The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 32Kansas State | W 26–13 | +16.8 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 8USCCONF | W 27–10 | +27.4 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 58UCLACONF | W 22–13 | +12.4 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 5WashingtonCONF | L 6–44 | -9.4 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 26Washington StateCONF | L 16–42 | -20.1 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 43Notre Dame | W 17–10 | +14.0 | — | NBC |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 20ColoradoCONF | L 5–10 | +0.7 | — | PACN |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 98ArizonaCONF | W 34–10 | +19.4 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 78Oregon StateCONF | W 26–15 | +6.0 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 69OregonCONF | W 52–27 | +25.8 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 62CaliforniaCONF | W 45–31 | +16.6 | — | PACN |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 120Rice | W 41–17 | +8.8 | — | PACN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 33North CarolinaNEUTRAL | W 25–23 | +8.2 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.0% | 68th | 42.5% | 51st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.6% | 70th | 47.0% | 92nd |
| Passing success rate | 40.5% | 72nd | 38.9% | 42nd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.4% | 60th | 16.1% | 83rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.2% | 107th | 10.0% | 54th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.25 | 34th | 3.17 | 92nd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.8% | 61st | 40.3% | 78th |
| Stuff rate | 13.8% | 8th | 16.1% | 103rd |
| Sack rate | 9.8% | 123rd | 7.4% | 23rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.5% | 41st | 39.8% | 52nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.1% | 124th | 56.4% | 32nd |
| Havoc rate | 12.7% | 79th | 13.6% | 36th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.9 | 53rd | 20.5 | 14th |
| Yards / game | 367.4 | 103rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.55 | 69th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 158.2 | 115th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.76 | 91st | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.9% | 58th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 209.2 | 35th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.20 | 29th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 50th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.62 | 100th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.0 | 66th | — | — |
52 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Keller Chryst | QB | ||||
| 17 | Ryan Burns | QB | ||||
| 5 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | ||||
| 20 | Bryce Love | RB | ||||
| 22 | Cameron Scarlett | RB | ||||
| 42 | Pat McFadden | RB | ||||
| 35 | Daniel Marx | FB | ||||
| 2 | Trenton Irwin | WR | ||||
| 3 | Michael Rector | WR | ||||
| 4 | Jay Tyler | WR | ||||
| 6 | Francis Owusu | WR | ||||
| 8 | Donald Stewart | WR | ||||
| 13 | Taijuan Thomas | WR | ||||
| 19 | J.J. Arcega-Whiteside | WR | ||||
| 21 | Isaiah Brandt-Sims | WR | ||||
| 9 | Dalton Schultz | TE | ||||
| 88 | Greg Taboada | TE | ||||
| 52 | Casey Toohill | DE | ||||
| 75 | Jordan Watkins | DE | ||||
| 80 | Eric Cotton | DE | ||||
| 97 | Dylan Jackson | DE | ||||
| 99 | Luke Kaumatule | DE | ||||
| 66 | Harrison Phillips | DT | ||||
| 90 | Solomon Thomas | DT | ||||
| 3 | Noor Davis | LB | ||||
| 15 | Jordan Perez | LB | ||||
| 20 | Bobby Okereke | LB | ||||
| 27 | Sean Barton | LB | ||||
| 30 | Craig Jones | LB | ||||
| 31 | Mustafa Branch | LB | ||||
| 32 | Joey Alfieri | LB | ||||
| 33 | Mike Tyler | LB | ||||
| 34 | Peter Kalambayi | LB | ||||
| 43 | Ryan Beecher | LB | ||||
| 44 | Kevin Palma | LB | ||||
| 49 | Lewis Burik | LB | ||||
| 11 | Terrence Alexander | CB | ||||
| 13 | Alijah Holder | CB | ||||
| 23 | Alameen Murphy | CB | ||||
| 24 | Quenton Meeks | CB | ||||
| 2 | Brandon Simmons | S | ||||
| 4 | Frank Buncom | S | ||||
| 8 | Justin Reid | S | ||||
| 9 | Ben Edwards | S | ||||
| 10 | Zach Hoffpauir | S | ||||
| 29 | Dallas Lloyd | S | ||||
| 34 | Conrad Ukropina | PK | ||||
| 14 | Jake Bailey | P | ||||
| 47 | Alex Robinson | P | ||||
| 21 | Curtis Robinson | DEF | ||||
| 82 | Chris Harrell | |||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →