Pac-12 · 2016 · Final

Oregon Ducks 2016

4-82-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#69
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-1.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+8.6
12th in FBS
Defense
-9.6
126th in FBS
Schedule
+2.4
25th toughest
Preseason
+3.7
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-1.0 now, +3.7 preseason · down 36 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#69

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsUC Davis FCSW 53–28+1.4—PACN
2Sep 10vs103VirginiaW 44–26+7.1—ESPN
3Sep 17@45NebraskaL 32–35+3.6—ABC
4Sep 24vs20ColoradoCONFL 38–41+2.7—PACN
5Oct 1@26Washington StateCONFL 33–51-8.4—PACN
6Oct 8vs5WashingtonCONFL 21–70-18.2—FOX
7—Bye
8Oct 21@62CaliforniaCONFL 49–52-0.4—ESPN
9Oct 29vs85Arizona StateCONFW 54–35+12.6—PACN
10Nov 5@8USCCONFL 20–45-9.0—ESPN
11Nov 12vs17StanfordCONFL 27–52-17.5—PACN
12Nov 19@37UtahCONFW 30–28+10.1—
13Nov 26@78Oregon StateCONFL 24–34-10.0—PACN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.7%35th51.7%127th
Rushing success rate47.4%37th54.2%126th
Passing success rate43.8%42nd49.3%125th
Explosive run rate19.3%14th21.2%128th
Explosive pass rate14.4%14th8.8%17th
Line yards / carry3.1058th3.50125th
Opportunity rate44.0%13th48.0%126th
Stuff rate19.0%73rd16.5%96th
Sack rate6.4%79th5.3%77th
3rd-down conversion40.9%73rd47.9%120th
Red-zone TD rate69.6%26th86.8%128th
Havoc rate11.3%42nd9.2%121st
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.637th52.8127th
Yards / game491.715th——
Yards / play6.4118th——
Pass yards / game265.331st——
Yards / pass att.7.9831st——
Completion %64.4%13th——
Rush yards / game226.427th——
Yards / carry5.5115th——
3rd-down conv. %38.6%79th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.4290th——
Penalty yards / game75.8126th——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →