
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 47Northwestern | W 22–21 | +7.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs North Carolina Central FCS | W 70–21 | +9.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 102Illinois | W 34–10 | +18.2 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 82Georgia Southern | W 49–31 | +12.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 89Central MichiganCONF | W 49–10 | +26.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 79Northern IllinoisCONF | W 45–30 | +9.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 92AkronCONF | W 41–0 | +26.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 91Eastern MichiganCONF | W 45–31 | +6.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 99Ball StateCONF | W 52–20 | +21.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 106Kent StateCONF | W 37–21 | +9.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 127BuffaloCONF | W 38–0 | +10.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 30ToledoCONF | W 55–35 | +24.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 73OhioNEUTRAL | W 29–23 | +4.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 9WisconsinNEUTRAL | L 16–24 | +4.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 52.8% | 1st | 41.7% | 46th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.2% | 10th | 43.8% | 61st |
| Passing success rate | 53.7% | 2nd | 39.6% | 46th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.1% | 67th | 17.5% | 103rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 16.5% | 6th | 9.9% | 51st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.25 | 33rd | 3.19 | 97th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.1% | 44th | 40.3% | 78th |
| Stuff rate | 15.3% | 16th | 20.0% | 47th |
| Sack rate | 4.1% | 24th | 6.2% | 53rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 54.5% | 2nd | 41.0% | 62nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.2% | 22nd | 58.1% | 37th |
| Havoc rate | 8.4% | 3rd | 13.0% | 51st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 41.6 | 14th | 23.1 | 23rd |
| Yards / game | 480.5 | 19th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.54 | 14th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 252.4 | 49th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.35 | 9th | — | — |
| Completion % | 69.6% | 3rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 228.1 | 25th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.04 | 39th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 54.0% | 2nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.14 | 13th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.9 | 32nd | — | — |
47 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Zach Terrell | QB | ||||
| 13 | Tom Flacco | QB | ||||
| 3 | Fabian Johnson | RB | ||||
| 5 | LeVante Bellamy | RB | ||||
| 22 | Davon Tucker | RB | ||||
| 25 | Trevor Sweeney | RB | ||||
| 31 | Jarvion Franklin | RB | ||||
| 32 | Jamauri Bogan | RB | ||||
| 33 | Leo Ekwoge | RB | ||||
| 7 | Dee Eskridge | WR | ||||
| 15 | Carrington Thompson | WR | ||||
| 83 | Michael Henry | WR | ||||
| 84 | Corey Davis | WR | ||||
| 86 | Keishawn Watson | WR | ||||
| 85 | Donnie Ernsberger | TE | ||||
| 87 | Giovanni Ricci | TE | ||||
| 33 | Eric Assoua | DL | ||||
| 50 | Daniel Jackson | DL | ||||
| 53 | Nathan Braster | DL | ||||
| 68 | David Curle | DL | ||||
| 91 | Ken Finley | DL | ||||
| 1 | Keion Adams | DE | ||||
| 5 | Andre Turner | DE | ||||
| 58 | Antonio Balabani | DE | ||||
| 8 | Caleb Bailey | LB | ||||
| 10 | Robert Spillane | LB | ||||
| 13 | JaKevin Jackson | LB | ||||
| 34 | Alex Grace | LB | ||||
| 34 | Kenneth O'Neal | LB | ||||
| 43 | Tre'Von King | LB | ||||
| 46 | Lucas Cherocci | LB | ||||
| 56 | Kasey Carson | LB | ||||
| 18 | Sam Beal | DB | ||||
| 23 | Austin Guido | DB | ||||
| 24 | Obbie Jackson | DB | ||||
| 26 | Davontae Ginwright | DB | ||||
| 4 | Darius Phillips | CB | ||||
| 2 | Justin Tranquill | S | ||||
| 6 | Asantay Brown | S | ||||
| 37 | Butch Hampton | PK | ||||
| 39 | Derrick Mitchell | P | ||||
| 57 | James Coleman | P | ||||
| 86 | Travis Baugus | LS | ||||
| 11 | Stefan Claiborne | DEF | ||||
| 17 | Justin Ferguson | DEF | ||||
| 31 | Brad Tanner | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →