The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 128Texas State | L 54–56 | -23.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 118Kansas | W 37–21 | +6.1 | — | FOXNET |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 22Tennessee | L 19–28 | +1.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 37–21 | -7.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 93Miami (OH)CONF | W 17–7 | +6.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 107Bowling GreenCONF | W 30–24 | -5.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 91Eastern MichiganCONF | L 20–27 | -14.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 106Kent StateCONF | W 14–10 | -2.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 30ToledoCONF | W 31–26 | +14.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 127BuffaloCONF | W 34–10 | +5.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 89Central MichiganCONF | L 20–27 | -9.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 92AkronCONF | W 9–3 | -2.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 13Western MichiganNEUTRAL | L 23–29 | +5.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 51TroyNEUTRAL | L 23–28 | -1.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 99th | 41.1% | 39th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.5% | 107th | 40.1% | 27th |
| Passing success rate | 39.9% | 79th | 41.8% | 64th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.0% | 81st | 11.0% | 6th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 67th | 9.6% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 102nd | 2.51 | 11th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.9% | 88th | 32.4% | 14th |
| Stuff rate | 20.9% | 105th | 24.4% | 5th |
| Sack rate | 3.3% | 12th | 7.5% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.0% | 88th | 40.2% | 56th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.9% | 117th | 60.0% | 48th |
| Havoc rate | 12.5% | 71st | 15.0% | 16th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.3 | 93rd | 22.6 | 22nd |
| Yards / game | 392.6 | 77th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.37 | 80th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 224.8 | 72nd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.86 | 86th | — | — |
| Completion % | 54.7% | 102nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 167.9 | 75th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.30 | 78th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.6% | 91st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.36 | 24th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.8 | 52nd | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Quinton Maxwell | QB | ||||
| 14 | Greg Windham | QB | ||||
| 19 | DL Knock | RB | ||||
| 21 | Maleek Irons | RB | ||||
| 28 | Dorian Brown | RB | ||||
| 45 | A.J. Ouellette | RB | ||||
| Vinny Emanuele | RB | |||||
| 4 | Papi White | WR | ||||
| 5 | Jarid Brown | WR | ||||
| 6 | Sebastian Smith | WR | ||||
| 8 | Elijah Ball | WR | ||||
| 9 | Andrew Meyer | WR | ||||
| 12 | Jordan Reid | WR | ||||
| 16 | Kyle Belack | WR | ||||
| 80 | Jerrid Marhefka | WR | ||||
| 85 | Brendan Cope | WR | ||||
| 86 | Mason Morgan | WR | ||||
| Mason Morgan | WR | |||||
| 82 | Troy Mangen | TE | ||||
| 83 | Connor Brown | TE | ||||
| 44 | Casey Sayles | DL | ||||
| 54 | Tony Porter | DL | ||||
| 55 | Sam McKnight | DL | ||||
| 75 | Marshal Davis | DL | ||||
| 92 | Cleon Aloese | DL | ||||
| 96 | Kevin Robbins | DL | ||||
| 97 | Kent Berger | DL | ||||
| 98 | Chukwudi Chukwu | DL | ||||
| 99 | Kurt Laseak | DL | ||||
| 90 | Trent Smart | DE | ||||
| 93 | Tarell Basham | DE | ||||
| 32 | Quentin Poling | LB | ||||
| 32 | Rob Howard | LB | ||||
| 33 | Blair Brown | LB | ||||
| 36 | Austin Clack | LB | ||||
| 38 | Chad Moore | LB | ||||
| 39 | Corey Horne | LB | ||||
| 40 | Cody Grilliot | LB | ||||
| 46 | Jacob Koons | LB | ||||
| 47 | Evan Croutch | LB | ||||
| 8 | Mayne Williams | CB | ||||
| 16 | Bradd Ellis | CB | ||||
| 17 | Maxwell Howell | CB | ||||
| 21 | Jalen Fox | CB | ||||
| 7 | Javon Hagan | S | ||||
| 22 | Bo Hardy | S | ||||
| 23 | Kylan Nelson | S | ||||
| 24 | Toran Davis | S | ||||
| 26 | Corey Quallen | S | ||||
| 31 | Grant Cunningham | S | ||||
| 48 | Louie Zervos | PK | ||||
| 89 | Michael Farkas | PK | ||||
| 10 | Randy Stites | DEF | ||||
| 13 | London Miller | DEF | ||||
| 17 | Tim Helton | DEF | ||||
| 34 | Eric Popp | DEF | ||||
| 50 | Tom Strobel | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →