MAC · 2016 · Final

Ball State Cardinals 2016

4-81-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#99
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-7.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.4
92nd in FBS
Defense
-4.1
96th in FBS
Schedule
-5.5
117th toughest
Preseason
-5.7
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-7.5 now, -5.7 preseason · up 7 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#99

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 2@105Georgia StateW 31–21+3.7—ESPN3
2Sep 10@65IndianaL 20–30-8.1—ESPNEWS
3Sep 17vsEastern Kentucky FCSW 41–14+2.1—ESPN3
4Sep 24@124Florida AtlanticW 31–27-6.8—
5Oct 1vs79Northern IllinoisCONFL 24–31-12.1—ESPN3
6Oct 8@89Central MichiganCONFL 21–24-5.5—ESPN3
7Oct 15@127BuffaloCONFW 31–21-3.4—ESPN3
8Oct 22vs92AkronCONFL 25–35-18.5—ESPN3
9—Bye
10Nov 1vs13Western MichiganCONFL 20–52-17.6—ESPN2
11Nov 8vs91Eastern MichiganCONFL 41–48-14.8—CBSSN
12Nov 16@30ToledoCONFL 19–37-9.0—ESPN2
13Nov 22@93Miami (OH)CONFL 20–21-4.9—ESPN3

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.8%11th44.1%76th
Rushing success rate53.5%4th41.2%36th
Passing success rate43.6%45th46.2%112th
Explosive run rate16.4%45th16.1%83rd
Explosive pass rate8.0%112th10.3%65th
Line yards / carry3.3415th2.8135th
Opportunity rate43.4%17th37.4%41st
Stuff rate14.0%9th24.9%3rd
Sack rate3.6%17th4.9%87th
3rd-down conversion46.3%26th46.7%109th
Red-zone TD rate58.3%96th72.4%113th
Havoc rate11.0%36th13.1%48th
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.085th30.162nd
Yards / game449.237th——
Yards / play5.5470th——
Pass yards / game229.266th——
Yards / pass att.6.31113th——
Completion %60.3%42nd——
Rush yards / game220.030th——
Yards / carry5.0936th——
3rd-down conv. %45.1%24th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5030th——
Penalty yards / game35.55th——

Players

49 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

49 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →