8-57-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#63
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-0.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.6
83rd in FBS
Defense
+2.4
42nd in FBS
Schedule
-6.0
122nd toughest
Preseason
+1.3
rating going in
2016 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-0.2 now, +1.3 preseason · down 6 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 30Toledo | L 10–31 | -17.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 16Auburn | L 14–51 | -15.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 90Utah State | L 20–34 | -16.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs Central Arkansas FCS | L 23–28 | -28.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 82Georgia SouthernCONF | W 27–26 | -4.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 100South AlabamaCONF | W 17–7 | 0.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 122Louisiana MonroeCONF | W 51–10 | +14.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 105Georgia StateCONF | W 31–16 | +8.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 126New Mexico StateCONF | W 41–22 | +3.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 51TroyCONF | W 35–3 | +32.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 96LouisianaCONF | L 19–24 | -9.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Dec 3 | @ 128Texas StateCONF | W 36–14 | +5.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | @ 70UCF | W 31–13 | +19.2 | — | CBSSN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 110th | 34.4% | 4th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.2% | 104th | 35.5% | 7th |
| Passing success rate | 38.3% | 95th | 33.3% | 7th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 78th | 12.2% | 22nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.6% | 26th | 9.3% | 31st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.63 | 121st | 2.51 | 9th |
| Opportunity rate | 32.3% | 119th | 31.2% | 6th |
| Stuff rate | 24.6% | 124th | 22.8% | 19th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 70th | 8.9% | 11th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30.5% | 126th | 34.8% | 15th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 101st | 52.9% | 20th |
| Havoc rate | 13.6% | 92nd | 16.1% | 5th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.3 | 84th | 21.5 | 16th |
| Yards / game | 379.4 | 93rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.21 | 92nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 242.2 | 57th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.83 | 37th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.5% | 80th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 137.2 | 106th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.45 | 115th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.4% | 126th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 63rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.2 | 110th | — | — |
Players
68 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
68 players
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →