
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 81Missouri | W 26–11 | +9.9 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Youngstown State FCS | W 38–21 | -6.0 | — | |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 35BYUNEUTRAL | W 35–32 | +8.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 32Kansas StateCONF | W 17–16 | +4.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 61Texas TechCONF | W 48–17 | +29.3 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 54TCUCONF | W 34–10 | +23.7 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 29 | @ 18Oklahoma StateCONF | L 20–37 | -5.7 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 5 | vs 118KansasCONF | W 48–21 | +10.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 59TexasCONF | W 24–20 | +7.2 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 6OklahomaCONF | L 28–56 | -14.3 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 88Iowa StateCONF | W 49–19 | +24.2 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Dec 3 | vs 48BaylorCONF | W 24–21 | +4.1 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 14MiamiNEUTRAL | L 14–31 | -5.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.1% | 55th | 41.4% | 41st |
| Rushing success rate | 43.1% | 89th | 42.3% | 49th |
| Passing success rate | 45.4% | 27th | 40.5% | 53rd |
| Explosive run rate | 19.0% | 18th | 11.9% | 16th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.6% | 37th | 11.2% | 86th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.28 | 27th | 3.17 | 93rd |
| Opportunity rate | 43.1% | 21st | 40.7% | 84th |
| Stuff rate | 17.1% | 47th | 17.5% | 75th |
| Sack rate | 5.8% | 67th | 4.3% | 106th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.0% | 34th | 39.2% | 48th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.6% | 87th | 48.8% | 10th |
| Havoc rate | 10.0% | 23rd | 9.4% | 118th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.1 | 57th | 24.5 | 30th |
| Yards / game | 485.5 | 17th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.26 | 26th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 257.1 | 42nd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.17 | 26th | — | — |
| Completion % | 60.9% | 36th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 228.4 | 24th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.17 | 31st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.5% | 45th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 52nd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.3 | 106th | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Skyler Howard | QB | ||||
| 11 | Chris Chugunov | QB | ||||
| 4 | Kennedy McKoy | RB | ||||
| 7 | Rushel Shell | RB | ||||
| 25 | Justin Crawford | RB | ||||
| 32 | Martell Pettaway | RB | ||||
| 37 | Tevin McCaster | RB | ||||
| 65 | Tyler Orlosky | RB | ||||
| 1 | Shelton Gibson | WR | ||||
| 2 | Ka'Raun White | WR | ||||
| 5 | Jovon Durante | WR | ||||
| 6 | Daikiel Shorts | WR | ||||
| 8 | Marcus Simms | WR | ||||
| 12 | Gary Jennings | WR | ||||
| 16 | William Crest Jr. | WR | ||||
| 81 | Trevon Wesco | WR | ||||
| 82 | Devonte Mathis | WR | ||||
| Daikiel Shorts | WR | |||||
| 28 | Elijah Wellman | TE | ||||
| 67 | Alec Shriner | OL | ||||
| 49 | Darrien Howard | DL | ||||
| 88 | Adam Shuler | DL | ||||
| 92 | Jon Lewis | DL | ||||
| 95 | Christian Brown | DL | ||||
| 99 | Xavier Pegues | DL | ||||
| 97 | Noble Nwachukwu | DE | ||||
| 3 | Al-Rasheed Benton | LB | ||||
| 5 | Xavier Preston | LB | ||||
| 11 | David Long Jr. | LB | ||||
| 27 | Sean Walters | LB | ||||
| 30 | Justin Arndt | LB | ||||
| 38 | Eric Beisel | LB | ||||
| 44 | Hodari Christian II | LB | ||||
| 1 | Antonio Crawford | CB | ||||
| 13 | Rasul Douglas | CB | ||||
| 14 | Nana Kyeremeh | CB | ||||
| 18 | Maurice Fleming | CB | ||||
| 2 | Jeremy Tyler | S | ||||
| 3 | Ronnell Perkins | S | ||||
| 12 | Khairi Sharif | S | ||||
| 17 | Billy Nicoe Hurst | S | ||||
| 18 | Marvin Gross Jr. | S | ||||
| 22 | Jarrod Harper | S | ||||
| 38 | Shane Commodore | S | ||||
| 48 | Mike Molina | PK | ||||
| 86 | Josh Lambert | PK | ||||
| 15 | Billy Kinney | P | ||||
| 8 | Kyzir White | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →