Big Ten · 2016 · Final

Michigan State Spartans 2016

3-91-8 in conference
Final TDC rank
#66
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-0.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.6
74th in FBS
Defense
+0.9
52nd in FBS
Schedule
+2.7
18th toughest
Preseason
+5.6
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-0.7 now, +5.6 preseason · down 51 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#67

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2vsFurman FCSW 28–13-8.0—BTN
2—Bye
3Sep 17@43Notre DameW 36–28+15.0—NBC
4Sep 24vs9WisconsinCONFL 6–30-13.8—BTN
5Oct 1@65IndianaCONFL 21–24-1.1—BTN
6Oct 8vs35BYUL 14–31-13.6—ABC
7Oct 15vs47NorthwesternCONFL 40–54-12.5—BTN
8Oct 22@77MarylandCONFL 17–28-11.0—BTN
9Oct 29vs4MichiganCONFL 23–32+6.2—ESPN
10Nov 5@102IllinoisCONFL 27–31-9.8—ESPNEWS
11Nov 12vs113RutgersCONFW 49–0+19.8—BTN
12Nov 19vs2Ohio StateCONFL 16–17+14.9—ESPN
13Nov 26@11Penn StateCONFL 12–45-12.7—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.4%87th42.8%61st
Rushing success rate43.1%89th42.0%46th
Passing success rate39.4%83rd44.0%89th
Explosive run rate13.7%88th11.2%9th
Explosive pass rate9.1%90th10.6%75th
Line yards / carry2.9191st2.5415th
Opportunity rate40.0%58th33.9%24th
Stuff rate20.3%97th22.0%25th
Sack rate5.8%67th3.4%121st
3rd-down conversion42.4%59th44.5%96th
Red-zone TD rate59.5%89th71.1%104th
Havoc rate12.4%68th10.5%111th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.1110th30.163rd
Yards / game395.075th——
Yards / play5.4675th——
Pass yards / game222.374th——
Yards / pass att.7.2166th——
Completion %57.0%84th——
Rush yards / game172.765th——
Yards / carry4.4068th——
3rd-down conv. %38.5%80th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2581st——
Penalty yards / game60.395th——

Players

59 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

59 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →