
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Presbyterian College FCS | W 49–3 | +8.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 18Oklahoma State | W 30–27 | +14.3 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 110UNLV | W 44–21 | +11.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 103Virginia | L 35–49 | -19.9 | — | ACCNX |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 13Western MichiganCONF | L 10–49 | -20.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 99Ball StateCONF | W 24–21 | -7.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 79Northern IllinoisCONF | W 34–28 | +5.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | @ 30ToledoCONF | L 17–31 | -5.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 106Kent StateCONF | L 24–27 | -14.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 93Miami (OH)CONF | L 17–37 | -23.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 73OhioCONF | W 27–20 | +2.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 91Eastern MichiganCONF | L 21–26 | -7.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 36TulsaNEUTRAL | L 10–55 | -25.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.4% | 64th | 43.2% | 64th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.8% | 52nd | 42.7% | 51st |
| Passing success rate | 41.6% | 62nd | 43.7% | 84th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.8% | 115th | 13.6% | 39th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 54th | 9.7% | 45th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.73 | 113th | 2.88 | 42nd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 91st | 38.9% | 56th |
| Stuff rate | 19.5% | 83rd | 19.2% | 58th |
| Sack rate | 6.1% | 73rd | 3.5% | 116th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.2% | 42nd | 44.2% | 94th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.7% | 58th | 76.9% | 122nd |
| Havoc rate | 15.0% | 109th | 12.8% | 54th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.9 | 28th | 30.3 | 64th |
| Yards / game | 392.0 | 78th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.56 | 68th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 276.1 | 26th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.62 | 51st | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.5% | 53rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 115.9 | 120th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.70 | 105th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.5% | 55th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 112th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.5 | 46th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jake Johnson | QB | ||||
| 10 | Cooper Rush | QB | ||||
| 5 | Jonathan Ward | RB | ||||
| 11 | Jahray Hayes | RB | ||||
| 16 | Matt Krause | RB | ||||
| 19 | Jay Roberson | RB | ||||
| 35 | Trevor Thomas | RB | ||||
| 40 | Joe Bacci | RB | ||||
| 3 | Mark Chapman | WR | ||||
| 4 | Jamil Sabbagh | WR | ||||
| 8 | Corey Willis | WR | ||||
| 12 | Eric Cooper | WR | ||||
| 17 | Austin Stewart | WR | ||||
| 18 | Brandon Childress | WR | ||||
| 25 | Devon Spalding | WR | ||||
| 80 | Anthony Rice | WR | ||||
| 88 | Jesse Kroll | WR | ||||
| 83 | Tyler Conklin | TE | ||||
| 86 | Zach Crouch | TE | ||||
| 64 | Alex Neering | OL | ||||
| 44 | Mitch Stanitzek | DL | ||||
| 46 | Nate Brisson-Fast | DL | ||||
| 52 | Jabari Dean | DL | ||||
| 55 | Michael Steinhauer | DL | ||||
| 85 | Jonathan Carson | DL | ||||
| 90 | Chris Kantzavelos | DL | ||||
| 91 | Deshawn Baker-Williams | DL | ||||
| 97 | Shahid Bellamy | DL | ||||
| 98 | Kelby Latta | DL | ||||
| 45 | Joe Ostman | DE | ||||
| 57 | Mike Danna | DE | ||||
| 7 | Michael Oliver | LB | ||||
| 8 | Malik Fountain | LB | ||||
| 11 | Trevor Apsey | LB | ||||
| 19 | Bobby Banks | LB | ||||
| 30 | Alex Briones | LB | ||||
| 32 | Jeff Perry | LB | ||||
| 33 | Tyree Waller | LB | ||||
| 42 | Nathan Ricketts | LB | ||||
| 43 | Carlos Clark | LB | ||||
| 3 | Emmett Thomas | DB | ||||
| 4 | Winslow Chapman | DB | ||||
| 10 | Zach Oakley | DB | ||||
| 14 | Joshua Cox | DB | ||||
| 22 | Gary Jones | DB | ||||
| 34 | Colton Odykirk | DB | ||||
| 37 | Otis Kearney | DB | ||||
| 41 | Elijah Olsen | DB | ||||
| 7 | Amari Coleman | CB | ||||
| 27 | Sean Murphy-Bunting | CB | ||||
| 18 | Tony Annese | S | ||||
| 96 | Brian Eavey | PK | ||||
| 9 | Cooper Mojsiejenko | P | ||||
| 99 | Jack Sheldon | P | ||||
| 49 | Luke Idoni | LS | ||||
| 57 | Joe Lang | LS | ||||
| 33 | Kumehnnu Gwilly | DEF | ||||
| Team | - | |||||
| - Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →