Big 12 · 2026

Arizona Wildcats

Head coach Brent Brennan · Casino Del Sol Stadium
6-23-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#22
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+14.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.5
24th in FBS
Defense
+7.5
24th in FBS
Schedule so far
-2.2
66th toughest
Projected
8.5-3.5
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+14.0 now, +10.2 preseason · up 6 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#22

Final record odds

8.5-3.5 expected · most likely 9-3 (39%)
6-611%7-534%8-439%9-314%10-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsNorthern Arizona FCSW 35–7 ›+5.0—ESPN+
2Sep 12@21BYUCONFL 17–28 ›+7.1—FOX
3Sep 19vs133Northern IllinoisW 42–17 ›-1.3—TNT
4Sep 26@96Washington StateW 34–24 ›+6.1—CBS
5Oct 3vs55CincinnatiCONFW 34–7 ›+26.0—Fox
6Oct 10@69West VirginiaCONFW 52–31 ›+25.2—TNT
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs51Iowa StateCONFW 39–3 ›+29.4—ESPN2
9Oct 31@12Texas TechCONFL 26–34 ›+13.5—ESPN
10Nov 6vs46TCUCONFArizona −11.4 · o/u 40.5—78%ESPN
11Nov 14vs8UtahCONFUtah −5.0 · o/u 55.8—37%
12Nov 21@44Kansas StateCONFArizona −3.2 · o/u 54.5—58%
13Nov 28vs53Arizona StateCONFArizona −13.0 · o/u 54.6—81%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.24920th-0.02418th
Success rate47.2%28th35.9%19th
Explosiveness1.29049th1.370126th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.2%29th35.8%19th
Rushing success rate43.8%67th38.2%31st
Passing success rate49.8%16th33.5%8th
Explosive run rate14.8%45th13.3%76th
Explosive pass rate13.3%26th8.3%42nd
Line yards / carry2.9699th2.9151st
Opportunity rate38.9%71st33.6%27th
Stuff rate20.7%113th19.5%46th
Sack rate7.4%109th6.5%46th
3rd-down conversion53.8%7th38.7%64th
Red-zone TD rate59.3%86th44.4%14th
Havoc rate14.0%83rd14.0%67th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.929th18.927th
Yards / game455.617th334.547th
Yards / play6.3821st4.7630th
Pass yards / game324.16th199.849th
Yards / pass att.9.1013th6.3931st
Completion %73.7%3rd56.4%21st
Rush yards / game131.5104th134.860th
Yards / carry4.0094th3.7648th
3rd-down conv. %51.9%8th37.2%59th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0035th0.88107th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.75116th3.1210th
Penalty yards / game55.868th50.6100th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.1
102nd of 138
YAC per catch
5.8
53rd of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
85th of 138
Shotgun
92%
96th of 138
No-huddle
37%
91st of 138
QB pressured
11%
92nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
72nd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.1
133rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws270 throws charted

73% comp8.1 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds19–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (7%), 15 caught (79%), 90 yds, 4.7 per throw1979% · 90yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (10%), 25 caught (89%), 151 yds, 5.4 per throw2889% · 151yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (10%), 24 caught (92%), 231 yds, 8.9 per throw2692% · 231yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 59 yds, 8.4 per throw743% · 59yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 87 yds, 10.9 per throw850% · 87yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 113 yds, 22.6 per throw560% · 113yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 7 yds, 3.5 per throw2100% · 7yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 17 caught (89%), 212 yds, 11.2 per throw1989% · 212yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 10 caught (100%), 118 yds, 11.8 per throw10100% · 118yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 5 caught (45%), 96 yds, 8.7 per throw1145% · 96yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 33 yds, 8.3 per throw450% · 33yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: noneMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 34 yds, 34.0 per throw1100% · 34yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 12 caught (92%), 78 yds, 6.0 per throw1392% · 78yRight, 0–4 air yards: 35 throws (13%), 28 caught (80%), 197 yds, 5.6 per throw3580% · 197yRight, 5–9 air yards: 34 throws (13%), 27 caught (79%), 231 yds, 6.8 per throw3479% · 231yRight, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 8 caught (50%), 113 yds, 7.1 per throw1650% · 113yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 115 yds, 19.2 per throw667% · 115yRight, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 5 caught (45%), 166 yds, 15.1 per throw1145% · 166yRight, 30+ air yards: 12 throws (4%), 6 caught (50%), 329 yds, 27.4 per throw1250% · 329y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on244 throws charted

57% comp10.3 avg. depth4.1 YAC/catch20% 20+ air yds8–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 8 caught (67%), 7 yds, 0.6 per throw1267% · 7yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 11 caught (55%), 72 yds, 3.6 per throw2055% · 72yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (11%), 15 caught (58%), 104 yds, 4.0 per throw2658% · 104yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 1 caught (13%), 12 yds, 1.5 per throw813% · 12yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 47 yds, 7.8 per throw633% · 47yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 6 caught (40%), 156 yds, 10.4 per throw1540% · 156yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (4%), 2 caught (22%), 36 yds, 4.0 per throw922% · 36yMiddle, Behind air yards: noneMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 7 caught (78%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw978% · 61yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 65 yds, 5.9 per throw1173% · 65yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 9 caught (82%), 142 yds, 12.9 per throw1182% · 142yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw450% · 34yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 37 yds, 18.5 per throw250% · 37yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 32 yds, 10.7 per throw333% · 32yRight, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 13 caught (100%), 82 yds, 6.3 per throw13100% · 82yRight, 0–4 air yards: 39 throws (16%), 31 caught (79%), 210 yds, 5.4 per throw3979% · 210yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 13 caught (65%), 132 yds, 6.6 per throw2065% · 132yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 56 yds, 5.6 per throw1040% · 56yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 17 yds, 2.8 per throw617% · 17yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 1 caught (8%), 20 yds, 1.7 per throw128% · 20yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 2 caught (25%), 107 yds, 13.4 per throw825% · 107y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction229 carries

Left
25%
5.0 YPC · 49% succ.
Middle
58%
4.6 YPC · 39% succ.
Right
17%
5.0 YPC · 45% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced256 carries

Left
22%
6.0 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
58%
3.8 YPC · 32% succ.
Right
20%
6.0 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Brent Brennan

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Noah FifitaQBSR5' 10"190Huntington Beach, CA
7Sawyer AndersonQBSO5' 11"180Dallas, TX
9Oscar RiosQBFR6' 3"170Norwalk, CA
15Mason BrayQBJR6' 1"195Phoenix, AZ
16Luke HaugoQBSO6' 5"205Scottsdale, AZ
3Kedrick ReescanoRBSR6' 0"215New Caney, TX
21Ismail MahdiRBSR5' 9"185Murphy, TX
24Quincy CraigRBSR5' 10"200Garden Grove, CA
27Lohgan BottjerRBJR6' 1"210Limon, CO
44Antwan Roberts Jr.RBSR6' 0"200Nashville, TN
2R.J. MosleyWRFR6' 3"197Brentwood, CA
4DJ JordanWRJR6' 0"190Watts, CA
5Giovanni RichardsonWRSO5' 10"180Rockford, IL
10Jordan RossWRJR5' 10"185Compton, CA
11Chris Hunter IIIWRSR6' 1"195New Orleans, LA
12Tre SpiveyWRSR6' 4"215Chandler, AZ
17Isaiah MizellWRSO6' 1"170Orlando, FL
18Brandon PhelpsWRJR6' 3"207Gilbert, AZ
20Caleb SmithWRFR5' 8"170Allen, TX
81Scotty BrennanWRSO6' 4"185Los Gatos, CA
82Landon KelseyWRSO6' 4"215Portland, OR
84Rodney Gallagher IIIWRSR5' 10"180Uniontown, PA
89Jordan McCord IIIWRJR5' 11"175Soquel, CA
8Shane KingTESO6' 3"240Gainesville, GA
14Cole RuskTESR6' 5"245Rock Island, IL
83Tyler MustainTESR6' 2"237Tucson, AZ
85Kellan FordTESO6' 5"245Danville, CA
86Arthur BanTEJR6' 4"247Portland, OR
87Tyler PowellTESR6' 7"245Phoenix, AZ
88Henry GabalisTEFR6' 6"240Duvall, WA
54Keona PeatOLSR6' 1"290Chandler, AZ
55Nathan HaleOLSR6' 4"315Orange, CA
58Zach HenningOLSR6' 4"310Centennial, CO
62Javian GooOLSO6' 4"305Kapolei, HI
63Alexander DoostOLSR6' 7"335Phoenix, AZ
66Jaxon GriffinOLSO6' 6"295Mesa, AZ
68Malachi JoynerOLFR6' 3"300Gilbert, AZ
71Tristan BoundsOLSR6' 8"320Bethesda, MD
72Louis AkpaOLSO6' 6"310South San Francisco, CA
73Matthew LadoOLJR6' 6"320Glendale, AZ
76Khalil SanogoOLFR6' 4"340Dallas, TX
77Jake GriffinOLSR6' 5"310Mesa, AZ
78Grayson StovallOLSR6' 3"325Chandler, AZ
79Isaac PerezOLSR6' 3"335Corona, CA
3Tre SmithDLSR6' 5"265Mesa, AZ
27Keytrin HarrisDLFR6' 6"305Las Vegas, NV
38Kevin Moorer Jr.DLJR6' 3"280Mobile, AL
41Julian SavaiinaeaDLSR6' 3"290Tafuna, American Samoa
42Dominic LolesioDLSR6' 4"265Long Beach, CA
45Victory JohnsonDLSR6' 3"255San Diego, CA
51Kaisi LafitagaDLFR6' 2"300Pago Pago, American Samoa
52Dustin PetrasDLFR6' 1"225Hilo, HI
53Christian MadoskiDLSR6' 3"263Glendale, AZ
78Manoah FaupusaDLFR6' 0"377Long Beach, CA
91Porter PattonDLSO6' 7"270Austin, TX
92Ezra FunaDLSR6' 2"295Anaheim, CA
95Leroy PaluDLSR6' 3"295Corona, CA
96Zac SiulepaDLSR6' 6"367Gold Coast, Australia
99Mays PeseDLSO6' 3"290Santa Barbara, CA
0Dash FifitaLBFR5' 7"190Huntington Beach, CA
6Taye BrownLBSR6' 2"230Chandler, AZ
7Chase KennedyLBSR6' 3"235Dallas, TX
10Myron RobinsonLBSO6' 1"225San Antonio, TX
11Jabari MannLBJR6' 0"220San Mateo, CA
16Everett Roussaw Jr.LBSR6' 2"235Atlanta, GA
18Carter JonesLBSO6' 0"230Coto De Caza, CA
19Max HarrisLBSR6' 0"230Mansfield, TX
26Coleman PatmonLBSO6' 2"225Del Valle, TX
29Jaden ParkerLBFR6' 1"255Anna, TX
36Dominic HangerLBSR6' 1"223Chandler, AZ
39Jacob BuggieLBJR6' 2"215Phoenix, AZ
40Brandon CraddockLBSR5' 10"223Phoenix, AZ
48Cooper BlomstromLBSR6' 2"245Dover, NH
55Leviticus Su'aLBSR6' 2"235Moreno Valley, CA
8Jay'Vion ColeCBSR5' 10"190Oakland, CA
9Tyrese BossCBJR5' 11"185Rialto, CA
12Dwight Bootle IICBSR5' 9"175Miami, FL
24Kingston SpiveyCBFR5' 8"185Chandler, AZ
28Swayde GriffinCBSO6' 2"200Lago Vista, TX
30Xaier HilerCBFR6' 3"190Denton, TX
31Aiden MillerCBJR5' 11"193Phoenix, AZ
2Daylen AustinSSR6' 0"193Long Beach, CA
4Matai Tagoa'iSSO6' 4"205Las Vegas, NV
13Cam ChapaSJR5' 11"195Aurora, CO
14Hannibal Navies IISFR6' 2"207Buford, GA
15Malcolm Hartzog Jr.SSR5' 8"190Silver Creek, MS
17Lee Molette IIISSR6' 1"195Nashville, TN
20Dajon HintonSSO5' 10"185San Diego, CA
21Johno PriceSSR6' 2"183East Palo Alto, CA
23Gavin HunterSSR6' 2"208Ewa Beach, HI
33Kason BrownSSO6' 4"203Big Lake, TX
34James PikeSFR5' 11"195Phoenix, AZ
35Quinn OlsonSJR6' 3"205Sioux City, IA
47Harold Lusk IISSO6' 2"212Seaside, CA
19Michael Salgado-MedinaPKJR6' 3"203Mission Viejo, CA
34Carter SchwartzPJR6' 3"227Louisville, KY
37Chase RidleyPSO6' 3"240Perth, Australia
98Ian FrenchPFR5' 11"205Dripping Springs, TX
43Drew NicolsonLSSR5' 11"235Tempe, AZ
47Braxton HartLSFR5' 9"207Tulsa, OK

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+9.1, #17) · worst: 2021 (-11.7, #119)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#29
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-23-2#22+14.0+6.5+7.5
20259-46-3#29+7.2+2.3+4.8
20244-82-7#102-5.4-3.5-1.8
202310-37-2#17+9.1+5.8+3.3
20225-73-6#94-5.5+2.3-7.7
20211-111-8#119-11.7-7.8-4.0
20200-50-5#116-10.4-6.2-4.2
20194-82-7#101-6.2+0.4-6.6
20185-74-5#80-1.3+2.6-3.9
20177-65-4#57+1.7+9.4-7.7
20163-91-8#98-7.1-0.2-6.9
20157-63-6#63+1.4+7.0-5.6
201410-47-2#27+8.7+4.9+3.8

Arizona's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →