ACC · 2016 · Final

Virginia Cavaliers 2016

2-101-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#103
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-8.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.4
98th in FBS
Defense
-4.0
94th in FBS
Schedule
+0.3
53rd toughest
Preseason
-1.9
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-8.4 now, -1.9 preseason · down 19 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#103

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsRichmond FCSL 20–37-40.0—ACCNX
2Sep 10@69OregonL 26–44-16.5—ESPN
3Sep 17@121ConnecticutL 10–13-13.3—ESPN3
4Sep 24vs89Central MichiganW 49–35+6.5—ACCNX
5Oct 1@74DukeCONFW 34–20+14.3—ACCNX
6—Bye
7Oct 15vs38PittsburghCONFL 31–45-11.1—ACCNX
8Oct 22vs33North CarolinaCONFL 14–35-17.3—ACCNX
9Oct 29vs12LouisvilleCONFL 25–32+2.3—ABC
10Nov 5@71Wake ForestCONFL 20–27-6.1—ACCNX
11Nov 12vs14MiamiCONFL 14–34-10.9—ACCNX
12Nov 19@49Georgia TechCONFL 17–31-8.1—ACCNX
13Nov 26@19Virginia TechCONFL 10–52-19.4—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.1%101st44.0%75th
Rushing success rate43.5%84th40.7%35th
Passing success rate37.9%100th47.7%121st
Explosive run rate13.9%83rd15.4%71st
Explosive pass rate6.3%127th14.4%123rd
Line yards / carry2.8993rd2.9854th
Opportunity rate41.6%41st39.7%70th
Stuff rate20.6%103rd18.7%61st
Sack rate6.5%81st5.4%75th
3rd-down conversion37.9%96th44.6%97th
Red-zone TD rate71.4%19th73.0%115th
Havoc rate13.9%99th13.9%30th
Box score · season totals
Points / game22.5118th33.883rd
Yards / game352.9112th——
Yards / play4.67120th——
Pass yards / game239.361st——
Yards / pass att.5.90123rd——
Completion %54.6%104th——
Rush yards / game113.6121st——
Yards / carry3.55112th——
3rd-down conv. %34.2%108th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.00113th——
Penalty yards / game57.984th——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →