The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Montana State FCS | W 20–17 | -20.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 5Washington | L 14–59 | -11.8 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 26Washington State | L 6–56 | -23.5 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 110UNLV | W 33–30 | -4.0 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 51TroyCONF | L 13–34 | -20.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 122Louisiana MonroeCONF | W 34–31 | -7.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 126New Mexico StateCONF | W 55–23 | +11.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 25Appalachian StateCONF | L 19–37 | -8.3 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 96LouisianaCONF | W 23–13 | +5.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 128Texas StateCONF | W 47–14 | +10.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 100South AlabamaCONF | W 38–31 | -3.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 105Georgia StateCONF | W 37–12 | +13.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| Bowls | Dec 22 | vs 57Colorado StateNEUTRAL | W 61–50 | +12.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.4% | 51st | 44.7% | 84th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.9% | 106th | 46.6% | 88th |
| Passing success rate | 48.0% | 11th | 43.0% | 77th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.1% | 111th | 15.2% | 66th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.2% | 87th | 11.3% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.91 | 89th | 3.00 | 56th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.4% | 117th | 42.1% | 101st |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 41st | 17.6% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 5.4% | 49th | 4.6% | 98th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.4% | 81st | 42.6% | 81st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.2% | 106th | 60.0% | 48th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 58th | 11.9% | 81st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.2 | 55th | 30.9 | 67th |
| Yards / game | 397.3 | 74th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.47 | 74th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 249.2 | 51st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.50 | 57th | — | — |
| Completion % | 61.3% | 35th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 148.1 | 98th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.94 | 100th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.6% | 72nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 47th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.3 | 57th | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matt Linehan | QB | ||||
| 15 | Gunnar Amos | QB | ||||
| 4 | Mason Petrino | RB | ||||
| 21 | Isaiah Saunders | RB | ||||
| 22 | Doug Coman | RB | ||||
| 23 | Aaron Duckworth | RB | ||||
| 1 | Alfonso Onunwor | WR | ||||
| 2 | David Ungerer | WR | ||||
| 6 | Callen Hightower | WR | ||||
| 8 | Jacob Sannon | WR | ||||
| 13 | Trent Cowan | WR | ||||
| 26 | Reuben Mwehla | WR | ||||
| 27 | Jordan Frysinger | WR | ||||
| 45 | Josh Herman | WR | ||||
| 88 | Michael Garner | WR | ||||
| 3 | Deon Watson | TE | ||||
| 13 | Trent Cowan | TE | ||||
| 61 | Steven Matlock | OL | ||||
| 13 | Kevin Shelton | DL | ||||
| 15 | Glen Antoine | DL | ||||
| 44 | Tueni Lupeamanu | DL | ||||
| 90 | Zach Cable | DL | ||||
| 3 | Kaden Elliss | LB | ||||
| 7 | Khalin Smith | LB | ||||
| 33 | Tony Lashley | LB | ||||
| 40 | Mike Linehan | LB | ||||
| 42 | Jason Sylva | LB | ||||
| 50 | Ed Hall | LB | ||||
| 96 | Gavin Whitesitt | LB | ||||
| 8 | Armond Hawkins | DB | ||||
| 21 | Jordan Grabski | DB | ||||
| 23 | Calvary Pugh | DB | ||||
| 24 | Denzal Brantley | DB | ||||
| 4 | Jayshawn Jordan | CB | ||||
| 6 | Kendrick Trotter | CB | ||||
| 2 | D.J. Hampton | S | ||||
| 11 | Russell Siavii | S | ||||
| 25 | Desmond Banks | S | ||||
| 5 | Austin Rehkow | P | ||||
| 1 | D.J. Olmstead | DEF | ||||
| 5 | Lloyd Hightower | DEF | ||||
| 10 | Ty Graham | DEF | ||||
| 31 | Qendarrion Barnett | DEF | ||||
| 43 | Charles Akanno | DEF | ||||
| 80 | Eric Lemke | |||||
| 93 | Arie Anderson | DEF | ||||
| 97 | Aikeem Coleman | DEF | ||||
| Team | - | |||||
| Reuben Mwehla |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →