Sun Belt · 2016 · Final

Texas State Bobcats 2016

2-100-8 in conference
Final TDC rank
#128
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-19.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-9.2
125th in FBS
Defense
-10.0
127th in FBS
Schedule
-4.1
100th toughest
Preseason
-6.8
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-19.2 now, -6.8 preseason · down 13 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#128

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@73OhioW 56–54+2.8—CBSSN
2—Bye
3Sep 17@53ArkansasL 3–42-24.4—SEC Network
4Sep 24vs27HoustonL 3–64-32.7—ESPNU
5Oct 1vsIncarnate Word FCSW 48–17+3.5—ESPN3
6Oct 8@105Georgia StateCONFL 21–41-26.3—ESPN3
7Oct 15@122Louisiana MonroeCONFL 34–40-16.5—ESPN3
8Oct 22vs96LouisianaCONFL 3–27-33.2—ESPN3
9—Bye
10Nov 5@25Appalachian StateCONFL 10–35-14.6—ESPN3
11Nov 12vs87IdahoCONFL 14–47-33.8—ESPN3
12Nov 19@126New Mexico StateCONFL 10–50-40.5—ESPN3
13Nov 26vs51TroyCONFL 7–40-26.4—ESPN3
14Dec 3vs63Arkansas StateCONFL 14–36-24.7—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.9%116th50.3%126th
Rushing success rate36.2%122nd48.8%108th
Passing success rate39.3%84th52.2%128th
Explosive run rate9.6%127th16.7%97th
Explosive pass rate7.0%125th12.9%112th
Line yards / carry2.45126th3.1793rd
Opportunity rate30.0%128th39.3%61st
Stuff rate24.2%123rd17.2%83rd
Sack rate9.5%121st2.2%128th
3rd-down conversion35.6%110th46.4%105th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%40th81.6%124th
Havoc rate16.5%125th8.9%124th
Box score · season totals
Points / game18.6126th41.1115th
Yards / game305.5126th——
Yards / play4.14127th——
Pass yards / game219.977th——
Yards / pass att.6.36107th——
Completion %61.9%28th——
Rush yards / game85.6127th——
Yards / carry2.41128th——
3rd-down conv. %30.9%122nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.67125th——
Penalty yards / game57.381st——

Players

62 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

62 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →