ACC · 2016 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2016

8-55-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#33
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+6.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.4
28th in FBS
Defense
+1.9
47th in FBS
Schedule
-0.2
60th toughest
Preseason
+5.7
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+6.2 now, +5.7 preseason · down 19 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#34

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs55GeorgiaNEUTRALL 24–33-7.5—ESPN
2Sep 10@102IllinoisW 48–23+18.5—BTN
3Sep 17vsJames Madison FCSW 56–28+2.4—ACCNX
4Sep 24vs38PittsburghCONFW 37–36+3.9—ESPNU
5Oct 1@10Florida StateCONFW 37–35+16.4—ESPN
6Oct 8vs19Virginia TechCONFL 3–34-20.5—ABC
7Oct 15@14MiamiCONFW 20–13+21.0—ABC
8Oct 22@103VirginiaCONFW 35–14+15.1—ACCNX
9—Bye
10Nov 5vs49Georgia TechCONFW 48–20+26.3—ACCNX
11Nov 10@74DukeCONFL 27–28-0.7—ESPN
12Nov 19vsThe Citadel FCSW 41–7+4.5—ACCNX
13Nov 25vs39NC StateCONFL 21–28-4.2—ESPN
BowlsDec 30vs17StanfordNEUTRALL 23–25+7.4—CBS

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.0%21st46.5%104th
Rushing success rate46.3%48th48.8%108th
Passing success rate47.5%15th42.8%74th
Explosive run rate19.6%11th12.7%30th
Explosive pass rate13.1%32nd11.5%91st
Line yards / carry2.9778th3.1999th
Opportunity rate42.3%30th41.2%89th
Stuff rate21.6%109th13.6%120th
Sack rate4.2%25th6.6%46th
3rd-down conversion48.4%15th42.2%73rd
Red-zone TD rate73.5%14th62.5%66th
Havoc rate12.6%73rd11.0%103rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game32.351st34.992nd
Yards / game439.045th——
Yards / play6.4917th——
Pass yards / game293.122nd——
Yards / pass att.8.3221st——
Completion %68.3%5th——
Rush yards / game145.8100th——
Yards / carry4.7353rd——
3rd-down conv. %45.5%21st——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.5431st——
Penalty yards / game61.3100th——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →