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Big 12 · 2026

Iowa State Cyclones

Head coach Jimmy Rogers · Jack Trice Stadium
4-42-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#51
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+4.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.2
47th in FBS
Defense
+1.7
56th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.6
26th toughest
Projected
5.9-6.1
bowl-eligible 63%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+4.9 now, +5.7 preseason · down 11 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#51

Final record odds

5.9-6.1 expected · most likely 6-6 (37%)
8%4-829%5-737%6-621%7-58-4

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jaylen Raynor
QB · SR · 82nd in FBS
1416yds
10 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Aiden Flora
RB · SO · 7th in FBS
937yds
131 car · 8 TD
Receiving
Jamal Polite Jr.
WR · FR · 271st in FBS
286yds
14 rec · 2 TD
Tackles
Sullivan Schlimgen
LB · 9th in FBS
79tkl
5 TFL
Sacks
Isaac Terrell
DE · 147th in FBS
3sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Beau Goodwin
LB · JR · 49th in FBS
2INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsSoutheast Missouri State FCSW 38–10 ›-3.1—ESPN+
2Sep 12@16IowaL 13–16 ›+16.7—NBC
3Sep 19vs127Bowling GreenW 55–7 ›+10.4—ESPNU
4Sep 26vs8UtahCONFL 17–31 ›+5.0—FOX
5Oct 3vs69West VirginiaCONFW 45–42 ›-0.3—TNT
6Oct 9@21BYUCONFL 10–24 ›+4.1—ESPN
7—Bye
8Oct 24@22ArizonaCONFL 3–39 ›-10.5—ESPN2
9Oct 31vs35Oklahoma StateCONFW 51–49 ›+7.4—Fox
10Nov 7@34BaylorCONFBaylor −9.0 · o/u 51.6—27%FS1
11Nov 14vs55CincinnatiCONFIowa State −4.0 · o/u 59.2—61%
12Nov 20@57UCFCONFUCF −2.5 · o/u 52.7—43%FS1
13Nov 28vs44Kansas StateCONFIowa State −1.5 · o/u 57.1—54%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.13967th+0.175112th
Success rate39.1%112th44.3%110th
Explosiveness1.36316th1.27892nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.3%111th44.6%111th
Rushing success rate38.4%117th44.6%100th
Passing success rate40.3%84th44.7%115th
Explosive run rate16.4%27th11.3%42nd
Explosive pass rate13.0%30th10.6%84th
Line yards / carry3.0291st3.1488th
Opportunity rate37.2%94th39.0%88th
Stuff rate20.4%110th16.9%90th
Sack rate5.2%70th3.5%120th
3rd-down conversion34.4%118th40.4%79th
Red-zone TD rate68.4%34th65.2%97th
Havoc rate16.9%131st12.5%99th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.065th27.397th
Yards / game370.078th390.5102nd
Yards / play5.7554th6.02120th
Pass yards / game193.4106th231.397th
Yards / pass att.7.5065th7.94119th
Completion %58.9%107th66.5%126th
Rush yards / game176.642nd159.393rd
Yards / carry4.8040th4.62103rd
3rd-down conv. %33.0%120th37.9%69th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.8825th1.2558th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8864th1.25114th
Penalty yards / game48.440th52.489th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.5
39th of 138
YAC per catch
5.2
77th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
18%
23rd of 138
Shotgun
77%
128th of 138
No-huddle
33%
93rd of 138
QB pressured
11%
101st of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
119th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
6.6
7th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws199 throws charted

59% comp9.5 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds13–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), 66 yds, 7.3 per throw978% · 66yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (7%), 8 caught (62%), 41 yds, 3.2 per throw1362% · 41yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 7 caught (50%), 56 yds, 4.0 per throw1450% · 56yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 23 yds, 2.9 per throw825% · 23yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 63 yds, 9.0 per throw743% · 63yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 131 yds, 21.8 per throw667% · 131yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 43 yds, 10.8 per throw425% · 43yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 45 yds, 6.4 per throw771% · 45yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 8 caught (53%), 67 yds, 4.5 per throw1553% · 67yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 111 yds, 12.3 per throw967% · 111yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 54 yds, 27.0 per throw2100% · 54yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 48 yds, 9.6 per throw540% · 48yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 72 yds, 18.0 per throw450% · 72yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (7%), 11 caught (85%), 63 yds, 4.8 per throw1385% · 63yRight, 0–4 air yards: 37 throws (19%), 27 caught (73%), 171 yds, 4.6 per throw3773% · 171yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 11 caught (65%), 110 yds, 6.5 per throw1765% · 110yRight, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 11 yds, 2.8 per throw425% · 11yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 150 yds, 18.8 per throw875% · 150yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 4 caught (36%), 121 yds, 11.0 per throw1136% · 121yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 75 yds, 15.0 per throw540% · 75y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on225 throws charted

66% comp8.4 avg. depth6.6 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds14–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (7%), 14 caught (93%), 54 yds, 3.6 per throw1593% · 54yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (10%), 16 caught (70%), 162 yds, 7.0 per throw2370% · 162yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 12 caught (71%), 125 yds, 7.4 per throw1771% · 125yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 68 yds, 13.6 per throw580% · 68yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 63 yds, 12.6 per throw520% · 63yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 2 caught (33%), 75 yds, 12.5 per throw633% · 75yMiddle, Behind air yards: 8 throws (4%), 8 caught (100%), 45 yds, 5.6 per throw8100% · 45yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 13 caught (72%), 89 yds, 4.9 per throw1872% · 89yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 74 yds, 10.6 per throw786% · 74yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 100 yds, 11.1 per throw978% · 100yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 26 yds, 3.7 per throw714% · 26yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 99 yds, 33.0 per throw367% · 99yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 128 yds, 16.0 per throw838% · 128yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (10%), 21 caught (91%), 151 yds, 6.6 per throw2391% · 151yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 16 caught (73%), 101 yds, 4.6 per throw2273% · 101yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (8%), 12 caught (71%), 92 yds, 5.4 per throw1771% · 92yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 5 caught (45%), 67 yds, 6.1 per throw1145% · 67yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 77 yds, 11.0 per throw743% · 77yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 47 yds, 6.7 per throw714% · 47yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 151 yds, 37.8 per throw475% · 151y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction275 carries

Left
24%
7.3 YPC · 54% succ.
Middle
55%
3.6 YPC · 33% succ.
Right
21%
7.9 YPC · 40% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced252 carries

Left
27%
6.5 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
52%
4.9 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
21%
4.5 YPC · 33% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jimmy Rogers

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Jaylen RaynorQBSR6' 1"208Winston-Salem, NC
5Connor MoberlyQBSO6' 4"214Altoona, IA
6Zane FloresQBSO6' 3"215Gretna, NE
16Wyatt BohmQBJR6' 4"220Mahomet, IL
18Hudson KurlandQBFR6' 4"193Portland, OR
0Cameron PettawayRBSO5' 10"190Farmington Hills, MI
3Arnold Barnes IIIRBSR5' 10"220New Orleans, LA
7Salahadin AllahRBJR6' 0"225La Marque, TX
20Caleb FrancoisRBFR6' 2"210Minnetonka, MN
21Aiden FloraRBSO6' 0"195Adel, IA
22Ryver PeppersRBFR5' 11"190Independence, MO
25Easton MillerRBJR6' 1"230Ankeny, IA
44Wyatt ArcherRBJR5' 10"195Omaha, NE
2Cody JacksonWRSR6' 0"190Richmond, TX
4Carter PabstWRSO6' 1"200Wichita, KS
8Evan BoydWRJR6' 3"212East Lansing, MI
9Omari HayesWRSR5' 9"175Sarasota, FL
11Dominic OverbyWRSO6' 5"200West Jordan, UT
12Braden GoellnerWRSR6' 5"200St. Charles, MO
13Jamal Polite Jr.WRFR5' 11"185Beaufort, SC
17Jordyn BaileyWRJR5' 10"180Denton, TX
23Carson RobbinsWRSO6' 0"187Altoona, IA
33Zach EskildsenWRFR6' 2"185Frisco, TX
34Jeffrey RobertsWRFR6' 0"193Ames, IA
82Trevor FortenberryWRJR6' 3"205Brookhaven, MS
86Ray CoffeyWRSR5' 10"195Chicago, IL
89Ty ClaiborneWRSR6' 2"215Lenexa, KS
10Cash HaydenTESO6' 6"245Cincinnati, OH
14Drake DeBaunTEFR6' 6"255Overland Park, KS
19Tyler FortenberryTESR6' 5"245Brookhaven, MS
37Vince BenettiTEJR6' 4"245Adel, IA
39AJ PetersenTEJR6' 1"225Long Grove, IA
40Carson EdneyTEFR6' 6"235Logan, IA
41Rylan BarnesTEJR6' 3"230Britt, IA
48Jack BjornTESR6' 7"260Parkville, MO
81Luke GalerTEFR6' 6"240Loomis, CA
84Drew ByrdTEFR6' 4"228Meridian, ID
85Keaton RoskopTESO6' 3"240Cedar Rapids, IA
88Christian GreenlawTEJR6' 5"245Newport News, VA
51Maasai KingOLSR6' 4"310Camden, NJ
52Kingston FotualiiOLFR6' 3"295Seattle, WA
54Cade MyerOLSR6' 2"295Frisco, TX
55Trevor BindelOLFR6' 4"310Liberty, MO
56Colin AmickOLSO6' 6"305Sammamish, WA
61Benji MakelelaOLFR6' 7"300Kinshasa, Congo
64Brady HarrOLFR6' 8"275Hampton, IA
65Garret RutledgeOLSO6' 7"310Council Bluffs, IA
69Dontrell HoltOLSO6' 5"305Joplin, MO
70Gavin ProudfootOLSR6' 7"305Dresbach, MN
71Gabriel GreenleeOLSR6' 7"300Ames, IA
72Austin BarrettOLJR6' 6"315St. Charles, IL
74Gavin BrosciousOLJR6' 5"303Surprise, AZ
77Caden MaasOLJR6' 5"315Watertown, WI
78DeAndre CarterOLSO6' 5"345Temecula, CA
47Tyler BurnsteinDEFR6' 4"243Phoenix, AZ
50Jack LimbaughDEFR6' 3"235Algona, IA
55Jace GilbertDESO6' 5"270Waukesha, WI
57Ajibola AfuyeDEFR6' 5"250Stillwater, MN
91Blake HawkinsDESO6' 4"235Gretna, NE
92Caden CrawfordDESR6' 4"251Lansing, KS
93Jack JanikowskiDEJR6' 2"255Fallbrook, CA
96Chet AndrewsDESR6' 3"245Huntley, IL
0Zaimir HawkDTJR6' 4"303Hillside, NJ
13Kaleb Bilal-JonesDTFR6' 1"294Phoenix, AZ
59Daniel HowardDTFR6' 3"270Chicago, IL
89Donovan FitzmauriceDTSO6' 3"284St. Louis, MO
90Jareb RamosDTSR6' 4"284Centennial, CO
94Jake JonesDTFR6' 2"292Gilbert, AZ
95Ka'Mori MooreDTFR6' 1"304Lee's Summit, MO
97Max BalounDTSR6' 6"293Redfield, SD
99Bryson LambDTSR6' 2"295Bellingham, WA
8Tristan ExlineLBSR6' 1"220China Spring, TX
11Willie Breland IIILBJR6' 2"218Wiggins, MS
16Malcolm JonesLBSR6' 1"219Camilla, GA
34Beau GoodwinLBJR6' 3"221Kingsley, IA
36Bradley EsserLBFR6' 2"205Sioux Falls, SD
40Landon KalsbeckLBFR6' 2"217Littleton, CO
3Seth JohnsonCBSO5' 10"180Frisco, TX
5Beni NgoyiCBJR6' 4"193Lincoln, NE
18David CoffeyCBSO6' 1"190Chicago, IL
26Tyrone Cotton IIICBFR6' 1"178Chicago, IL
32Angelo JacksonCBSO6' 1"196Davenport, IA
38Amiri BarnesCBFR5' 11"185Katy, TX
2Braden AwlsSSR6' 1"190Sylvania, OH
4Micah HarperSSR5' 10"189Chandler, AZ
14Damarius RussellSFR5' 11"186Waseca, MN
19Eddie LemosSSR5' 10"187Loveland, CO
21Duhron GoodmanSSR6' 0"193Pacoima, CA
22Xavier MartinezSJR6' 1"202Chicago, IL
24Brody MillerSFR6' 1"186Shakopee, MN
33Brady HummelSFR6' 0"185Jamestown, ND
35Tayten DuncanSFR5' 11"180Mustang, OK
42Matthew McClainSFR6' 1"205Frisco, TX
43Caden MatsonSSR6' 0"200Humboldt, IA
93Greg HubbardPKFR6' 2"215Louisville, CO
97Kyle KonrardyPKJR6' 1"204Dubuque, IA
98Adlai LounsburyPKFR6' 4"200Van Meter, IA
95Ethan GurneyPFR6' 3"201Adelaide, Australia
99Jonah DuPontPSO5' 11"200Cedar Rapids, IA
60Jacob LyftogtLSJR5' 11"235Waunakee, WI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2020 (+11.4, #11) · worst: 2014 (-9.5, #112)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#35
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-42-3#51+4.9+3.2+1.7
20258-45-4#35+5.6+1.3+4.3
202411-37-2#30+6.9+3.3+3.6
20237-66-3#34+5.1+0.2+5.0
20224-81-8#50+3.3-5.1+8.4
20217-65-4#17+8.2+2.6+5.6
20209-38-1#11+11.4+4.2+7.2
20197-65-4#30+6.2+3.9+2.3
20188-56-3#36+5.2-0.5+5.7
20178-55-4#29+7.2+0.5+6.7
20163-92-7#88-4.4-3.1-1.3
20153-92-7#89-4.5-2.6-1.9
20142-100-9#112-9.5-3.5-6.1

Iowa State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →