Big 12 · 2026

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Head coach Joey McGuire · Galaxy Stadium
3-01-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#26
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+6.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.5
44th in FBS
Defense
+3.9
20th in FBS
Schedule so far
-8.0
87th toughest
Projected
8.9-3.1
bowl-eligible 98%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+6.4 now, +9.7 preseason · down 20 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#26

Final record odds

8.9-3.1 expected · most likely 9-3 (23%)
5-76%6-612%7-519%8-423%9-321%10-213%11-112-0

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsAbilene Christian FCSW 33–10-4.2—FS1
2Sep 12@105Oregon StateW 35–24+9.1—CBS
3Sep 18vs33HoustonCONFW 28–26+4.2—FOX
4Sep 26vs108Sam HoustonTexas Tech −14.7 · o/u 45.6—83%TNT
5Oct 3@104ColoradoCONFTexas Tech −8.3 · o/u 47.1—71%FOX
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs63Arizona StateCONFTexas Tech −8.4 · o/u 49.6—71%
8Oct 24@52CincinnatiCONFTexas Tech −1.0 · o/u 52.9—53%
9Oct 31vs44ArizonaCONFTexas Tech −6.1 · o/u 47.4—66%
10Nov 7vs53West VirginiaCONFTexas Tech −7.0 · o/u 51.9—68%
11Nov 14@75Oklahoma StateCONFTexas Tech −5.0 · o/u 45.7—63%
12Nov 21@49BaylorCONFTexas Tech −0.7 · o/u 47.5—52%
13Nov 26vs40TCUCONFTexas Tech −5.2 · o/u 45.2—63%ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.23351st+0.12295th
Success rate46.2%48th36.8%43rd
Explosiveness1.19994th1.362108th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.9%38th38.2%53rd
Rushing success rate47.5%48th37.9%50th
Passing success rate48.4%42nd38.3%62nd
Explosive run rate14.1%74th16.7%117th
Explosive pass rate11.6%63rd6.2%24th
Line yards / carry3.2456th3.31112th
Opportunity rate44.4%34th36.4%72nd
Stuff rate14.1%51st12.1%122nd
Sack rate5.5%89th5.8%54th
3rd-down conversion54.3%19th40.0%79th
Red-zone TD rate60.0%84th33.3%11th
Havoc rate14.7%104th13.4%83rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game32.066th20.057th
Yards / game416.065th374.798th
Yards / play5.8677th5.2382nd
Pass yards / game250.755th273.0126th
Yards / pass att.8.4050th6.7170th
Completion %71.1%20th63.1%95th
Rush yards / game165.370th101.739th
Yards / carry4.2084th3.5963rd
3rd-down conv. %48.7%32nd42.2%100th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3375th1.0079th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6770th2.6724th
Penalty yards / game55.062nd45.7102nd

Roster

100 players · Head coach Joey McGuire

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
4Thomas CastellanosQBSR5' 10"190Waycross, GA
10Lloyd Jones IIIQBSO6' 4"215Hitchcock, TX
12Stephen CannonQBFR6' 2"205Savannah, GA
15Will HammondQBJR6' 2"210Austin, TX
16Holden PhillipsQBSO6' 1"205Lubbock, TX
18Kirk FrancisQBSR6' 2"205Tulsa, OK
0Quinten JoynerRBSR5' 11"220Austin, TX
8Cameron DickeyRBJR5' 10"215Austin, TX
28Ashton RowdenRBFR5' 11"205Texarkana, TX
33Loic TshibanguRBSR6' 0"210Brussels, Belgium
35Michael Henderson IIIRBSO5' 9"185Dallas, TX
1Micah HudsonWRJR6' 0"205Temple, TX
2Kenny JohnsonWRSR6' 1"200York, PA
3Coy EakinWRSR6' 2"205Stephenville, TX
6Jalen JonesWRSR5' 8"180Birmingham, AL
9Donte Lee Jr.WRSR6' 3"190Baltimore, MD
11Malcolm SimmonsWRJR6' 0"180Montgomery, AL
13Chase CampbellWRFR6' 0"200Lubbock, TX
14Bryson JonesWRSO6' 3"195Frisco, TX
17Leyton StoneWRSO6' 3"200Lubbock, TX
19Michael DeverWRSO6' 1"195Lubbock, TX
21Tristian GentryWRSO6' 0"180Stephenville, TX
80Kai PowellWRSR5' 11"185Spring, TX
84Imari JehielWRFR6' 0"190Forney, TX
88Quintaelyn JoynerWRSO6' 0"205Austin, TX
5Matt LudwigTEFR6' 4"255Billings, MT
7Terrance Carter Jr.TESR6' 2"245Killeen, TX
83Jack EsparzaTESR6' 4"245Austin, TX
85Jett CarpenterTESR6' 3"255Medford, OR
89Jason LlewellynTESR6' 5"250Aledo, TX
50Patrick McMathOLSO6' 4"290Katy, TX
51Felix OjoOLFR6' 6"295Mansfield, TX
52Cash ClevelandOLJR6' 2"300Rockwall, TX
53Holton HendrixOLJR6' 4"310Lubbock, TX
54Jordan ChurchOLSR6' 4"320Fort Myers, FL
56Jerald MaysOLFR6' 4"315Pflugerville, TX
61Connor CartyOLSO6' 4"305Prosper, TX
66Jackson HildebrandOLJR6' 2"295San Antonio, TX
68Ren BrownOLSO6' 4"300Stanton, NE
70Jacob PontonOLJR6' 8"315Dripping Springs, TX
71Bryce GilmoreOLFR6' 4"285Prosper, TX
73Danilo GuberinichOLSO6' 5"295Ann Arbor, MI
74Daniel SillOLSR6' 5"310College Station, TX
75Garin MaleyOLSO6' 5"295Omaha, NE
76Jacob CrowOLFR6' 9"310Knoxville, TN
77Elias GillenOLSO6' 6"315Rapid City, SD
78Ellis DavisOLJR6' 7"305Prosper, TX
79Howard SampsonOLSR6' 8"330Houston, TX
1Julien LaventureDLSR6' 0"290Upper Darby, PA
10A.J. Holmes Jr.DLSR6' 3"300Houston, TX
51Jayden CofieldDLSR6' 2"330Austin, TX
90Ayden JohnsonDLFR6' 1"340Sulphur Springs, TX
91Krush JohnsonDLFR6' 2"300Amarillo, TX
92Bryce ButlerDLSR6' 4"320Toronto, CA
93Dylan SingletonDLSO6' 5"300New Iberia, LA
98Mateen IbirogbaDLSR6' 4"300Clarksburg, MD
6John CurryLBSR6' 2"235Lubbock, TX
8Jamond MathisLBSR6' 1"250St. Louis, MO
9Corey Platt Jr.LBSR6' 1"215Little Rock, AR
13Ben RobertsLBSR6' 3"245Haslet, TX
15Austin RomaineLBSR6' 2"240Hillsboro, MO
20Adam TrickLBSR6' 4"250Dayton, OH
31Cord NolanLBFR6' 0"220Bixby, OK
32LaDamion GuytonLBFR6' 4"235Savannah, GA
33Ansel NedoreLBSR6' 3"260Round Rock, TX
34Kaegan AshLBFR6' 0"210Mount Enterprise, TX
35Adam HillLBJR6' 1"230Albany, TX
36Demarcus MarksLBFR6' 3"215Houston, TX
40Wesley SmithLBSR5' 10"225Midland, TX
43Chris LemonsLBSR6' 2"215Prosper, TX
45Brock GolwasLBSO6' 1"240Flower Mound, TX
56Amarie FlemingLBJR6' 2"230Mayo, FL
86Sean RobinsonLBSO6' 5"225Greenbrae, CA
95Christian BruceLBFR6' 3"270Alpharetta, GA
97Charles Anderson Jr.LBJR6' 6"275Houston, TX
99Jojo JohnsonLBSR6' 2"290Salt Lake City, UT
4Davin MartinCBSR6' 2"185Houston, TX
12Tarrion GrantCBJR6' 2"190Sumter, SC
14Brice PollockCBSR6' 0"195Snellville, GA
16Ashton HamptonCBJR6' 0"175Pearland, TX
17Noah LewisCBFR5' 10"180Terrell, TX
18S'Vioarean MartinCBFR6' 2"200Palestine, TX
27Amier BoydCBSR6' 2"185Phoenix, AZ
29Luke HamiltonCBFR5' 11"185Fayetteville, NC
0Mikal Harrison-PilotSJR6' 0"205Temple, TX
3Peyton MorganSJR6' 0"185Round Rock, TX
5Oliver Miles IIISJR6' 2"190El Campo, TX
7Brenden JordanSSR6' 0"205Mansfield, TX
21Miquel Dingle Jr.SSR6' 2"220Charleston, SC
22Marcus Ramon-EdwardsSSR6' 3"225Lubbock, TX
23Maddox QuillerSFR6' 0"205Pflugerville, TX
24Malik EsquerraSJR6' 3"210Killeen, TX
26Aaron BradshawSFR6' 3"190Crowley, TX
28Braylan McDonaldSSO6' 0"190Terrell, TX
28Jordan RogersSSR5' 10"180Bellmead, TX
30Jamarn Grant IISJR6' 2"205Fort Worth, TX
39Jacob HandPKSR6' 1"180Mansfield, TX
48Stone HarringtonPKSR6' 3"210Colleyville, TX
37Ian HersheyPSR5' 11"185Pocatello, ID
49Will KarollPSR6' 4"215Mosman, Australia

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →