The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 105Georgia State | W 31–21 | +3.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 65Indiana | L 20–30 | -8.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 41–14 | +2.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 124Florida Atlantic | W 31–27 | -6.8 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 79Northern IllinoisCONF | L 24–31 | -12.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 89Central MichiganCONF | L 21–24 | -5.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 127BuffaloCONF | W 31–21 | -3.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 92AkronCONF | L 25–35 | -18.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 13Western MichiganCONF | L 20–52 | -17.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 91Eastern MichiganCONF | L 41–48 | -14.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 30ToledoCONF | L 19–37 | -9.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 93Miami (OH)CONF | L 20–21 | -4.9 | — | ESPN3 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.8% | 11th | 44.1% | 76th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.5% | 4th | 41.2% | 36th |
| Passing success rate | 43.6% | 45th | 46.2% | 112th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.4% | 45th | 16.1% | 83rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.0% | 112th | 10.3% | 65th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.34 | 15th | 2.81 | 35th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.4% | 17th | 37.4% | 41st |
| Stuff rate | 14.0% | 9th | 24.9% | 3rd |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 17th | 4.9% | 87th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.3% | 26th | 46.7% | 109th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.3% | 96th | 72.4% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 36th | 13.1% | 48th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.0 | 85th | 30.1 | 62nd |
| Yards / game | 449.2 | 37th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.54 | 70th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 229.2 | 66th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.31 | 113th | — | — |
| Completion % | 60.3% | 42nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 220.0 | 30th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.09 | 36th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.1% | 24th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 30th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 35.5 | 5th | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Riley Neal | QB | ||||
| 14 | Jack Milas | QB | ||||
| 6 | Teddy Williamson | RB | ||||
| 33 | Darian Green | RB | ||||
| 34 | James Gilbert | RB | ||||
| 37 | Spencer Gilbert | RB | ||||
| 1 | Jordan Hogue | WR | ||||
| 4 | Malik Dunner | WR | ||||
| 7 | James Smith Jr. | WR | ||||
| 11 | Corey Lacanaria | WR | ||||
| 16 | KeVonn Mabon | WR | ||||
| 19 | Devin Reece | WR | ||||
| 80 | Aaron Hepp | WR | ||||
| 85 | Cywettnie Brown | WR | ||||
| Damon Hazelton | WR | |||||
| 17 | Sam Brunner | TE | ||||
| 18 | Dan Crimmins | TE | ||||
| 85 | Jon Floyd | TE | ||||
| 75 | Danny Pinter | OL | ||||
| 15 | Kevin Thurmon | DL | ||||
| 17 | Sean Hammonds Jr. | DL | ||||
| 57 | Joshua Posley | DE | ||||
| 55 | John Whitman III | DT | ||||
| 93 | Kevin Willis | DT | ||||
| 2 | Zack Ryan | LB | ||||
| 2 | Jacob White | LB | ||||
| 3 | Sean Wiggins | LB | ||||
| 7 | Aaron Taylor | LB | ||||
| 15 | Terin Solomon | LB | ||||
| 27 | Stu Stanley | LB | ||||
| 32 | Jeremiah Jackson | LB | ||||
| 50 | Damon Singleton | LB | ||||
| 98 | Anthony Winbush | LB | ||||
| 99 | Kenny Knight Jr. | LB | ||||
| 7 | Marc Walton | CB | ||||
| 13 | David Moore | CB | ||||
| 33 | Tyree Holder | CB | ||||
| 8 | Corey Hall | S | ||||
| 21 | Martez Hester | S | ||||
| 28 | Armani McNulty | S | ||||
| 43 | Dedrick Cromartie | S | ||||
| 22 | Morgan Hagee | PK | ||||
| 12 | Kyle Schmidt | P | ||||
| Team | - | |||||
| Josh Miller | DEF | |||||
| Steve Drida | DEF | |||||
| Reggie McGee | DEF | |||||
| Brian Whitaker | DEF | |||||
| Lamar Anderson | DEF |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →