The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 113Rutgers | W 48–13 | +14.9 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 87Idaho | W 59–14 | +24.7 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs Portland State FCS | W 41–3 | +5.9 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 98ArizonaCONF | W 35–28 | +2.4 | — | PACN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 17StanfordCONF | W 44–6 | +35.8 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 69OregonCONF | W 70–21 | +34.2 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 78Oregon StateCONF | W 41–17 | +19.0 | — | PACN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 37UtahCONF | W 31–24 | +15.1 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 62CaliforniaCONF | W 66–27 | +31.8 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 8USCCONF | L 13–26 | -2.6 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 85Arizona StateCONF | W 44–18 | +18.3 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 26Washington StateCONF | W 45–17 | +35.0 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 20ColoradoNEUTRAL | W 41–10 | +34.6 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 1AlabamaNEUTRAL | L 7–24 | +6.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 52.1% | 4th | 34.9% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.5% | 4th | 35.7% | 8th |
| Passing success rate | 50.8% | 8th | 34.1% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.5% | 12th | 11.5% | 10th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.2% | 44th | 7.6% | 5th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.42 | 8th | 2.74 | 30th |
| Opportunity rate | 47.1% | 2nd | 32.6% | 17th |
| Stuff rate | 14.0% | 9th | 19.6% | 53rd |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 74th | 9.5% | 5th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.0% | 34th | 32.2% | 8th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 77.1% | 7th | 53.6% | 23rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.0% | 62nd | 13.5% | 39th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 41.8 | 13th | 18.1 | 6th |
| Yards / game | 456.9 | 32nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.64 | 11th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 258.8 | 41st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.88 | 13th | — | — |
| Completion % | 62.3% | 26th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 198.1 | 44th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.24 | 27th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.1% | 27th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.86 | 50th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.9 | 30th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jake Browning | QB | ||||
| 11 | K.J. Carta-Samuels | QB | ||||
| 9 | Myles Gaskin | RB | ||||
| 22 | Lavon Coleman | RB | ||||
| 30 | Gavin McDaniel | RB | ||||
| 40 | Ralph Kinne | RB | ||||
| 1 | John Ross | WR | ||||
| 6 | Chico McClatcher | WR | ||||
| 8 | Dante Pettis | WR | ||||
| 12 | Aaron Fuller | WR | ||||
| 19 | Andre Baccellia | WR | ||||
| 21 | Quinten Pounds | WR | ||||
| 85 | David Ajamu | WR | ||||
| 89 | John Gardner | WR | ||||
| 5 | Jeff Lindquist | TE | ||||
| 15 | Darrell Daniels | TE | ||||
| 88 | Drew Sample | TE | ||||
| 98 | Will Dissly | TE | ||||
| 8 | Benning Potoa'e | DL | ||||
| 56 | Jared Pulu | DL | ||||
| 57 | John Clark | DL | ||||
| 66 | Damion Turpin | DL | ||||
| 92 | Jaylen Johnson | DL | ||||
| 99 | Ricky McCoy | DL | ||||
| 37 | Bryce Sterk | DE | ||||
| 11 | Elijah Qualls | DT | ||||
| 50 | Vita Vea | DT | ||||
| 99 | Greg Gaines | DT | ||||
| 5 | Joe Mathis | LB | ||||
| 7 | Keishawn Bierria | LB | ||||
| 15 | DJ Beavers | LB | ||||
| 17 | Tevis Bartlett | LB | ||||
| 25 | Ben Burr-Kirven | LB | ||||
| 28 | Psalm Wooching | LB | ||||
| 29 | Connor O'Brien | LB | ||||
| 36 | Azeem Victor | LB | ||||
| 53 | Jake Wambaugh | LB | ||||
| 54 | Matt Preston | LB | ||||
| 4 | Austin Joyner | DB | ||||
| 9 | Brandon Beaver | DB | ||||
| 10 | Jomon Dotson | DB | ||||
| 19 | Brandon Lewis | DB | ||||
| 22 | Trevor Walker | DB | ||||
| 38 | Hayden Schuh | DB | ||||
| 3 | Darren Gardenhire | CB | ||||
| 20 | Kevin King | CB | ||||
| 23 | Jordan Miller | CB | ||||
| 26 | Sidney Jones IV | CB | ||||
| 14 | JoJo McIntosh | S | ||||
| 24 | Ezekiel Turner | S | ||||
| 32 | Budda Baker | S | ||||
| 43 | Tristan Vizcaino | PK | ||||
| 48 | Cameron Van Winkle | PK | ||||
| 13 | Brandon Wellington | DEF | ||||
| 21 | Taylor Rapp | DEF | ||||
| Team | - | |||||
| - Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →