
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 13Western Michigan | L 21–22 | +8.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Illinois State FCS | L 7–9 | -25.0 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 74Duke | W 24–13 | +6.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 45NebraskaCONF | L 13–24 | -9.4 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 41IowaCONF | W 38–31 | +14.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 66Michigan StateCONF | W 54–40 | +15.8 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 65IndianaCONF | W 24–14 | +6.9 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 20–24 | +16.9 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 9WisconsinCONF | L 7–21 | -3.8 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 115PurdueCONF | W 45–17 | +17.1 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 40MinnesotaCONF | L 12–29 | -9.8 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 102IllinoisCONF | W 42–21 | +10.2 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 38PittsburghNEUTRAL | W 31–24 | +12.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.9% | 108th | 42.5% | 51st |
| Rushing success rate | 36.7% | 120th | 43.2% | 58th |
| Passing success rate | 42.5% | 51st | 41.8% | 64th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.3% | 94th | 13.6% | 39th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 100th | 8.2% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.68 | 117th | 2.73 | 28th |
| Opportunity rate | 32.2% | 120th | 33.8% | 23rd |
| Stuff rate | 22.5% | 117th | 20.9% | 38th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 98th | 4.8% | 90th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.6% | 75th | 37.6% | 30th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.8% | 55th | 52.9% | 20th |
| Havoc rate | 15.9% | 120th | 13.7% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.0 | 96th | 22.2 | 20th |
| Yards / game | 398.2 | 73rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.06 | 100th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 245.1 | 53rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.60 | 100th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.4% | 68th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 153.2 | 91st | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.97 | 98th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.3% | 74th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.00 | 113th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 29.9 | 3rd | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matt Alviti | QB | ||||
| 18 | Clayton Thorson | QB | ||||
| 12 | Auston Anderson | RB | ||||
| 20 | John Moten IV | RB | ||||
| 21 | Justin Jackson | RB | ||||
| 25 | Corey Acker | RB | ||||
| 4 | Solomon Vault | WR | ||||
| 5 | Charlie Fessler | WR | ||||
| 6 | Jelani Roberts | WR | ||||
| 15 | Macan Wilson | WR | ||||
| 23 | Steven Reese | WR | ||||
| 33 | Matt Micucci | WR | ||||
| 80 | Austin Carr | WR | ||||
| 82 | Andrew Scanlan | WR | ||||
| 84 | Cameron Green | WR | ||||
| 86 | Flynn Nagel | WR | ||||
| 88 | Ben Skowronek | WR | ||||
| 9 | Garrett Dickerson | TE | ||||
| 54 | Trent Goens | TE | ||||
| 90 | Cameron Robbins | DL | ||||
| 92 | Fred Wyatt | DL | ||||
| 93 | Greg Kuhar | DL | ||||
| 95 | Alex Miller | DL | ||||
| 97 | Joe Gaziano | DL | ||||
| 99 | Jordan Thompson | DL | ||||
| 7 | Ifeadi Odenigbo | DE | ||||
| 56 | Xavier Washington | DE | ||||
| 67 | Tyler Lancaster | DT | ||||
| 1 | Anthony Walker Jr. | LB | ||||
| 13 | Warren Long | LB | ||||
| 24 | Zavier Carmichael | LB | ||||
| 31 | Tommy Vitale | LB | ||||
| 32 | Nate Hall | LB | ||||
| 35 | Tom Hruby | LB | ||||
| 38 | Byron Bullough | LB | ||||
| 42 | Joe Jones | LB | ||||
| 49 | Josh Roberts | LB | ||||
| 51 | Jaylen Prater | LB | ||||
| 53 | Cameron Queiro | LB | ||||
| 54 | Nathan Fox | LB | ||||
| 1 | Joe Bergin | DB | ||||
| 11 | Parrker Westphal | DB | ||||
| 14 | Luther Kirk IV | DB | ||||
| 17 | Marcus McShepard | DB | ||||
| 29 | Trae Williams | DB | ||||
| 11 | Matthew Harris | CB | ||||
| 24 | Montre Hartage | CB | ||||
| 16 | Godwin Igwebuike | S | ||||
| 21 | Kyle Queiro | S | ||||
| 27 | Roderick Campbell | S | ||||
| 41 | Jared McGee | S | ||||
| 8 | Jack Mitchell | PK | ||||
| 88 | Reece Attard | PK | ||||
| 96 | Hunter Niswander | P | ||||
| 10 | Brett Walsh | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →