
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Southern FCS | W 38–21 | -6.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 6Oklahoma | L 17–59 | -14.2 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 82Georgia SouthernCONF | L 21–23 | -2.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 16Auburn | L 7–58 | -20.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 87IdahoCONF | L 31–34 | -9.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 128Texas StateCONF | W 40–34 | -15.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 80New Mexico | L 17–59 | -30.4 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 63Arkansas StateCONF | L 10–51 | -27.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 100South AlabamaCONF | W 42–35 | -3.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 105Georgia StateCONF | W 37–23 | +7.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 25Appalachian StateCONF | L 17–42 | -14.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 96LouisianaCONF | L 3–30 | -34.3 | — | ESPN3 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 89th | 49.4% | 122nd |
| Rushing success rate | 45.5% | 58th | 51.9% | 121st |
| Passing success rate | 35.7% | 115th | 45.9% | 106th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.9% | 71st | 20.3% | 125th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 98th | 11.0% | 83rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.15 | 47th | 3.31 | 115th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.3% | 95th | 46.6% | 125th |
| Stuff rate | 13.7% | 7th | 17.4% | 79th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 27th | 4.3% | 106th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.8% | 37th | 44.4% | 95th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 40th | 65.2% | 83rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.6% | 73rd | 13.4% | 41st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.3 | 115th | 39.3 | 108th |
| Yards / game | 373.3 | 100th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.01 | 107th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 192.0 | 99th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.33 | 109th | — | — |
| Completion % | 54.4% | 107th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 181.3 | 57th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.25 | 83rd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.4% | 47th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 33rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.3 | 18th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caleb Evans | QB | ||||
| 9 | Will Collins | QB | ||||
| 13 | Garrett Smith | QB | ||||
| 3 | Marcus Green | RB | ||||
| 22 | Nathan Meadors Jr. | RB | ||||
| 24 | Ben Luckett | RB | ||||
| 26 | Duke Carter IV | RB | ||||
| 28 | Thomas Koufie | RB | ||||
| 33 | Austin Vaughn | RB | ||||
| 1 | Brian Williams | WR | ||||
| 2 | R.J. Turner | WR | ||||
| 7 | Jared Mapps | WR | ||||
| 8 | De'Vonte Haggerty | WR | ||||
| 10 | D'Marius Gillespie | WR | ||||
| 12 | Markis McCray | WR | ||||
| 17 | Xavier Brown | WR | ||||
| 18 | Jonathan Hodoh | WR | ||||
| 21 | Ajalen Holley | WR | ||||
| 87 | Tre' Perrier | WR | ||||
| Ajalen Holley | WR | |||||
| 47 | Cody McGuire | TE | ||||
| 89 | Alec Osborne | TE | ||||
| 50 | Chris Lewis | OL | ||||
| 75 | Kevin Dotson | OL | ||||
| 94 | Tyler Johnson | OT | ||||
| 45 | Shaquille Warren | DL | ||||
| 49 | Nate Link | DL | ||||
| 52 | Colton Moorehead | DL | ||||
| 90 | Jaylen Veasley | DL | ||||
| 9 | Sam Miller | DE | ||||
| 48 | Sterling Doss | DE | ||||
| 58 | Donald Louis Jr. | DE | ||||
| 92 | Howard Houston Jr. | DT | ||||
| 99 | Derion Ford | DT | ||||
| 5 | Jarred Dunn | LB | ||||
| 7 | Cortez Sisco Jr. | LB | ||||
| 8 | Caleb Tucker | LB | ||||
| 14 | David Griffith | LB | ||||
| 32 | Chase Day | LB | ||||
| 46 | Kyle Nevels | LB | ||||
| 13 | Terry Ausborne Jr. | DB | ||||
| 27 | Blake Monroe | DB | ||||
| 1 | Juwan Offray | CB | ||||
| 9 | Marcus Hubbard | CB | ||||
| 12 | Jarell Brown | CB | ||||
| 27 | Grant Dotsy | CB | ||||
| 2 | Roland Jenkins | S | ||||
| 4 | Tre' Hunter | S | ||||
| 6 | Wesley Thompson | S | ||||
| 19 | Alex Johnson | S | ||||
| 20 | Justin Backus | S | ||||
| 23 | Nick Ingram | S | ||||
| 31 | Aaron Townsend | S | ||||
| 16 | Craig Ford | PK | ||||
| 81 | Dayton Balvanz | P | ||||
| 74 | Walker Easton | LS | ||||
| 3 | Stephen Amoako | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →