The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Northern Iowa FCS | L 20–25 | -28.0 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 41Iowa | L 3–42 | -22.1 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 54TCUCONF | L 20–41 | -16.3 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 111San Jose State | W 44–10 | +14.9 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 48BaylorCONF | L 42–45 | -1.9 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 18Oklahoma StateCONF | L 31–38 | +4.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 59TexasCONF | L 6–27 | -17.8 | — | LHN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 32Kansas StateCONF | L 26–31 | -1.2 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 6OklahomaCONF | L 24–34 | +1.1 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 118KansasCONF | W 31–24 | -2.9 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 61Texas TechCONF | W 66–10 | +33.0 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 34West VirginiaCONF | L 19–49 | -22.4 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.5% | 77th | 48.4% | 118th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.4% | 86th | 52.5% | 122nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.8% | 59th | 43.3% | 81st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 98th | 17.8% | 111th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 56th | 9.3% | 31st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 56th | 3.27 | 109th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.9% | 88th | 42.2% | 105th |
| Stuff rate | 16.2% | 33rd | 16.3% | 100th |
| Sack rate | 7.9% | 104th | 5.0% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.3% | 70th | 48.7% | 121st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 101st | 67.4% | 92nd |
| Havoc rate | 13.8% | 97th | 12.5% | 61st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.7 | 83rd | 42.7 | 117th |
| Yards / game | 421.6 | 60th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.70 | 61st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 258.8 | 40th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.80 | 40th | — | — |
| Completion % | 59.0% | 56th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 162.8 | 82nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.26 | 81st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.7% | 44th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.67 | 101st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.8 | 78th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jacob Park | QB | ||||
| 2 | Mike Warren | RB | ||||
| 8 | Marcus Weymiller | RB | ||||
| 17 | Kyle Kempt | RB | ||||
| 20 | Kene Nwangwu | RB | ||||
| 22 | Mitchell Harger | RB | ||||
| 32 | David Montgomery | RB | ||||
| 5 | Allen Lazard | WR | ||||
| 8 | Deshaunte Jones | WR | ||||
| 13 | Dondre Daley | WR | ||||
| 16 | Marchie Murdock | WR | ||||
| 18 | Hakeem Butler | WR | ||||
| 19 | Trever Ryen | WR | ||||
| 21 | Orion Salters | WR | ||||
| 80 | Carson Epps | WR | ||||
| 12 | Clifford Fernandez | TE | ||||
| 87 | Sam Harms | TE | ||||
| 88 | Justin Chandler | TE | ||||
| 91 | Pierre Aka | DL | ||||
| 92 | Jamahl Johnson | DL | ||||
| 97 | Demond Tucker | DL | ||||
| 99 | Vernell Trent | DL | ||||
| 3 | JaQuan Bailey | DE | ||||
| 8 | Jhaustin Thomas | DE | ||||
| 11 | Gabe Luna | DE | ||||
| 58 | Mitchell Meyers | DE | ||||
| 58 | J.D. Waggoner | DE | ||||
| 58 | Spencer Benton | DE | ||||
| 7 | Joel Lanning | LB | ||||
| 7 | Willie Harvey Jr. | LB | ||||
| 9 | Reggan Northrup | LB | ||||
| 25 | Brian Mills | LB | ||||
| 29 | Kane Seeley | LB | ||||
| 31 | Josh Jahlas | LB | ||||
| 35 | Sammy Douglas | LB | ||||
| 44 | Bobby McMillen III | LB | ||||
| 49 | Jack Spreen | LB | ||||
| 2 | Mike Johnson | DB | ||||
| 4 | Evrett Edwards | DB | ||||
| 6 | De'Monte Ruth | DB | ||||
| 12 | Jarnor Jones | DB | ||||
| 14 | Darius Lee-Campbell | DB | ||||
| 17 | Jamal Perry | DB | ||||
| 23 | A.J. Allen | DB | ||||
| 23 | Thadd Daniels | DB | ||||
| 24 | Jamaal Richardson | DB | ||||
| 33 | Braxton Lewis | DB | ||||
| 34 | Nigel Tribune | DB | ||||
| 10 | Brian Peavy | CB | ||||
| 2 | Darius Curry | S | ||||
| 5 | Kamari Cotton-Moya | S | ||||
| 16 | Michael Downing Jr. | S | ||||
| 1 | Cole Netten | PK | ||||
| 38 | Peyton Paddock | PK | ||||
| 41 | Chris Francis | PK | ||||
| 13 | Colin Downing | P | ||||
| 1 | D'Andre Payne | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →