Big Ten · 2016 · Final

Northwestern Wildcats 2016

7-65-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#47
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+4.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.4
72nd in FBS
Defense
+5.4
20th in FBS
Schedule
+1.4
35th toughest
Preseason
+1.2
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+4.0 now, +1.2 preseason · up 12 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#47

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs13Western MichiganL 21–22+8.2—ESPNU
2Sep 10vsIllinois State FCSL 7–9-25.0—BTN
3Sep 17vs74DukeW 24–13+6.3—BTN
4Sep 24vs45NebraskaCONFL 13–24-9.4—BTN
5Oct 1@41IowaCONFW 38–31+14.2—ESPNU
6—Bye
7Oct 15@66Michigan StateCONFW 54–40+15.8—BTN
8Oct 22vs65IndianaCONFW 24–14+6.9—BTN
9Oct 29@2Ohio StateCONFL 20–24+16.9—ESPN
10Nov 5vs9WisconsinCONFL 7–21-3.8—ABC
11Nov 12@115PurdueCONFW 45–17+17.1—BTN
12Nov 19@40MinnesotaCONFL 12–29-9.8—BTN
13Nov 26vs102IllinoisCONFW 42–21+10.2—BTN
BowlsDec 28vs38PittsburghNEUTRALW 31–24+12.4—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.9%108th42.5%51st
Rushing success rate36.7%120th43.2%58th
Passing success rate42.5%51st41.8%64th
Explosive run rate13.3%94th13.6%39th
Explosive pass rate8.5%100th8.2%11th
Line yards / carry2.68117th2.7328th
Opportunity rate32.2%120th33.8%23rd
Stuff rate22.5%117th20.9%38th
Sack rate7.3%98th4.8%90th
3rd-down conversion40.6%75th37.6%30th
Red-zone TD rate65.8%55th52.9%20th
Havoc rate15.9%120th13.7%32nd
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.096th22.220th
Yards / game398.273rd——
Yards / play5.06100th——
Pass yards / game245.153rd——
Yards / pass att.6.60100th——
Completion %58.4%68th——
Rush yards / game153.291st——
Yards / carry3.9798th——
3rd-down conv. %39.3%74th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.00113th——
Penalty yards / game29.93rd——

Players

56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

56 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →