
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 17Stanford | L 13–26 | -1.1 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 124Florida Atlantic | W 63–7 | +19.5 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs Missouri State FCS | W 35–0 | +4.9 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 34West VirginiaCONF | L 16–17 | +7.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 8 | vs 61Texas TechCONF | W 44–38 | +3.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 6OklahomaCONF | L 17–38 | -4.9 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 59TexasCONF | W 24–21 | +1.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 88Iowa StateCONF | W 31–26 | +3.1 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 18Oklahoma StateCONF | L 37–43 | +0.4 | — | ABC |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 48BaylorCONF | W 42–21 | +27.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 118KansasCONF | W 34–19 | +0.2 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Dec 3 | @ 54TCUCONF | W 30–6 | +28.7 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 24Texas A&MNEUTRAL | W 33–28 | +12.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.3% | 14th | 43.6% | 69th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.9% | 7th | 40.2% | 29th |
| Passing success rate | 41.0% | 67th | 46.2% | 112th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.8% | 9th | 15.2% | 66th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 118th | 9.4% | 34th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 44th | 2.88 | 41st |
| Opportunity rate | 44.5% | 10th | 39.3% | 61st |
| Stuff rate | 19.0% | 73rd | 22.0% | 25th |
| Sack rate | 7.6% | 102nd | 5.1% | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.0% | 21st | 40.4% | 58th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.2% | 39th | 62.5% | 66th |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 68th | 11.2% | 100th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.2 | 52nd | 35.7 | 97th |
| Yards / game | 388.8 | 82nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.58 | 66th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 157.0 | 116th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.61 | 99th | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.3% | 82nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 231.8 | 22nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.27 | 24th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.1% | 22nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 52nd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.6 | 68th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alex Delton | QB | ||||
| 8 | Joe Hubener | QB | ||||
| 16 | Jesse Ertz | QB | ||||
| 3 | Dalvin Warmack | RB | ||||
| 24 | Charles Jones | RB | ||||
| 26 | Cameron Andrew Morgan | RB | ||||
| 32 | Justin Silmon | RB | ||||
| 34 | Alex Barnes | RB | ||||
| 38 | Winston Dimel | FB | ||||
| 2 | Isaiah Harris | WR | ||||
| 4 | Dominique Heath | WR | ||||
| 6 | Deante Burton | WR | ||||
| 6 | Willis Chambers | WR | ||||
| 7 | Isaiah Zuber | WR | ||||
| 9 | Byron Pringle | WR | ||||
| 12 | Corey Sutton | WR | ||||
| 15 | Zach Reuter | WR | ||||
| 88 | Dayton Valentine | TE | ||||
| 77 | Jordan Turner | OL | ||||
| 13 | Chase Johnston | DE | ||||
| 34 | Tanner Wood | DE | ||||
| 44 | Kyle Ball | DE | ||||
| 75 | Jordan Willis | DE | ||||
| 94 | CJ Reese | DE | ||||
| 60 | Will Geary | DT | ||||
| 92 | Matt Seiwert | DT | ||||
| 98 | Craig Steven Settles Jr. | DT | ||||
| 99 | Trey Dishon | DT | ||||
| 0 | Elijah Sullivan | LB | ||||
| 9 | Elijah Lee | LB | ||||
| 35 | Will Davis | LB | ||||
| 41 | Sam Sizelove | LB | ||||
| 46 | Jayd Kirby | LB | ||||
| 52 | Charmeachealle Moore | LB | ||||
| 58 | Trent Tanking | LB | ||||
| 7 | Cedric Dozier | DB | ||||
| 10 | Donnie Starks | DB | ||||
| 18 | Brogan Cole Barry | DB | ||||
| 19 | Colby Moore | DB | ||||
| 20 | Ryan D. Mack | DB | ||||
| 20 | Denzel Goolsby | DB | ||||
| 21 | Kendall Adams | DB | ||||
| 22 | Dante Barnett | DB | ||||
| 23 | Cre Moore | DB | ||||
| 29 | Sean Newlan | DB | ||||
| 2 | D.J. Reed | CB | ||||
| 8 | Duke Shelley | CB | ||||
| 16 | Matt McCrane | PK | ||||
| 36 | Zach Drake | PK | ||||
| 40 | Ian Patterson | PK | ||||
| 9 | Mitch Lochbihler | P | ||||
| 14 | Nick Walsh | P | ||||
| 51 | Reggie Walker | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →