
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Furman FCS | W 28–13 | -8.0 | — | BTN |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 43Notre Dame | W 36–28 | +15.0 | — | NBC |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 9WisconsinCONF | L 6–30 | -13.8 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 65IndianaCONF | L 21–24 | -1.1 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 35BYU | L 14–31 | -13.6 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 47NorthwesternCONF | L 40–54 | -12.5 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 77MarylandCONF | L 17–28 | -11.0 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 4MichiganCONF | L 23–32 | +6.2 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 102IllinoisCONF | L 27–31 | -9.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 113RutgersCONF | W 49–0 | +19.8 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 16–17 | +14.9 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 11Penn StateCONF | L 12–45 | -12.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 87th | 42.8% | 61st |
| Rushing success rate | 43.1% | 89th | 42.0% | 46th |
| Passing success rate | 39.4% | 83rd | 44.0% | 89th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.7% | 88th | 11.2% | 9th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 90th | 10.6% | 75th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.91 | 91st | 2.54 | 15th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.0% | 58th | 33.9% | 24th |
| Stuff rate | 20.3% | 97th | 22.0% | 25th |
| Sack rate | 5.8% | 67th | 3.4% | 121st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.4% | 59th | 44.5% | 96th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.5% | 89th | 71.1% | 104th |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 68th | 10.5% | 111th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.1 | 110th | 30.1 | 63rd |
| Yards / game | 395.0 | 75th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.46 | 75th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 222.3 | 74th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.21 | 66th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.0% | 84th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 172.7 | 65th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.40 | 68th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.5% | 80th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 81st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.3 | 95th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →