
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Murray State FCS | W 52–3 | +9.8 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 33North Carolina | L 23–48 | -20.6 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 13Western Michigan | L 10–34 | -14.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 45NebraskaCONF | L 16–31 | -8.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 115PurdueCONF | L 31–34 | -16.3 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 113RutgersCONF | W 24–7 | +9.0 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 4MichiganCONF | L 8–41 | -7.0 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 40MinnesotaCONF | L 17–40 | -20.8 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 66Michigan StateCONF | W 31–27 | +0.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 9WisconsinCONF | L 3–48 | -16.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 41IowaCONF | L 0–28 | -23.2 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 47NorthwesternCONF | L 21–42 | -14.6 | — | BTN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.6% | 118th | 45.3% | 93rd |
| Rushing success rate | 38.8% | 114th | 46.3% | 86th |
| Passing success rate | 36.7% | 109th | 43.8% | 87th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.7% | 40th | 15.6% | 76th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.3% | 122nd | 10.3% | 65th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 86th | 3.00 | 57th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.4% | 81st | 41.4% | 94th |
| Stuff rate | 22.5% | 117th | 19.3% | 56th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 27th | 7.2% | 25th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.1% | 123rd | 47.4% | 115th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 101st | 65.4% | 84th |
| Havoc rate | 13.4% | 89th | 13.7% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.2 | 79th | 32.3 | 78th |
| Yards / game | 315.1 | 123rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.17 | 94th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 174.6 | 109th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.85 | 124th | — | — |
| Completion % | 51.1% | 120th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 140.5 | 105th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.78 | 52nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 28.4% | 127th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.67 | 39th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.3 | 63rd | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jeff George Jr. | QB | ||||
| 7 | Chayce Crouch | QB | ||||
| 12 | Wes Lunt | QB | ||||
| 2 | Reggie Corbin | RB | ||||
| 5 | Ke'Shawn Vaughn | RB | ||||
| 6 | Tre Nation | RB | ||||
| 22 | Kendrick Foster | RB | ||||
| 38 | Brandon Roberts | RB | ||||
| 4 | D.J. Taylor | WR | ||||
| 9 | Sam Mays | WR | ||||
| 11 | Malik Turner | WR | ||||
| 13 | Caleb Reams | WR | ||||
| 19 | Justin Hardee Sr. | WR | ||||
| 84 | Dominic Thieman | WR | ||||
| 86 | Desmond Cain | WR | ||||
| 88 | Zach Grant | WR | ||||
| 7 | Zarrian Holcombe | TE | ||||
| 10 | Justice Williams | TE | ||||
| 36 | Austin Roberts | TE | ||||
| 39 | Nathan Echard | TE | ||||
| 80 | Ainslie Johnson | TE | ||||
| 87 | Tyler White | TE | ||||
| 89 | Andrew Davis | TE | ||||
| 59 | J.B. Butler | OL | ||||
| 14 | Gimel President | DL | ||||
| 16 | Rob Bain | DL | ||||
| 55 | Jamal Milan | DL | ||||
| 94 | Tito Odenigbo | DL | ||||
| 95 | Kenyon Jackson | DL | ||||
| 96 | Tymir Oliver | DL | ||||
| 91 | Dawuane Smoot | DE | ||||
| 11 | Chunky Clements | DT | ||||
| 5 | James Crawford | LB | ||||
| 6 | Carroll Phillips | LB | ||||
| 8 | Julian Jones | LB | ||||
| 9 | Dele Harding | LB | ||||
| 10 | Hardy Nickerson | LB | ||||
| 33 | Tre Watson | LB | ||||
| 35 | Jake Hansen | LB | ||||
| 1 | Frank Sumpter | DB | ||||
| 3 | Taylor Barton | DB | ||||
| 4 | Darwyn Kelly | DB | ||||
| 7 | Caleb Day | DB | ||||
| 8 | Dillan Cazley | DB | ||||
| 17 | Stanley Green | DB | ||||
| 24 | Darius Mosely | DB | ||||
| 24 | Toby Omli | DB | ||||
| 27 | Ahmari Hayes | DB | ||||
| 31 | Cam Watkins | DB | ||||
| 1 | Jaylen Dunlap | CB | ||||
| 4 | Chris James | S | ||||
| 21 | Patrick Nelson | S | ||||
| 30 | Julian Hylton | S | ||||
| 38 | David Reisner | PK | ||||
| 43 | Chase McLaughlin | PK | ||||
| 13 | Ryan Frain | P | ||||
| 71 | Joe Spencer | |||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →