Big 12 · 2016 · Final

TCU Horned Frogs 2016

6-74-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#54
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+2.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.3
47th in FBS
Defense
+0.9
52nd in FBS
Schedule
0.0
58th toughest
Preseason
+5.2
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.2 now, +5.2 preseason · down 34 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#54

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsSouth Dakota State FCSW 59–41-5.0—
2Sep 10vs53ArkansasL 38–41-3.2—ESPN
3Sep 17vs88Iowa StateCONFW 41–20+14.1—FS1
4Sep 23@94SMUW 33–3+22.0—ESPN
5Oct 1vs6OklahomaCONFL 46–52+5.1—FOX
6Oct 8@118KansasCONFW 24–23-8.9—ESPNU
7—Bye
8Oct 22@34West VirginiaCONFL 10–34-15.3—ABC
9Oct 29vs61Texas TechCONFL 24–27-5.2—ESPN2
10Nov 5@48BaylorCONFW 62–22+35.6—FOX
11—Bye
12Nov 19vs18Oklahoma StateCONFL 6–31-18.0—FS1
13Nov 25@59TexasCONFW 31–9+25.2—FS1
14Dec 3vs32Kansas StateCONFL 6–30-20.2—FS1
BowlsDec 30vs55GeorgiaNEUTRALL 23–31-6.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.8%47th40.1%32nd
Rushing success rate48.1%28th43.1%57th
Passing success rate42.1%56th36.8%23rd
Explosive run rate19.0%18th14.3%47th
Explosive pass rate8.3%103rd10.2%61st
Line yards / carry3.3022nd3.21100th
Opportunity rate45.7%7th36.9%39th
Stuff rate17.3%50th15.5%110th
Sack rate5.1%45th9.0%9th
3rd-down conversion42.9%51st44.9%99th
Red-zone TD rate55.6%108th54.9%28th
Havoc rate10.9%35th11.8%83rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.059th28.051st
Yards / game463.129th——
Yards / play5.8943rd——
Pass yards / game268.129th——
Yards / pass att.6.9380th——
Completion %58.6%64th——
Rush yards / game195.046th——
Yards / carry5.2030th——
3rd-down conv. %40.4%64th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.3889th——
Penalty yards / game61.3100th——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →