The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs UC Davis FCS | W 53–28 | +1.4 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 103Virginia | W 44–26 | +7.1 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 45Nebraska | L 32–35 | +3.6 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 20ColoradoCONF | L 38–41 | +2.7 | — | PACN |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 26Washington StateCONF | L 33–51 | -8.4 | — | PACN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 5WashingtonCONF | L 21–70 | -18.2 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 62CaliforniaCONF | L 49–52 | -0.4 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 85Arizona StateCONF | W 54–35 | +12.6 | — | PACN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 8USCCONF | L 20–45 | -9.0 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 17StanfordCONF | L 27–52 | -17.5 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 37UtahCONF | W 30–28 | +10.1 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 78Oregon StateCONF | L 24–34 | -10.0 | — | PACN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.7% | 35th | 51.7% | 127th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.4% | 37th | 54.2% | 126th |
| Passing success rate | 43.8% | 42nd | 49.3% | 125th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.3% | 14th | 21.2% | 128th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.4% | 14th | 8.8% | 17th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 58th | 3.50 | 125th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.0% | 13th | 48.0% | 126th |
| Stuff rate | 19.0% | 73rd | 16.5% | 96th |
| Sack rate | 6.4% | 79th | 5.3% | 77th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.9% | 73rd | 47.9% | 120th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.6% | 26th | 86.8% | 128th |
| Havoc rate | 11.3% | 42nd | 9.2% | 121st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.6 | 37th | 52.8 | 127th |
| Yards / game | 491.7 | 15th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.41 | 18th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 265.3 | 31st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.98 | 31st | — | — |
| Completion % | 64.4% | 13th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 226.4 | 27th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.51 | 15th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.6% | 79th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 90th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 75.8 | 126th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dakota Prukop | QB | ||||
| 10 | Justin Herbert | QB | ||||
| 5 | Taj Griffin | RB | ||||
| 20 | Tony Brooks-James | RB | ||||
| 21 | Royce Freeman | RB | ||||
| 29 | Kani Benoit | RB | ||||
| 41 | Jarret LaCoste | RB | ||||
| 4 | Alex Ofodile | WR | ||||
| 6 | Charles Nelson | WR | ||||
| 7 | Darren Carrington | WR | ||||
| 13 | Devon Allen | WR | ||||
| 15 | Jalen Brown | WR | ||||
| 23 | Malik Lovette | WR | ||||
| 82 | Casey Eugenio | WR | ||||
| 88 | Dwayne Stanford | WR | ||||
| 89 | Dillon Mitchell | WR | ||||
| 27 | Jake Breeland | TE | ||||
| 81 | Evan Baylis | TE | ||||
| 83 | Johnny Mundt | TE | ||||
| 85 | Pharaoh Brown | TE | ||||
| 87 | Ryan Bay | TE | ||||
| 66 | Brady Aiello | OL | ||||
| 54 | Calvin Throckmorton | OT | ||||
| 47 | Rex Manu | DL | ||||
| 55 | Austin Maloata | DL | ||||
| 71 | Wayne Tei-Kirby | DL | ||||
| 91 | T.J. Daniel | DL | ||||
| 92 | Henry Mondeaux | DL | ||||
| 99 | Canton Kaumatule | DL | ||||
| 45 | Gus Cumberlander | DE | ||||
| 97 | Jalen Jelks | DE | ||||
| 51 | Gary Baker | DT | ||||
| 90 | Drayton Carlberg | DT | ||||
| 3 | Jonah Moi | LB | ||||
| 9 | A.J. Hotchkins | LB | ||||
| 11 | Justin Hollins | LB | ||||
| 18 | Jimmie Swain | LB | ||||
| 24 | Keith Simms | LB | ||||
| 28 | Johnny Ragin III | LB | ||||
| 34 | La'Mar Winston Jr. | LB | ||||
| 35 | Troy Dye | LB | ||||
| 39 | Kaulana Apelu | LB | ||||
| 46 | Danny Mattingly | LB | ||||
| 54 | De'Quan McDowell | LB | ||||
| 56 | Bryson Young | LB | ||||
| 8 | Reggie Daniels | DB | ||||
| 26 | Khalil Oliver | DB | ||||
| 1 | Arrion Springs | CB | ||||
| 2 | Tyree Robinson | CB | ||||
| 14 | Ugo Amadi | S | ||||
| 19 | Fotu T. Leiato II | S | ||||
| 41 | Aidan Schneider | PK | ||||
| 38 | Ian Wheeler | P | ||||
| 43 | Brenden Schooler | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →