th
Passing success rate36.7%109th43.8%87th
Explosive run rate16.7%40th15.6%76th
Explosive pass rate7.3%122nd10.3%65th
Line yards / carry2.9386th3.0057th
Opportunity rate38.4%81st41.4%94th
Stuff rate22.5%117th19.3%56th
Sack rate4.3%27th7.2%25th
3rd-down conversion32.1%123rd47.4%115th
Red-zone TD rate57.1%101st65.4%84th
Havoc rate13.4%89th13.7%32nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game28.279th32.378th
Yards / game315.1123rd——
Yards / play5.1794th——
Pass yards / game174.6109th——
Yards / pass att.5.85124th——
Completion %51.1%120th——
Rush yards / game140.5105th——
Yards / carry4.7852nd——
3rd-down conv. %28.4%127th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6739th——
Penalty yards / game53.363rd——

Players

58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

58 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →