Pac-12 · 2016 · Final

USC Trojans 2016

10-37-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#8
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+12.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.7
23rd in FBS
Defense
+7.2
14th in FBS
Schedule
+4.9
3rd toughest
Preseason
+4.9
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+12.9 now, +4.9 preseason · up 13 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#8

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs1AlabamaNEUTRALL 6–52-8.2—ABC
2Sep 10vs90Utah StateW 45–7+21.4—PACN
3Sep 17@17StanfordCONFL 10–27-5.1—ABC
4Sep 23@37UtahCONFL 27–31+4.1—FS1
5Oct 1vs85Arizona StateCONFW 41–20+14.6—FOX
6Oct 8vs20ColoradoCONFW 21–17+9.7—PACN
7Oct 15@98ArizonaCONFW 48–14+22.9—FOX
8—Bye
9Oct 27vs62CaliforniaCONFW 45–24+18.6—ESPN
10Nov 5vs69OregonCONFW 45–20+20.8—ESPN
11Nov 12@5WashingtonCONFW 26–13+32.5—FOX
12Nov 19@58UCLACONFW 36–14+25.4—ESPN
13Nov 26vs43Notre DameW 45–27+20.0—ABC
BowlsJan 2vs11Penn StateNEUTRALW 52–49+14.9—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.3%9th37.7%23rd
Rushing success rate46.7%42nd39.0%24th
Passing success rate51.7%5th36.6%19th
Explosive run rate16.7%40th13.5%38th
Explosive pass rate12.4%40th8.3%13th
Line yards / carry3.1352nd2.8740th
Opportunity rate39.3%69th34.4%26th
Stuff rate17.9%58th16.6%91st
Sack rate2.7%5th5.3%77th
3rd-down conversion50.3%10th33.5%12th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%40th56.7%33rd
Havoc rate8.8%6th10.5%111th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.443rd24.429th
Yards / game477.120th——
Yards / play6.3223rd——
Pass yards / game276.425th——
Yards / pass att.7.7642nd——
Completion %65.7%9th——
Rush yards / game200.742nd——
Yards / carry5.1633rd——
3rd-down conv. %47.5%13th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.926th——
Penalty yards / game67.2114th——

Players

50 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

50 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →