Big Ten · 2016 · Final

Penn State Nittany Lions 2016

11-38-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#11
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+11.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+8.4
13th in FBS
Defense
+3.5
35th in FBS
Schedule
+3.6
10th toughest
Preseason
+1.6
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+11.9 now, +1.6 preseason · up 45 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#10

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs106Kent StateW 33–13+8.7—BTN
2Sep 10@38PittsburghL 39–42+4.9—ESPN
3Sep 17vs23TempleW 34–27+12.2—BTN
4Sep 24@4MichiganCONFL 10–49-9.1—ABC
5Oct 1vs40MinnesotaCONFW 29–26+5.2—BTN
6Oct 8vs77MarylandCONFW 38–14+19.0—BTN
7—Bye
8Oct 22vs2Ohio StateCONFW 24–21+18.9—ABC
9Oct 29@115PurdueCONFW 62–24+20.6—ABC
10Nov 5vs41IowaCONFW 41–14+27.3—BTN
11Nov 12@65IndianaCONFW 45–31+15.9—ABC
12Nov 19@113RutgersCONFW 39–0+21.2—BTN
13Nov 26vs66Michigan StateCONFW 45–12+24.0—ESPN
14Dec 3vs9WisconsinNEUTRALW 38–31+19.7—FOX
BowlsJan 2vs8USCNEUTRALL 49–52+9.9—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.3%80th40.5%36th
Rushing success rate42.3%95th41.3%37th
Passing success rate42.2%55th39.7%48th
Explosive run rate15.8%55th14.5%53rd
Explosive pass rate16.6%5th7.6%5th
Line yards / carry2.54122nd2.7831st
Opportunity rate36.3%104th37.9%45th
Stuff rate22.5%117th21.7%28th
Sack rate5.4%49th7.3%24th
3rd-down conversion32.9%121st40.5%59th
Red-zone TD rate56.1%107th62.2%60th
Havoc rate12.8%83rd13.0%51st
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.130th27.447th
Yards / game432.649th——
Yards / play6.3421st——
Pass yards / game260.736th——
Yards / pass att.9.3410th——
Completion %57.8%74th——
Rush yards / game171.966th——
Yards / carry4.4664th——
3rd-down conv. %32.4%118th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7141st——
Penalty yards / game44.429th——

Players

58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

58 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →